Colorado's method is a strange one, even ElectProject struggles to explain it easily to others sometimes. He's saying Republicans are so far only at .5 ahead yet past elections needed R to be several points ahead to lead Democrats. Also, don't count Indies out, they lean Dem because they don't want their MJ taken away. Pot ha impact.
ElectProject's breakdown:
Actually, 2012 not too terrible of a comparison. Reps were +1.8, Obama won ~5 points
Statistics:
The Colorado Secretary of State’s Office updates the number of ballots returned via mail and votes made in-person each day, and breaks down the votes by which party each person who submitted a ballot is registered for.
Every ballot is categorized by each voter’s registration and does not say how a person voted. Colorado law allowed county clerks to start counting ballots on Oct. 24.
The county clerk's offices open the ballots, check their signatures to validate them, and scan the results. However, the results will not be tallied or released until after the polls close on Nov. 8.
The 1,852,029 ballots returned so far represent about 56.6 percent of registered active voters in Colorado as of numbers released Nov. 1 by the Secretary of State’s Office.
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news...e-election-day