Quote:
Originally posted by Benzene
Turnout appears to be down among blacks but up among Hispanics. HRC's team needs to work on the former. She's less reliant on the black vote because of the increased Hispanic vote (and higher support among white people with college degrees), but I don't trust white college degree holders to not return home to the GOP.
Because of this though, it's not entirely impossible that she wins AZ while losing FL, which would be nuts from an electoral standpoint.
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I'm honestly really interested to see if this drastic change sticks or if everything will go back to normal in 2020.
Dems should be hoping the former. If college educated whites return to the GOP, and blacks no longer get out to vote in the same numbers as '08/'12, they're in trouble.
Regardless, I think the shifts we're seeing in IA/OH towards the GOP and NC/AZ/GA/TX towards the Dems were always going to happen, just accelerated by Trump.