Interesting. The poll said that 48.80% of those interviewed were less likely to vote due to the Comey incident. Of course, 44% said that it didn't matter, so a lot of that 48% were Republicans who were never going to vote for her anyways. But that still means it still had a small effect. Maybe polls later in the run will be more favorable to Clinton since this mess has been more largely dissected.
National polls are useless. The best campaigns actually don't use public polls at all. The have their own microdata. Hence Nate Silver saying that Clinton is wasting time in AZ while the Clinton camp says lol no.
I wouldn't dismiss the NH poll. ARG and MassINC are trash but Suffolk is legit. The best case scenario for Hillary is that this was taken at the height of Comey and non-response bias is playing a role. It's been shown in other polling that there was a Comey effect but that it was transient. Though regardless I would bet the house on a Clinton win in NH.
I believe PPP and UMass are releasing NH polls too.
It's at this time that the polls literally start contradicting each other so I'm worried but not overly. We might as well just wait until Election Day because they're all gonna continue to fluctuate.
I still can't believe Trump was whining about Podesta asking for polls to oversample. Like, he's been campaigning for 15 months and he still has no clue on internal polls. Amazing
Ok. What is the deal with NH? It is the only state in the Northeast to go red since I was concieved, and now it may again?
The ugly step-sister of New England tbh.
Or when he said that Hillary was fired from the Watergate committee. When you're willing to believe false memes but not 17 intelligence committees. It's truly amazing
There's no way Hillary's campaign doesn't have internal polling. They are a massive force to be reckoned with, and I bet they know so many things that all of us don't, trust me.
