[Rico Shameless v2]

1. One Sweet Funk = (25-29% of lead)



I actually don't hate Somebody that much. It came on radio and I bopped a bit.👂

[highwind44029]

Originally posted by Ger-55

1. One Sweet Funk = (25-29% of lead)

The lead.

Originally posted by Rico Shameless v2

I actually don't hate Somebody that much. It came on radio and I bopped a bit.👂

YAS bop to Natalina.

[Ger-55]

The lead is ridiculous, the fact it's still leading the three components

Imagine if UF ends up being the #1 Streaming, Digital and Radio hit of the year

[toshibatoshiba]

Can't believe it's still going strong.

[rihannabiggestfan]

Wait this could be Rih's highest debut? I think WFL was #16.

At least LMLYD peaked at #3 so far I hope good things happen as radio continues to rise...

[Mediabase]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Early Predictions:

1. One Sweet Funk = (25-29% of lead)
2. Sugar =

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by Ger-55

The lead is ridiculous, the fact it's still leading the three components

Imagine if UF ends up being the #1 Streaming, Digital and Radio hit of the year

"Somebody That I Used To Know"' swept all three of those categories in 2012, so what looks probable for "Uptown Funk" at this point would not be unprecedented. The one minor exception was physical single sales, which was taken by Carly Rae Jepsen's "Call Me Maybe." Like STIUTK, UF has not physical counterpart, at least not yet, so it cannot get that last little piece unless the label releases something, like the remix on a physical single, pretty quick. Since physical single sales were relatively strong in 2012, I would like to know how many physical singles "Call Me Maybe" has sold. CMM song could be on top of physical singles sales for the decade.

[hellocory]

If UF breaks Mariah's record... Omg

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:

1. Uptown Funk = 31% Sales + 29% Airplay + 40% Streaming
2. Sugar = 38% Sales + 32% Airplay + 30% Streaming
3. Thinking Out Loud = 32% Sales + 36% Airplay + 32% Streaming
4. Love Me Like You Do = 38% Sales + 32% Airplay + 30% Streaming
5. FourFiveSeconds = 41% Sales + 28% Airplay + 31% Streaming
6. Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) = 37% Sales + 26% Airplay + 37% Streaming
7. Style = 29% Sales + 53% Airplay + 18% Streaming
8. Trap Queen = 31% Sales + 13% Airplay + 56% Streaming
9. Time Of Our Lives = 29% Sales + 48% Airplay + 23% Streaming
10. GDFR = 49% Sales + 19% Airplay + 32% Streaming

11. Blank Space = 22% Sales + 41% Airplay + 37% Streaming
12. Take Me To Church = 28% Sales + 30% Airplay + 42% Streaming
13. Somebody = 34% Sales + 38% Airplay + 28% Streaming
14. Truffle Butter = 33% Sales + 36% Airplay + 31% Streaming
15. Shut Up And Dance = 51% Sales + 24% Airplay + 25% Streaming
16. One Last Time = 28% Sales + 34% Airplay + 38% Streaming
17. Lips Are Movin = 28% Sales + 32% Airplay + 40% Streaming
18. Lay Me Down = 50% Sales + 14% Airplay + 36% Streaming
19. I Don't Mind = 28% Sales + 33% Airplay + 39% Streaming
20. Chains = 49% Sales + 26% Airplay + 25% Streaming

So for the Top 20 this week = 35% Sales + 31% Airplay + 34% Streaming

Sales > Streaming > Airplay

That's the order we want them in. I just wish we could get it closer to 40/40/20!

[brianc33616]

I will work on a chart prediction for this week (it is close to 3 am on Sunday morning here in Tampa, so the new week has started), later today, and at least for the Top 10 I'll try to estimate the Airplay, Downloads, and Streaming rankings. I'm leaning against a Top 10 debut for BBHMM now that the download total is at 138,000, but it will be very close. I think #11 or #12, but I may go ahead and give it credit for the performance at the I-Heart Radio awards tonight and put it at #10. We'll see. The 3 am cutoff is less than two minutes away, so good night everyone!

[Jeiboy]

pls stop Uptown Funk!

[zzmyth]

Originally posted by rihannabiggestfan

Wait this could be Rih's highest debut? I think WFL was #16.

At least LMLYD peaked at #3 so far I hope good things happen as radio continues to rise...

BOTH WFL and Diamonds debuted at #16.

I font think BBHMM can debut higher than that... as its airplay is very small and has zero streaming.

Anyway dhe never debut high coz she debuted based on just airplay most of the times before climbing big due to sales

[Tsuko]

^ Yeah same, it looks like BBHMM will be #3 or #4 on sales, with a bit of airplay and minimal streaming (I don't think the song is on Spotify yet and it's difficult to find on Youtube). No way will that be enough to debut at #16 or higher.

[lostinparadise]

I just hope it debuts top 15, tbh.

We know next week it'll be higher because we're getting a performance tonight. Or does the sales tonight count for this weeks BB100?

[Rico Shameless v2]

Depending on when her performance is she'll get a boost for between 1-2 hours before tracking ends. If it has long lasting effect it'll roll into next week.

[brianc33616]

Kanye West's song debuted in the Top 15 with similar sales and minimal airplay. Why wouldn't Rihanna? Did "Only Me" have stronger streaming numbers? I don't remember off the top of my head.

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by lostinparadise

I just hope it debuts top 15, tbh.

We know next week it'll be higher because we're getting a performance tonight. Or does the sales tonight count for this weeks BB100?

The cutoff time is midnight tonight, so depending on when she performs, she will have from then until midnight to pick up more downloads for this chart week. The question then becomes how long can she hold onto the sales into next week.

Please do not take that the wrong way. Remember, the majority of songs with big first week download numbers fall the second week before stabilizing and moving back up.

[Sombra]

12 weeks? ****..

[Stitches.]

35 44 55 25 Queen Of The Clouds, Tove Lo 14

WAIT!

[Rico Shameless v2]

All Day debuted with 140k, 11.8 million in airplay and 1.9 million in streams (the bulk coming from Spotify).

Rihanna is missing from Spotify and isn't officially on her Vevo for audio streaming so she's missing those points.

Plus, of course, the chart is based on weekly basis. So the area might be stronger than when All Day debuted.