Quote:
Originally posted by Rob_Matteo
If it's called for Trump then we perhaps need to watch out for the 10PM-12AM states to be called, but if it's announced for Hillary then that's it, right? Isn't there no path forward for Trump without it?
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Pretty much. I'm super confident that she'll win Florida and she'll win it by 3 - 5 percentage points. She's gonna have a lot of cross party voters in that state, especially the Cuban-American voters who are breaking to Democrats finally. The No Party Affiliation voters will break for HRC as well because of the high Latino makeup in that category.
Just to put it into perspective. Hillary could lose Ohio, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Maine, and New Hampshire, yet beat Trump 271-267
With a Florida win, she could afford to lose Michigan, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, yet still win.
Florida, NC, Ohio, Michigan are MUST wins for him and he won't get them. He needed Nevada and that baby is all but gone. Latinos will decide this election in the manner that African Americans did in 2008. She'll win by 320+ electoral college votes. I'm not ready to concede Ohio like some people are. I think she'll squeak it out and get to 341.