If his support amongst women doesn't take a large hit then I'll eat my Joanne hat. Men will probably stay constant
He was winning men big during pneumonia-gate. Then after the debate the gap closed. (I assume with college educated white men and married men overall). It's probably going to slip a bit more again.
This is a BIT overkill (KS, MO, MS, MT, SD?), but 400+ might actually happen if she can land TX.
Missouri is actually a real possibility. More so than Texas and Indiana. Obama lost it by .1% in '08. Democrats are leading in the Governor and Senate race.
The thing is that they are more conservative Dems. Hillary and Obama are too liberal for them.