These insiders saying "Taylor will win" when it's pretty clear that She won't are just setting people up to be disappointed when She doesn't win.
Stapleton having Nashville's support, rock snobbery biases against pop music, and the fact that She's a 26 year old female who has already won AOTY will keep Her from winning it.
I don't mind Her losing it to Kendrick, I mean, I've expected it all along... But I wanted Her to be the first woman to have to studio albums to win AOTY (before Adele inevitably, unfortunately, pulls it off next year).
Still rooting for SOTY, though I'll be fine as long as She gets Pop Album.