[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by Mattyboy

Hands To Myself will definitely debut this week. It's up to #11 on iTunes without The Voice and is still gaining in sales. This VS video contains audio from nearly the entire song and is gaining crazy on views. Why are you always so conservative.

I totally forgot about the video

3 million worldwide so far (from what ~1 million are from last week) is really not a lot, but it should be enough along with the ~30k sales and 1 million from Spotify to debut on the Hot 100 this week. Sorry for forgetting it.

But wth. I'm not conservative

[Sheena]

Originally posted by novembers17th

Keep praying

It's going to happen

[UNNAMI]

I'm praying that Hello stays atop

[Mattyboy]

Originally posted by simmnfierzig

I totally forgot about the video

3 million worldwide so far (from what ~1 million are from last week) is really not a lot, but it should be enough along with the ~30k sales and 1 million from Spotify to debut on the Hot 100 this week. Sorry for forgetting it.

But wth. I'm not conservative

I'm just saying it doesn't seem you're open minded with your predictions, nothing bad.

[novembers17th]

Originally posted by Sheena

It's going to happen

I hope you're right

[roman19911]

Selena is increasing very nice on iTunes right now & crazy updates on radio & video views are better than ever before + she is getting closer to Alessia on Spotify

I believe there is a chance for SOL to even snatch Here this week and she can be #8 on Billboard

The week after she should take Stitches too so i would say #7 is pretty much guaranteed

[alestevens]

Let's not forget the Complete My Album sales that still count for the Hot 100. I really don't think Justin stands a chance at all taking that into account!

[Truffle.]

Ugh WDYM? better keep away from Nicki and maroon 5 and ha weave!

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by alestevens

Let's not forget the Complete My Album sales that still count for the Hot 100. I really don't think Justin stands a chance at all taking that into account!

Not anymore, it was just a suspicious coincidence, but BB has already said it doesn't affect Hot 100 overall points

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Not anymore, it was just a suspicious coincidence, but BB has already said it doesn't affect Hot 100 overall points

Yes CMA still counts toward Hello's total points. Otherwise she wouldn't have gotten the Digital Gainer award on last week's Hot 100 when she fell from 300k downloads to only 120k.

[Rico Shameless v2]

I want Sorry to get it cause the song is undeniably good but Hello has the coming advantages against it (NBC performance boost, #1 through Xmas and gift card week + frozen at #1 on radio).

[Ger-55]

Weeks in Top 10:

18: The Hills
14: What Do You Mean?
12: Hotline Bling
10: Stitches
6: Hello & Sorry
4: Like I'm Gonna Lose You
3: Love Yourself & Here
1: Same Old Love

"679" spent 15 weeks in Top 10

[Ger-55]

Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:

1. Hello = 34% Sales + 22% Airplay + 44% Streaming
2. Sorry = 20% Sales + 21% Airplay + 59% Streaming
3. Hotline Bling = 12% Sales + 31% Airplay + 57% Streaming
4. What Do You Mean? = 13% Sales + 25% Airplay + 62% Streaming
5. The Hills = 12% Sales + 28% Airplay + 60% Streaming
6. Stitches = 15% Sales + 39% Airplay + 46% Streaming
7. Love Yourself = 27% Sales + 3% Airplay + 70% Streaming
8. Here = 15% Sales + 44% Airplay + 41% Streaming
9. Like I'm Gonna Lose You = 21% Sales + 41% Airplay + 38% Streaming
10. Same Old Love = 22% Sales + 38% Airplay + 40% Streaming

11. 679 = 15% Sales + 27% Airplay + 58% Streaming
12. Ex's & Oh's = 23% Sales + 52% Airplay + 25% Streaming
13. On My Mind = 15% Sales + 50% Airplay + 35% Streaming
14. Wildest Dreams = 14% Sales + 54% Airplay + 32% Streaming
15. Jumpman = 14% Sales + 21% Airplay + 65% Streaming
16. Can't Feel My Face = 10% Sales + 28% Airplay + 62% Streaming
17. Focus = 14% Sales + 27% Airplay + 59% Streaming
18. Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) = 12% Sales + 2% Airplay + 86% Streaming
19. Antidote = 13% Sales + 29% Airplay + 58% Streaming
20. Lean On = 9% Sales + 30% Airplay + 61% Streaming

So for the Top 20 this week = 16% Sales + 31% Airplay + 53% Streaming

Streaming > Airplay > Sales

[Sheena]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Weeks in Top 10:

18: The Hills
14: What Do You Mean?
12: Hotline Bling
10: Stitches
6: Hello & Sorry
4: Like I'm Gonna Lose You
3: Love Yourself & Here
1: Same Old Love

"679" spent 15 weeks in Top 10

It's amazing how "What Do You Mean" has spent 14 weeks and is still high up on the chart. Any predictions on how much longer you see him lasting?

[Ger-55]

2016 Year-End Predictions
Week #3
(6% of the year so far)

(Okay, let me introduce to this. Since I'm completely freak since around March 2015, I have the opportunity to really estimate Year-End for this upcoming year, which has already started on Billboard's calendar year). I will post the Top 20 of the biggest songs while time passing, the overrall points are estimated accumulated Hot 100 points

POSITION	ARTIST	SONG	TW	TOTAL POINTS
01	Adele	"Hello"	839	2,945
02	Justin Bieber	"Sorry"	591	1,779
03	Drake	"Hotline Bling"	473	1,496
04	Justin Bieber	"What Do You Mean?"	340	1,116
05	The Weeknd	"The Hills"	337	1,075
06	Justin Bieber	"Love Yourself"	293	1,003
07	Shawn Mendes	"Stitches"	300	966
08	Fetty Wap	"679 (feat. Reemy Boyz)"	241	801
09	Meghan Trainor	"Like I'm Gonna Lose You (feat. John Legend)""	256	800
10	Alessia Cara	"Here"	269	800
11	Selena Gomez	"Same Old Love"	246	715
12	Elle King	"Ex's & Oh's"	217	709
13	Taylor Swift	"Wildest Dreams"	186	683
14	Silentó	"Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae)"	165	588
15	Ellie Goulding	"On My Mind"	188	582
16	Ariana Grande	"Focus"	166	563
17	Drake & Future	"Jumpman"	185	559
18	The Weeknd	"Can't Feel My Face"	173	553
19	Major Lazer	"Lean On (feat. MØ & DJ Snake)"	160	490
20	Travi$ Scott	"Antidote"	163	482

TW = Points added thanks to this week's performance

I'm going to try to be more specific in the next weeks

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Sheena

It's amazing how "What Do You Mean" has spent 14 weeks and is still high up on the chart. Any predictions on how much longer you see him lasting?

It's coming for Starships/Sugar's record tbh. Its streaming is awesome, it's gonna be a good gift during Holiday season, everything helps even if it already peaked on radio

[umich]

12: Hotline Bling

overshadowed, they said
it'll free fall, they said

[fridayteenage]

What % chance y'all think Hello has of Year-End #1?
Over 50? Over 90?

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by fridayteenage

What % chance y'all think Hello has of Year-End #1?
Over 50? Over 90?

It has a good chance, not sure in %. 60 perhaps? Hurts obviously that it's biggest week where in last year, but to start the new year still so massive is a huge advantage.

Depends on how the next weeks play out. If it stays at the current level for a few more weeks it's looking very good.

[umich]

Originally posted by fridayteenage

What % chance y'all think Hello has of Year-End #1?
Over 50? Over 90?

Zero, because OOTW is coming.