[alexanderao]

Originally posted by Lose My Breath

I think Dark Horse will be #1, I don't see how it couldn't be with all those streams?

I think it's about 50/50 right now. Obviously DH has a huge lead on streaming. On sales, though, Happy has been at #1 the whole week with DH a distant 2nd in the 60% range on Kworb. And on radio, the gap is closing every day. Much has been made of Pharrell's updates

[slw84]

Originally posted by Lose My Breath

I think Dark Horse will be #1, I don't see how it couldn't be with all those streams?

I agree. I want to say that it could eek another #1 this week and then Happy might just take it for a couple of weeks and then Katy might have one more chance or most likely it's Happy times for months and months.

I wouldn't mind seeing Katy's next single Birthday replace Happy...you see what i did there...corny but still

That or 1st singles from Rihanna, Adele, Nicki Minaj or Taylor.

[Lose My Breath]

Originally posted by slw84

I agree. I want to say that it could eek another #1 this week and then Happy might just take it for a couple of weeks and then Katy might have one more chance or most likely it's Happy times for months and months.

I wouldn't mind seeing Katy's next single Birthday replace Happy...you see what i did there...corny but still

That or 1st singles from Rihanna, Adele, Nicki Minaj or Taylor.

That would be cute


I really think DH will take #1 this week, I mean there is still a gap in radio and her streaming will be really large but next week, Happy will take the top spot

[Emcee]

Originally posted by Lose My Breath

That would be cute


I really think DH will take #1 this week, I mean there is still a gap in radio and her streaming will be really large but next week, Happy will take the top spot

This sounds like the most probable outcome, facts considered.

[Ash12345]

Is this formula still valid?
Or has streaming been reduced?

1 sales= 625 airplay=37.5 streams

[lousaysthings]

Whoever gets #1 next week will only beat the other by 5% or less imo, I do love a close run contest

[Gerry I Shot]

Do we have sales for singles? Specifically Human by Christina Perri?

[highwind44029]

Originally posted by Ash12345

Is this formula still valid?
Or has streaming been reduced?

1 sales= 625 airplay=37.5 streams

Streaming was probably reduced to around 33.3 streams. Don't quote me on it though, but I can't imagine it being lowered any further than that.

[iHype.]

I wonder why Vinyl sales have been going up the past few years.

[Prismy]

Dark Horse vs Happy

Radio
1. KATY PERRY – Dark Horse: 200.374 (+ 0.638)
4. PHARRELL WILLIAMS – Happy: 162.432 (+ 4.178)

Sales (Kworb's projections)
Happy - 375k
Dark Horse - 241k

Streaming (Spotify - last week)
Dark Horse - 2.3m
Happy - 1.7m

Streaming (YouTube)
Dark Horse - 22m WW views (at least 5m views from US)
Happy - ???

[Tylerbv]

Dark Horse has this week, but it's probably her last.

[iHype.]

Originally posted by Prismatic

Dark Horse vs Happy

Radio
1. KATY PERRY – Dark Horse: 200.374 (+ 0.638)
4. PHARRELL WILLIAMS – Happy: 162.432 (+ 4.178)

Sales (Kworb's projections)
Happy - 375k
Dark Horse - 241k

Streaming (Spotify - last week)
Dark Horse - 2.3m
Happy - 1.7m

Streaming (YouTube)
Dark Horse - 22m WW views (at least 5m views from US)
Happy - ???

Happy is 18% up this week on Streaming Songs at #7 with 4.4 million streams.

You should give him 4.5-4.9 mil this week to be logical.

[Ger-55]

Predictions: Pharrell after all these years! Or Katy's her E.T.?

Pharrell seems the greatest winner this week, first winning over a pop queen who has the biggest song this year so far. And after trying more than a decade in this industry, he finally get his first solo #1 hit, which seems a strong and possible contender for the #1 song this 2014. But still a nice fight between two acts, anyway, it's still the DARK Top 3!

1. Dark Horse = (10.5 U.S. streams, taking 20% of her 22M Worldwide Views from her music video) (1% of lead)
2. Happy = (5M streams)
3. Talk Dirty =
4. All Of Me +7
5. Drunk In Love =
6. Say Something -2
7. Pompeii +1
8. Team +1
9. Timber -2
10. Counting Stars -4

Data for Top 2:

Dark Horse

Sales: 241k
Airplay: 147M
Streaming: 10.5M

Happy

Sales: 375k
Airplay: 135M
Streaming: 5M

[alexanderao]

Sunday Night Predictions:

1. Dark Horse
2. Happy
3. Talk Dirty
4. Drunk In Love
5. Say Something
6. Team
7. All Of Me/Pompeii
8. All Of Me/Pompeii
9. Timber
10. Counting Stars

- DH has the #1. There will still be a small gap on radio at the end of the tracking week and the video was released at the perfect time so as to boost DH's streams; it already had a huge lead on Spotify.

- DIL is beginning to surge on pop radio. So is Team, and Team is actually up to #8 on iTunes now.

- AOM has great sales, but so-so streaming and not too much radio support.

- CS and Timber are falling hard.

[Tylerbv]

People's estimates for All of Me are all over the place

[alexanderao]

Originally posted by Tylerbv

People's estimates for All of Me are all over the place

The new Spotify charts come out tomorrow. That will really affect where AOM is. Its sales are really good, but it's not big on radio. This week on Spotify it was only #19.

[fridayteenage]

Originally posted by iHypeMusic

[CENTER][FONT="Tahoma"]I wonder why Vinyl sales have been going up the past few years.

Cuz of people wanting to dress up like hipsters and collect some indie records much cooler than yours.

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Tylerbv

People's estimates for All of Me are all over the place

Why? It is almost Top 10 on Streaming (this week), 2nd biggest gainer on radio, and 185k+ predicted for this week

Wouldn't be surprised if it's at 4M streams this week, due it's doing really good there and it's going to surge because it was all about AOM this week

[ARTPØP]

Better predictions:

1. Dark Horse (=)
2. Happy (=)
3. Talk Dirty (=)
4. Drunk In Love (+1)
5. Say Something (-1)
6. Pompeii (+2)
7. Team (+2)
8. All of Me (+3)
9. Timber (-2)
10. Counting Stars (-4)

[alexanderao]

Originally posted by ARTPØP

Better predictions:

1. Dark Horse (=)
2. Happy (=)
3. Talk Dirty (=)
4. Drunk In Love (+1)
5. Say Something (-1)
6. Pompeii (+2)
7. Team (+2)
8. All of Me (+3)
9. Timber (-2)
10. Counting Stars (-4)

This seems just as likely as my prediction.