[MusicLoverDude]

Originally posted by HausofAri

If it reaches Cat. 5, we'll have our first one in the Atlantic since Igor I think. I doubt it will however.

Igor was never classified as a Cat 5. So you'd have to go back to 2007 for the last classified Category 5 storm

[Element]

Originally posted by HausofAri

If it reaches Cat. 5, we'll have our first one in the Atlantic since Igor I think. I doubt it will however.

Igor got stuck right under the category five threshold. There has been a lot of debate as to if it was or not, but the official peak is category four.

The last official category five in the Atlantic basin was Hurricane Felix is 2007.

[Temporal]

Originally posted by MusicLoverDude

155 Mph storm now

Watch this stall at 155mph just like Gustav or Igor.

[MusicLoverDude]

It makes me wonder how many Cat 5s in the Pacific we would have if they actually got recon.

[UFO]

Damn

[HausofAri]

It's weakening again.

[Temporal]

Originally posted by HausofAri

It's weakening again.

What did I ****ing say

[MusicLoverDude]

Well at least it was an awesome hurricane to watch and still will be for a few days

[HausofAri]

Why do hurricanes always stall right before reaching Cat. 5

[MusicLoverDude]

Joaquin will most likely be the last major hurricane of the season. Whether it's the last hurricane, I'm not sure.

[MusicLoverDude]

The ACE is 2 spots shy is reaching 2009

[HausofAri]

If El Niño persists into next year we'll probably have another flop season.

[MusicLoverDude]

Joaquin is finally extratropical.

I don't think we'll get an El Nino though

[MeAndMyHand]

Originally posted by MusicLoverDude

Joaquin is finally extratropical.

I don't think we'll get an El Nino though

But there's actually no doubt anymore. El Niño IS coming
http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/l...009-story.html

[alexanderao]

19-E forms, forecast to become a Category 2

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/150234.shtml

[Element]

Woo lord I needa update that title

[alexanderao]

Olaf

There is still some light northwesterly shear over Olaf. However, this is forecast to diminish during the next 24 hours, and improving cirrus outflow suggests this may already be occurring. Based on this, warm sea surface temperatures, and a moist environment, continued strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours. After 72 hours, developing southerly shear and dry air entrainment are expected to cause Olaf to weaken. The new intensity forecast is similar to the previous forecast and is in best agreement with the Florida State Superensemble. It should be noted that the small inner core seen in microwave imagery could allow rapid intensification, and the Rapid Intensification Index of the SHIPS model has a 25-30 percent chance of a 30-kt increase in intensity during the next 24 hours. Should this occur, Olaf could get significantly stronger than currently forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/0300Z 9.2N 131.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 18/1200Z 9.4N 132.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 19/0000Z 9.9N 134.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 19/1200Z 10.4N 135.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 20/0000Z 11.2N 137.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 21/0000Z 13.5N 140.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 22/0000Z 15.5N 142.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
120H 23/0000Z 18.0N 142.5W 80 KT 90 MPH

[alexanderao]

Olaf is a Category 4!!

[alexanderao]

Patricia has formed, and is expected to make landfall in Mexico in a few days' time as a Cat 2.

[alexanderao]

H/T Philip Klotzbach