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Chart Listings: Billboard 200 Albums (October 31-November 7, 2012)
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 11/5/2011
Posts: 100,491
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After its monster start at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 chart this week, Taylor Swift's "Red" seems a safe bet to remain in the penthouse for a second frame. The album sold 1.208 million in its first week, according to Nielsen SoundScan.
Industry sources suggest that none of this week's new releases will be a match for "Red's" second week -- even if it drops by 75% in sales (pushing it down to about 300,000).
Most albums that debut with very large sales often lose anywhere between 65% to 75% of sales in their second week -- sometimes more. Swift's last studio album, "Speak Now," dropped by 69% in its second week, moving from 1.047 million to 320,000.
The new Billboard 200 chart's top 10 will be revealed on the morning of Wednesday, Nov. 7.
That said, the biggest new entry on next week's Billboard 200 should come from Meek Mill. The rapper's debut studio set, "Dreams & Nightmares," is on track to sell around 170,000 to 190,000, according to industry forecasters. The second-largest bow will come from Rod Stewart's "Merry Christmas, Baby," which could move about 80,000 copies. A chunk of that figure will be goosed by sales generated from HSN, which will contribute upwards of 28,000 CDs to "Merry's" first week. Stewart appeared on HSN on Oct. 26 and the shopping network is offering the album with an eight-song bonus CD.
Other albums on course for high debuts include Toby Keith's "Hope on the Rocks," Neil Young and Crazy Horse's "Psychedelic Pill" and Flyleaf's "New Horizons."
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Member Since: 8/24/2011
Posts: 7,544
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Still bigger than my fave's last album first week sales 
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Member Since: 1/8/2011
Posts: 27,650
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Quote:
Originally posted by Manchs
Still bigger than my fave's last album first week sales |
I hope the chart sales leak today.
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Member Since: 1/8/2011
Posts: 27,650
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AND NOW, YOUR TOP 15: This week's top debut, Meek Mill, seems to have been impacted the hardest by this week's storms, flooding and power outages in the Northeast. While most of the other titles are falling in line with expectations, Mill, whose base has been heaviest in the New York/Philadelphia areas, seems to be coming in considerably below earlier forecasts. His projection today has dropped nearly 10% over what the numbers suggested yesterday. In addition, Meek's digital share may be substantially higher than comparable first week titles indicating consumers on the East Coast are more focused on getting their power back on and back to work rather than buying new releases. Here's how it looks headed into the weekend:
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 325-340k
* Meek Mill (Maybach/Warner Bros.) 165-180k
* Rod Stewart (Verve) 75-80k
Kendrick Lamar (Aftermath/Interscope) 65-70k
Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 65-70k
* Toby Keith (Show Dog) 45-50k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 40-45k
* Neil Young & Crazy Horse (Reprise) 30-35k
* Trans Siberian Orchestra (Lava/Republic) 24-27k
Pink (RCA) 20-23k
Little Big Town (Capitol Nashville) 18-21k
Tony Bennett (Columbia) 17-20k
Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville) 17-20k
* Flyleaf (A&M/Octone) 17-20k
Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) 15-18k
* Debuts
Here's hoping for as rapid a return to normal as possible on the East Coast. (11/1p)
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Member Since: 1/8/2011
Posts: 27,650
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Sandy ****ed up Meek Mill.
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Member Since: 12/16/2008
Posts: 59,380
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70% drop for Tay, not bad  2x platinum in 2 weeks after that one.
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Member Since: 6/1/2010
Posts: 65,177
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Adele's finally out of the predictions. 
I say about 14-15k for the album next week.
And isn't Rod Stewart's album a Christmas album, and he's already selling in the 75k? Could that be a huge seller this Christmas?
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 11/5/2011
Posts: 100,491
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Taylor 
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Member Since: 12/8/2010
Posts: 17,643
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Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 325-340k
Solid numbers.
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Member Since: 1/8/2011
Posts: 27,650
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Quote:
Originally posted by Cap10Planet
Adele's finally out of the predictions.
I say about 14-15k for the album next week.
And isn't Rod Stewart's album a Christmas album, and he's already selling in the 75k? Could that be a huge seller this Christmas? |
Yeah, Paul predicted that Lady A would be the Christmas album of the year. 
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Member Since: 8/24/2011
Posts: 7,544
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Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) 15-18k
Quote:
Originally posted by iamvladd
I hope the chart sales leak today.
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When was the last time it leaked? Feels like months already.
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Member Since: 11/29/2010
Posts: 19,664
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Quote:
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Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 325-340k
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Wow. That is an impressive hold. And she has CMA promo today. Maybe she can trend even higher. 
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Member Since: 5/9/2012
Posts: 38,050
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Quote:
Originally posted by Gossip_Boy
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 325-340k
Solid numbers. |
Taylor 
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Member Since: 10/30/2010
Posts: 8,520
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Very strong numbers for Taylor, especially considering the Hurricane and all. I bet she'll sell over 200k next week, too.
They need to send "I Knew You Were Trouble" to Pop pronto. That song is begging to be a #1 smash.
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Member Since: 10/3/2010
Posts: 50,276
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P!nk is still selling well.
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Member Since: 3/8/2012
Posts: 39,015
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Where is Adele 
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Member Since: 1/8/2011
Posts: 27,650
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ichinaru19
Where is Adele |
@chartnews: US album sales:#12 @OfficialAdele, “21” 19,792 (9,938,011).
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Banned
Member Since: 10/13/2008
Posts: 20,553
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Ok, so Taylor wont be competition for Rihanna. I doubt she'll sell over 200k in 3 weeks.
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Member Since: 3/8/2012
Posts: 39,015
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Quote:
Originally posted by iamvladd
@chartnews: US album sales:#12 @OfficialAdele, “21” 19,792 (9,938,011).
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I dont see why it would suddenly drop though. Its been in the 20k range for a while so why would it suddenly drop 5k?
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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That's an amazing second week no matter the percentage drop from 1.2 million.
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