|
Chart Listings: iTunes Discussion Thread (August 2011 - July 2013)
Member Since: 10/2/2009
Posts: 18,322
|
But what kind of Canadian slayaggee is this?
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/3/2011
Posts: 23,567
|
Bieber's lead is astounding. A 2% gain at this point is HUGE.
Here's some MATHS:
So, as a starting point, let's assume fun. is on track to sell 350K.
Then, say Bieber matches them and both Boyfriend and We Are Young are at 100%. A 2% gain over it would leave BF at 100% and WAY at 98%. Fun. would would be on track to sell 350K, so Bieber would now be on track to sell 357,142 copies, an increase of 7,142 copies in his projected sales or 7,142/350,000=2.04%.
Now, let's consider a 2% gain when Fun. drops from 38% to 36%. When Fun. is at 38%, Bieber's projected sales are (100/38)*(350,000)=897,435. When Fun. is at 36%, Bieber's projected sales are (100/36)*(350,000)=972,222, an increase of 74,787 copies or 8.3%.
So, gains at this point are MASSIVE. Him gaining 2% now is the equivalent of Fun. dropping from about 100 to 82.4%.
|
|
|
Member Since: 9/12/2011
Posts: 18,018
|
Quote:
Originally posted by RobynYoBank
Bieber's lead is astounding. A 2% gain at this point is HUGE.
Here's some MATHS:
So, as a starting point, let's assume fun. is on track to sell 350K.
Then, say Bieber matches them and both Boyfriend and We Are Young are at 100%. A 2% gain over it would leave BF at 100% and WAY at 98%. Fun. would would be on track to sell 350K, so Bieber would now be on track to sell 357,142 copies, an increase of 7,142 copies in his projected sales or 7,142/350,000=2.04%.
Now, let's consider a 2% gain when Fun. drops from 38% to 36%. When Fun. is at 38%, Bieber's projected sales are (100/38)*(350,000)=897,435. When Fun. is at 36%, Bieber's projected sales are (100/36)*(350,000)=972,222, an increase of 74,787 copies or 8.3%.
So, gains at this point are MASSIVE. Him gaining 2% now is the equivalent of Fun. dropping from 100% to 79%.
|
I love you and your maths, Boyfriend is massive I was not expecting this
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
|
^^^ Is Bieber projected to sell a million?
|
|
|
Member Since: 10/30/2010
Posts: 8,520
|
Billboard or HDD will more than likely comment on sales tomorrow. I bet he sold / will sell 150-200k today alone.
|
|
|
Member Since: 9/12/2011
Posts: 18,018
|
Quote:
Originally posted by berberocka
^^^ Is Bieber projected to sell a million?
|
He would come close to it if he keeps this lead until next week (which is unlikely) it's still very impressive though.
|
|
|
Member Since: 4/28/2011
Posts: 26,425
|
Quote:
Originally posted by RobynYoBank
Bieber's lead is astounding. A 2% gain at this point is HUGE.
Here's some MATHS:
So, as a starting point, let's assume fun. is on track to sell 350K.
Then, say Bieber matches them and both Boyfriend and We Are Young are at 100%. A 2% gain over it would leave BF at 100% and WAY at 98%. Fun. would would be on track to sell 350K, so Bieber would now be on track to sell 357,142 copies, an increase of 7,142 copies in his projected sales or 7,142/350,000=2.04%.
Now, let's consider a 2% gain when Fun. drops from 38% to 36%. When Fun. is at 38%, Bieber's projected sales are (100/38)*(350,000)=897,435. When Fun. is at 36%, Bieber's projected sales are (100/36)*(350,000)=972,222, an increase of 74,787 copies or 8.3%.
So, gains at this point are MASSIVE. Him gaining 2% now is the equivalent of Fun. dropping from 100% to 79%.
|
Exactly my thoughts. The boy is doing great
|
|
|
Member Since: 4/28/2011
Posts: 26,425
|
And they say he fell off
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/3/2011
Posts: 23,567
|
Quote:
Originally posted by berberocka
^^^ Is Bieber projected to sell a million?
|
Nah, but assuming he DID keep selling at that rate the entire week, he would be in that range.
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
|
So, Born This Way is in threat! to be broken? or Right Round? OMG!
