[Disturbia]

Originally posted by MonstahNL

23. The Fame Monster (Deluxe Edition)
49. The Fame
73. The Fame Monster (EP)

It's just incredible how 2 years old album is doing on charts

[Harry]

Still waiting for popbars

[zzmyth]

I dont want to hate... dont get me wrong KWORB... You do an amazing job and I appreciate you doing this chart compilation.

But LTWYL will be around 3.3 Millions this week and in your chart its about 2.896 that is more than 400K difference.

Its just that I think you could approximate the sales for the #1 song according to the previous weeks #1 sales.... that would make them more accurate. (I mean, If the #1 song the previous week sold 200K dont mantain the #1 points at 250K per week, or if the previous #1 sold 300K then Rise the bar.)

I dont know if I explained myself....

But its not trying to throw sade, Its just a suggestion for you so you can make your list as accurate and informative as possible.

[arkl]

He's just trying to avoid over-approximation, I guess.

[Harry]

I thought Kworb copied them and pasted here from outside sources. Didn't know it was his estimation. He is working hard.

zzmyth, it's about time you post the popbars.

[zzmyth]

Originally posted by HarrySapphire

Still waiting for popbars

there you go.....



I came up with a new way of calculating the gap between #1 and #2.....

The gap is more or less the same length as #22's popbar..... How much could #22 in the HDS sell? 35-40K?

[Hollister_Sam]

Originally posted by zzmyth

there you go.....



I came up with a new way of calculating the gap between #1 and #2.....

The gap is more or less the same length as #22's popbar..... How much could #22 in the HDS sell? 35-40K?

OMG, you are brilliant! What a clever way of doing that? but you have to remember the gap was at once 40 % of Bruno. so what would your estimates be?

210k bruno
285 Rihanna?

[Harry]

Wow, you make it sound like OG will sell more than JTWYA by how much CG will sell this week, which is a lot. But I don't think it works that way tho. I still remember Right Above It had big lead but in the end it didn't sell as much as I expected.

But if it's true,

*prays it's true*

[Harry]

Originally posted by Hollister_Sam

OMG, you are brilliant! What a clever way of doing that? but you have to remember the gap was at once 40 % of Bruno. so what would your estimates be?

210k bruno
285 Rihanna?

That is clearly not 40%

[Hollister_Sam]

Originally posted by HarrySapphire

Wow, you make it sound like OG will sell more than JTWYA by how much CG will sell this week, which is a lot. But I don't think it works that way tho. I still remember Right Above It had big lead but in the end it didn't sell as much as I expected.

But if it's true,

*prays it's true*

sales at that time for Right Above it werent as in demand i dont think. Like its hard te explain but sales differed, so you cant base its lead to RiRi's.

[Hollister_Sam]

Originally posted by HarrySapphire

That is clearly not 40%

earlier in the week, it was 40 %. I didnt say it was now.

[Harry]

Based on this estimation, what is OG's current standing for #1 on Hot 100?

[zzmyth]

Originally posted by Hollister_Sam

OMG, you are brilliant! What a clever way of doing that? but you have to remember the gap was at once 40 % of Bruno. so what would your estimates be?

210k bruno
285 Rihanna?

I dont think Rihanna will sell that much.... But Her popbars was once more than 50% bigger than Bruno's... Right now its still more than 20% bigger (so lets say he sells 200K, then OG should sell AT LEAST 240K) Making an estimation through all the week, I guess OG could have sold around 50-60K more than Bruno, not more

[Hollister_Sam]

Originally posted by zzmyth

I dont think Rihanna will sell that much.... But Her popbars was once more than 50% bigger than Bruno's... Right now its still more than 20% bigger (so lets say he sells 200K, then OG should sell AT LEAST 240K) Making an estimation through all the week, I guess OG could have sold around 50-60K more than Bruno, not more

hmm...okay,
well, bruno was increasing last week and he sold
207k so why would he decrease all of a sudden? Billboard i think may have underestimated OG's sales. Bruno's lead hasnt changed much from last week. So i'd say he'd pull off
207-215 k. maybe alittle more. OG will more than likely pull off 240 k - 260 k. Her airplay by wednesday would be around 45 mils? maybe Top 3.


btw, right above it sold how much that 1st week? 237 k. i think OG can surpass that!

[zzmyth]

anyway... Right above it didnt sell that much..... because he didnt hold the gap that long (its popbar became huge but it dissapeared FAST.... AND it had 1 day less of sales.... coz it was released on a tuesday....)

[Harry]

Originally posted by Hollister_Sam

hmm...okay,
well, bruno was increasing last week and he sold
207k so why would he decrease all of a sudden? Billboard i think may have underestimated OG's sales. Bruno's lead hasnt changed much from last week. So i'd say he'd pull off
207-215 k. maybe alittle more. OG will more than likely pull off 240 k - 260 k. Her airplay by wednesday would be around 45 mils? maybe so her debut would be Top 3.

So, we're most likely expecting a Top 3 debut? I must say I need a #1 debut

[MonstahNL]

Originally posted by HarrySapphire

So, we're most likely expecting a Top 3 debut? I must say I need a #1 debut

It already debuted at #75.

[Hollister_Sam]

Originally posted by HarrySapphire

So, we're most likely expecting a Top 3 debut? I must say I need a #1 debut

yeah i'd say so. LTWYL and Teenage Dream's Airplay is huge. That compensates for Sales.

JTWYA has huge airplay as well. I think Top 3 would be our best bet. But the song will Go #1. It will.

thats right it debuted at 75. darn it haha

[zzmyth]

OG will debut TOP5 100% sure..... Top3 if it sells enough to pass TD, Dynamite and LTWYL's airplay difference and it could have a chance at #1 if Bruno sold much more than last week (lets say 220K and then Rihanna sold 30% more than that..... around 290K.... ) which is unlikely... but who knows....

The lowest the sales... the more important the radio AI becomes... and thats not good for OG.

[Harry]

Originally posted by MonstahNL

It already debuted at #75.

LMAO, you got me. It's a jump. Yeah, but I meant a real "debut" with digital sales included.