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Originally posted by Rico Shameless v2
Well obviously it'll definitely have more points than week one, since we'll now have a lot of streaming. But that doesn't guarantee higher placement than the debut week, since points change week to week. It may be even harder to break top ten this week, than say last week. It'll be 100k+ ground for top ten. "Summertime Sadness" was 99k last week, but we'll have "Walking On Air" debuting and pushing her out. "Dark Horse" may be the only one to sell less than 100k. Either way, "Work Bitch" isn't selling 100k+ from last week.
Lana will be the deciding factor most likely, but she has 90m+ radio versus Britney's 33m and they'll probably have around the same streaming since I figure a lot of Britney's ~20 million will be from outside the US.
I hope it does get a top ten peak, because it's not going to be doing any better after this week and I'd rather it just be a top ten single and sell a little more and we move on lol. But I'm not very optimistic just from the numbers.
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Quote:
Originally posted by DivaDown
I'm definitely more optimistic because I've seen weirder things happen. Plus, we know (roughly) the Hot 100 formula. Agreed more point doesn't equal a for sure Top 10 but it's on the right track.
And for sales... I'm pretty sure the final 2 spots in the Top 10 will be under 100k. #9 is still iffy. Britney's descend out of the Top 10 was late enough in the week that I'm still fairly certain she'll hold down a spot.
Honestly & truly, it will come down to streaming and I believe it will be enough. Ylvis was able to pull it off with zero radio airplay. I also believe a majority of the video views will be USA. Especially with Las Vegas starting and the video being premiered on the iHeart Radio show.
Am I 100% certain it'll be Top 10 on the Hot 100? Hell no. But the odds are forever in her favor...
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I can see Work Bitch being #10 on the Digital chart, but as far as the Hot 100 I'm with Rico... I predicted #11 (as a joke, I admit, but I did) two weeks ago and I'm standing by it, as I actually don't see it managing to go higher than that this week... Or ever, if I'm being honest.