Quote:
Originally posted by Tekken_Guy
Here are some calculations I did to help me predict an opening week for 1D:
TMH's pre-orders amounted to 136k. It opened with 538k in the end. By doing so, 1D sold 3.95 times as many copies in its first week as were made with pre-orders.
MM's pre-orders are around 200k. If you multiply 200k by 3.95, you get approximately 790k copies in its first week. Not only will that best Drake, but it will be just below Eminem's debut last week.
Now, let's see how Black Friday factors into 1D's first week sales. Let's take a look at Rihanna, who scored her biggest first week sales (and first #1 album) with the help of Black Friday. Rihanna's 2011 album, "Talk That Talk" came out with 198k copies in its debut week. "Unapologetic" opened with 238k. That's about a 20% increase from her previous album.
If Black Friday increases album sales by about 20%, then 1D's 790k will become a whopping 950k opening week, right behind where JT landed earlier this year. Add in Hannukah sales, and 1D have the potential to open with a 1 million debut week.
|
I love ya sis and appreciate the effort, but no
Pre-orders do not correlate to sales like that. Fans pre-order, and they would have purchased the album anyways. You need to look no further than ARTPOP to see that high pre-orders are meaningless as far as total sales go.
Black Friday could boost them, but I doubt by more than 50k.