Quote:
Originally posted by Codex
Are people really saying Billboard is rigged because Lights is #2?
Call Me Maybe = 166 * 0.65 + 104 + 900 * 0.05 = 256.9
Lights = 120 * 0.65 + 114.5 + 900 * 0.05 = 237.5
Whistle = 226 * 0.65 + 60 + 650 * 0.05 = 239.4
Wide Awake = 130 * 0.65 + 116.6 + 550 * 0.05 = 228.6
Streaming data isn't given, but based on these guesses it's very possible that it got above Flo Rida with a point or two. Especially considering the formula also has a fourth component worth 5-10 points aswell.
Doubt Lights and Wide Awake have any chance next week. It's between Whistle and Call Me Maybe, depending on how fast the latter falls, and how steady the former stays on iTunes.
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Carly Rae Jepsen "Call Me Maybe" was not given a radio audience impression by Billboard dealing with the Hot 100.
http://www.billboard.com/news?utm_so...07780552.story
Also, as already stated in this thread:
http://atrl.net/forums/showthread.php?t=251830&page=5
Here is where you can get the streaming chart positions:
http://digitalmusic.org/charts/
Now... with the information (PER BILLBOARD) given in the article in my post:
"Call Me Maybe"
Sales: 166 x .35 = 58.10
Streaming: *not given in article, but high*
Airplay: *not given in article*
"Lights"
Sales: 120 x .35 = 42.00
Streaming: *not known, but high*
Airplay: 114.45 x .55 = 62.95 (Only "up 5%" was given, therefore use last weeks AI & increase by 5%)
"Whistle"
Sales: 222 x .35 = 77.70
Streaming: *not known, but increasing*
Airplay: 60 x .55 = 33.00 (Only "up 13%" was given, therefore use last weeks AI & increase by 13%)
"Wide Awake"
Sales: 130 x .35 = 45.50
Streaming: *not known, but steadily declining*
Airplay: 116.6 x .55 = 64.13
Now... the total weighted points for each song are:
Carly: 58.10 (that are known for sure)
Ellie: 104.95 (that are known for sure)
Flo Rida: 110.70 (that are known for sure)
Katy: 109.63 (that are known for sure)
What we do know:
Carly was ahead of Katy Perry on iTunes & Amazon the whole week. We also know that Carly & Ellie are the top 2 streaming songs.
Katy doesn't have a shot at #1 next week.
The 3 songs that are going for that are the ones INCREASING on majority of the formats used to rank the Hot 100. "Call Me Maybe" looks to fall next week to either "Whistle" or "Lights". "Lights" has been increasing in streaming and in radio airplay (it's currently #1 on Pop Radio) while Flo Rida has been increasing on everything & finally started to calm down on sales... but he's increasing greatly in Radio airplay and streaming. Sales might be about even or maybe down a little.
My hypothesis is:
#1. FloRida "Whistle"
#2. Ellie Goulding "Lights"
#3. Carly Rae Jepsen "Call Me Maybe"