Quote:
Originally posted by Idontcareaboutyou
With 53.1% of 2012 early votes cast, republicans lead +17K. At this point in 2012, democrats were up +135K. Back then Obama won the state by around 70k votes. NY Times estimates cross-over republican votes at 8% in Florida so the independents will decide the winner.
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There are 1.8 million more votes that have been cast this year, so it's likely some of that Dem deficit is just GOP same-day voters becoming early voters. And unaffiliateds skew younger and less white in Florida this year according to @ElectProject, which will likely help Clinton.
Florida will be +/- 1% for the winner, as usual.
shade ha queen
