[Ger-55]

Originally posted by LostInStereo100

EI is now higher than UF on streaming?

No, it's like 7M behind UF tbh

[LostInStereo100]

Originally posted by Ger-55

No, it's like 7M behind UF tbh

That's what I thought

[brianc33616]

No EI is ahead on Spotify, but UF still leads in overall streaming. Thanks for the totals Ger-55!

[Ger-55]

Final Predictions:

1. See You Again = (49-53% of lead)
2. Uptown Funk =
3. Trap Queen +1
4. Sugar -1
5. Earned It (Fifty Shades of Grey) +1
6. Shut Up And Dance +3
7. Love Me Like You Do =
8. Thinking Out Loud -3
9. GDFR -1
10. Want To Want Me +2

11. Somebody =
12. Style -2
13. One Last Time +2
14. Chains =
15. Post To Be +1
16. FourFiveSeconds -3
17. Talking Body +7
18. Truffle Butter =
19. Lay Me Down +1
20. Dear Future Husband +6

Close spots:

6. Shut Up And Dance = 305
7. Love Me Like You Do = 303
8. Thinking Out Loud = 300

14. Chains = 182
15. Post To Be = 181

17. Talking Body = 160
18. Truffle Butter = 158
19. Lay Me Down = 156
20. Dear Future Husband = 154

I wish I had more time to post the more detailed data, but I can't right now

[brianc33616]

Final Edit Projected Hot 100 Released Wednesday/Thursday
• = bullet
AG = Airplay Gainer
DG = Digital Gainer
SG = Streaming Gainer

1) See You Again• = Wk 2 @ #1, 35-40% lead •SG• (could beat Earned It for *AG*)
2) Uptown Funk = 10-15% over #3
3) Trap Queen• +1
4) Earned It• +2 •AG• (may lose *AG* award to See You Again)
5) Sugar -2
6) Shut Up And Dance• +3
7) Love Me Like You Do =
8) Thinking Out Loud -3
9) Want To Want Me• +3
10) Somebody• +1
11) G D F R -3
12) Chains• +2
13) Style -3
14) Post To Be• +2
15) One Last Time =
16) Talking Body• +8
17) Four Five Minutes -4
18) Girl Crush• +38 •DG•
19) Bitch Better Have My Money• +2
20) Take Your Time• +2
21) Dear Future Husband• +5
22) Blank Space -3
23) Truffle Butter -5
24) Time Of Our Lives -7
25) Blessings• +5

"Earned It" should pass "Trap Queen" the week after this chart, and if "Shut Up And Dance" keeps roaring ahead in streaming that song could move to #4 and force TQ down to #5; these three songs will stay close in points. I still think "Uptown Funk" will get at least one more week at #2 that week, but right now things aren't looking good for Ronson & Mars at either Radio or Download sites.

All of this will depend on how close UF can hang on those two metrics and how well it can hold up on streaming. I know there is the potential for Top Ten debuts next week too ("Pretty Girls"). Still, I think "See You Again" is going to be safe at #1 for a few more weeks, and the song should win the AG award next week too.

[fridayteenage]

That'd make UF the first song ever with 17 weeks in the T2, yes?

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by fridayteenage

That'd make UF the first song ever with 17 weeks in the T2, yes?

Correct, which would set a new record. If it can stay in the Top 2 next week, that's 18 Top 2 weeks. Even if it falls to #3 next week, it ties Santana/Rob Thomas' "Smooth" 19 week record in the Top 3. I think UF can get 20 weeks in the Top 3.

The record in the Top 5 is 25 weeks set by "How Do I Live." I would like UF to get 26 weeks in the Top 5, but it needs to slow down a bit in its decline (which I think it will). HDIL also holds the Top 10 longevity record at 32 weeks, and I think UF could reach 34 weeks in the Top 10 if everything goes right.

[Ger-55]

I think SYA is going to be the Airplay Gainer. It's gaining almost 5M per day

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by Ger-55

I think SYA is going to be the Airplay Gainer. It's gaining almost 5M per day

I project SYA wins AG on next week's chart, and is a close runner up to EI on this week's chart. I could be wrong though. It's just SYA had some slow days early in the period. However, SYA looks like a sure bet to win AG next week. If SYA wins it, EI will be runner up. I'll note it, but not change the awards.

[NewRihannaStan]

Trap Queen is coming . Can Somebody be a bigger hit ??

[LostInStereo100]

SYAs lead People thought it would be a quick hit yet it extends it's lead still

[brianc33616]

On HDD, Little Big Town's Pain Killer has raw sales of 12,084. However, on HDD's SDS Chart, Pain Killer finishes with 24,777 units. Obviously, "Girl Crush" sold a lot of downloads and did a good bit of On Demand streaming even if the totals don't show up on Spotify. That's a difference of 12,693 units, and both the raw album sales and the SDS total boost will grow even larger on next week's chart after there's been a full week of sales and streaming following the ACM awards. I predicted a jump to #18 on this week's chart, and for GC to win DG. No one else mentioned the song in their predictions, so I'm interested in seeing whether or not I turn out to be right or wrong about this big jump..

[hooky]

Pretty sure Mariah cursed the #1 spot after One Sweet Day so nothing could even come within 1 week of her record. Not even We Belong Together was able to break the record

[Jackson]

Originally posted by brianc33616

On HDD, Little Big Town's Pain Killer has raw sales of 12,084. However, on HDD's SDS Chart, Pain Killer finishes with 24,777 units. Obviously, "Girl Crush" sold a lot of downloads and did a good bit of On Demand streaming even if the totals don't show up on Spotify. That's a difference of 12,693 units, and both the raw album sales and the SDS total boost will grow even larger on next week's chart after there's been a full week of sales and streaming following the ACM awards. I predicted a jump to #18 on this week's chart, and for GC to win DG. No one else mentioned the song in their predictions, so I'm interested in seeing whether or not I turn out to be right or wrong about this big jump..

I'm hopeful it'll be the next big country crossover. If HAC can latch on then its almost a sure thing

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by NewRihannaStan

Trap Queen is coming . Can Somebody be a bigger hit ??

It's peaking, sometimes I feel it got one lucky week at #10

[Rick]

Originally posted by hooky

Pretty sure Mariah cursed the #1 spot after One Sweet Day so nothing could even come within 1 week of her record. Not even We Belong Together was able to break the record

I think so too tbh !

[Ash12345]

Originally posted by Rick

I think so too tbh !

watch SYA snatch

[slw84]

Originally posted by Ash12345

watch SYA snatch

called it two weeks ago but I think that trap song and shut up an dance might take it over IF they perform it at the BBMAs in a few weeks.

[Jeiboy]

Wiz will perform in BBMA right? Game over for everyone then

[omrimayo]

Originally posted by berberocka

Wiz will perform in BBMA right? Game over for everyone then

Yap.