And that if he keeps on gaining and no signs of falling
|
|
|
Member Since: 9/12/2011
Posts: 18,018
|
Right Round sold 636,000, maybe we can do it
|
|
|
Member Since: 6/14/2007
Posts: 13,130
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Peep Show
#1 United States
#1 Argentina
#1 Australia
#1 Brazil
#1 Canada
#1 Chile
#1 Colombia
#1 Cyprus
#1 Dominican Republic
#1 Ecuador
#1 Finland
#1 Greece
#1 Guatemala
#1 Hungary
#1 Malta
#1 Mexico
#1 Netherlands
#1 New Zealand
#1 Norway
#1 Panama
#1 Paraguay
#1 Peru
#1 Slovenia
#1 Spain
#1 Sweden
#1 Venezuela
#2 Czech Republic
#2 El Salvador
#2 Honduras
#2 Lithuania
#3 Costa Rica
#3 Denmark
#3 Estonia
#3 Italy
#3 Portugal
#4 Austria
#4 Belgium
#4 Bulgaria
#4 Poland
#4 Switzerland
#5 Romania
#6 Germany
#12 Luxembourg
#12 Nicaragua
#147 Latvia
|
SLAYING! as expected!
|
|
|
Member Since: 2/17/2010
Posts: 21,811
|
If this was released during Christmas, he would have done it.
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
|
United States
Songs:
132. Girl Gone Wild
196. Gang Bang
205. Give Me All Your Luvin'
208. Give Me All Your Luvin'
315. I Don’t Give A
336. Give Me All Your Luvin'
579. Masterpiece
739. I’m Addicted
750. Beautiful Killer
848. I F****d Up
857. Like a Prayer
858. Turn Up the Radio
863. 4 Minutes
910. Some Girls
Albums:
1. MDNA
37. MDNA
MDNA Worldwide:
#1 United States
#1 United Kingdom
#1 Argentina
#1 Belgium
#1 Brazil
#1 Bulgaria
#1 Canada
#1 Chile
#1 Colombia
#1 Costa Rica
#1 Czech Republic
#1 Dominican Republic
#1 Ecuador
#1 El Salvador
#1 Finland
#1 France
#1 Greece
#1 Guatemala
#1 Honduras
#1 Hungary
#1 Italy
#1 Japan
#1 Latvia
#1 Luxembourg
#1 Mexico
#1 New Zealand
#1 Nicaragua
#1 Paraguay
#1 Peru
#1 Poland
#1 Portugal
#1 Romania
#1 Slovakia
#1 Spain
#1 Sweden
#1 Venezuela
#2 Bulgaria
#2 Czech Republic
#2 Denmark
#2 Italy
#2 Mexico
#2 Switzerland
#3 Australia
#3 Chile
#3 Estonia
#3 Greece
#3 Netherlands
#3 Norway
#3 Poland
#3 Spain
#4 Argentina
#4 Ireland
#4 Lithuania
#4 Portugal
#5 Austria
#5 Brazil
#5 Colombia
#5 Germany
#5 Sweden
#6 France
#6 Luxembourg
#7 Denmark
#7 Finland
#8 Romania
#9 Hungary
#9 Panama
#10 Norway
#10 Switzerland
#11 United Kingdom
#14 Belgium
#19 Japan
#20 Canada
#21 Germany
#21 Ireland
#21 Netherlands
#29 Austria
#29 New Zealand
#37 United States
#46 Australia
|
|
|
Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
|
Quote:
Originally posted by UnusualBoy
The lead keeps increasing
I think that fun. the gap between they & Gotye keeps decreasing
|
It only looks that way because both are dwarfed by JB. Gotye's still 64% of Fun.
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/16/2008
Posts: 59,380
|
636,000 is like reaching but I think it's safe to say that it'll sell 400+
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/16/2008
Posts: 59,380
|
Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
It only looks that way because both are dwarfed by JB. Gotye's still 64% of Fun.
|
But in the updates the drops from fun are bigger than Gotye's
|
|
|
Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
|
I'm guessing it'll start falling after 24 hours or so.
But Bieber having close to triple fun.'s downloads means he'll sell about 150k in his first day. So the poster above would be correct that if he maintained that he'd sell a million. However, there's no way he will. Still, very very impressive especially given that he's only been in Hot Digital Songs T3 once.
What were the margins like the day BTW came out?
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/6/2012
Posts: 12,011
|
I feel Bieber will go down in a few days! We can't keep making assumptions Bieber can go to #1 with one day sales...
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 15,137
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
I'm guessing it'll start falling after 24 hours or so.
But Bieber having close to triple fun.'s downloads means he'll sell about 150k in his first day. So the poster above would be correct that if he maintained that he'd sell a million. However, there's no way he will. Still, very very impressive especially given that he's only been in Hot Digital Songs T3 once.
What were the margins like the day BTW came out?
|
I believe Gaga had something like an 6:1 sales ratio on #2, but the #2 at the time (Colbie Caillat's "I Do") was not as strong.
|
|
|
|
|