I think Bulgaria now has a shot to make the finals. I also love that San Marino is sending the disco version of their monstrosity.
I don't have a a trinity since I won't stop playing "Seis" and crying about what Estonia could have been. I would say it's the rock contingent since I expect Georgia, Cyprus and Montenegro to be gone quick but they have the more interesting (and honestly good) songs. Latvia, France and Australia are probably the actual three I use but it's various levels of MOR safeness.
I also cannot figure out how the front end of Semi 1 gets more than five songs into the final. Since the front haves average 4 qualifiers at best and the second half of Semi 1 is far more weak.
My guesses to the actual qualifiers (being way nice and assuming a 5/5 split rather than the usual 4/6):
S1: ARM/CRO/GRE/HUN/RUS/AUT/AZE/BIH/EST/ISL
S2: AUS/IRL/LAT/MKD/SRB/BUL/DEN/NOR/ROU/UKR
I'm least certain about Austria and Ireland but I'm not seeing the Czechs getting the votes to bump Austria out and I suspect Malta will get killed off by the juries (if anyone slides in it's the Netherlands) and Semi 2 is pretty much garbage. Maybe Belgium steal the spot if they spit polish the hell out of it. Or Poland, just to spite the board
