Quote:
Originally posted by Bahjat
It's different , We Are Young was a MONSTER smash .
While now there are no such smashes .
CMM is dying , and there's isn't a big song right now that could block a big debut .
I mean , to me the chances of a number one debut are just 25% .
But not because there's a big blocker , but because it's a Taylor song and I'm not sure how it's going to perform digitally .
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For me the chances are 2%
If she has a radio deal and manage to sell nearly 400K copies maybe she could do it
if the streaming thing wasn't here the #1 would be in the bag
I mean, the only big competitor on sales is Florida, (Phillip will decrease next week without the olympics) and it did 220K last week, by the time of Aug 22th, when we will know if she is #1 or not, he will have 90M airplay
If taylor has a radio deal she could do 30-40 Million in one week, so selling less than 350K copies would make her #1...But the streaming thing...It made Ellie #2 this week...
I hope Flo rida to start to decrease on sales and Ellie to start decreasing in radio, that's our chance