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@tbonier:
1. FL Data Dump: With over 4 million ballots cast, GOP registrants outnumber Dems by 16k votes cast. That's a 0.4% advantage. However...
2. Almost 700k votes have been cast by Unaffiliated voters. And those voters skew heavily Dem, with a 13% modeled partisan advantage
3. Unaffiliated EV/AV are more likely to be Hispanic (22%), or Millennial (16%), and only 65% are white
4.I've seen the initial results, and I can say they will challenge the conventional wisdom of where the race stands. Tune in tomorrow!
^^^^
Conventional wisdom = Florida is tight. Early voting will show that it's not. I think Hillary has a bigger advantage than most Dems normally do and she's up bigger than we think
