I think everyone is severely underestimating Bernie. Especially his power with the young voters. Think of all of the colleges in Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina. All of you people saying Hillary's going to destroy tonight need to lower your expectations (especially after Michigan). I think she will win Florida and NC, but even those two states could be close. Based on her decline in the polls in the other three states, I expect Bernie could with them by 5-10 points honestly. Michigan taught me a very valuable lesson..... Don't expect too much
Nah. Bernie's Michigan upset was impressive but don't expect it to happen again, or at least not at the same rate. It was one of the biggest voting upsets of modern history, it's very unlikely to occur again in the same cycle.
Nah. Bernie's Michigan upset was impressive but don't expect it to happen again, or at least not at the same rate. It was one of the biggest voting upsets of modern history, it's very unlikely to occur again in the same cycle.
I think Bernie will win Ohio, Illinois and Missouri by 5+ points!!! But probably will lose FL and NC by a pretty good amount!
What does this graph mean? Or is it explained in the article?
Yep, but the graph should still be pretty self explanatory.
Quote:
What is going on? A recent study from two political scientists, Wendy Rahn and Eric Oliver, helps shed some light on this question. They conducted a national survey, assessing characteristics of various candidates’ supporters along four dimensions: authoritarianism, anti-elitism, mistrust of experts, and the importance of American identity.
Trump supporters were more authoritarian than any other candidate’s supporters except for Ted Cruz’s, and had the highest scores along both the mistrust of experts and importance of American identity dimensions. Sanders supporters were the exact opposite on those three dimensions: they were the least authoritarian, the most trusting of experts, and put the least importance on identifying as American. Strikingly, however, Trump and Sanders supporters both had, by far, the highest scores with respect to anti-elitism.
I think everyone is severely underestimating Bernie. Especially his power with the young voters. Think of all of the colleges in Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina. All of you people saying Hillary's going to destroy tonight need to lower your expectations (especially after Michigan). I think she will win Florida and NC, but even those two states could be close. Based on her decline in the polls in the other three states, I expect Bernie could with them by 5-10 points honestly. Michigan taught me a very valuable lesson..... Don't expect too much
Bernie in Michigan had nothing to do with momentum. It had to do with flawed polling.
Almost all the other polls this cycle have been accurate. Michigan is no trend.
CNN said last night that they spoke to Bernie correspondent from him camp and said even if Bernie loses all states tonight he plans on staying in until the convention.
Like Bernie sis...ruining it for everyone
If Hillary does sweep today, and the logistics point to it being impossible that Bernie could win the nomination, I see him staying in the race for as long as possible just because he's very prideful.
Politico Caucus Panel Members think Trump will sweep all but Ohio (I agree). They also think Hillary has the edge in all 5 states (I also agree) but if there are upsets, they are most likely to come from Missouri and Illinois
I read that some people are of the opinion that idea hurts Clinton. Some Clinton supporters might be staying home or voting in the Republican Primary because they think it is over.
God, I bet Ohio, Missouri and Illinois are going to be those states where we stay perched waiting for the results from every single county to come through and won't get a projected winner until all votes are accounted for.
