[Jeiboy]

Originally posted by Tekken_Guy

In how many weeks do you think Lorde will become a legitimate contender for the #1 spot?

The week of her album release or the week she starts to ditch her mystery promotion

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Tekken_Guy

In how many weeks do you think Lorde will become a legitimate contender for the #1 spot?

When is her album coming out?

[Jeiboy]

Originally posted by Ger-55

When is her album coming out?

More than a week from now. Sept 30.

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by berberocka

More than a week from now. Sept 30.

Yeah, I see her being a strong contender in 2 weeks. Although, in the week after next week, she can be closing there. What it matters for Lorde now is streaming, it can be THE factor which can decide

[Rico Shameless v2]

Originally posted by Monster Megamind

When will blurred lines pass thrift shop for highest sales of the year? How much difference left

1.4 million+ I believe.

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Rico Shameless v2

1.4 million+ I believe.

Nope, Thrift Shop has sold 7,045,000 but some of those sales are from last year. And BL has sold like 5.7M, right? Maybe the difference between them is 1M

[Ulrihs]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Nope, Thrift Shop has sold 7,045,000 but some of those sales are from last year. And BL has sold like 5.7M, right? Maybe the difference between them is 1M

Thrift Shop 2012 sales are (from Soundscan 2012 year end chart):
MACK 98 MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS FEAT. THRIFT SHOP 1,117,752

So difference is really small for #1 YTD of 2013, less than 300K.

[Green]

Early prediction for next week:

1. Roar +1
2. Wrecking Ball -1
3. Royals =
4. Wake Me Up +1
5. Blurred Lines -1
6. Holy Grail =
7. Hold On, We're Going Home +2
8. Applause -1
9. Summertime Sadness +1
10. Berzerk -2

11. The Fox

15. Work Bitch DEBUT

[Jeiboy]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Yeah, I see her being a strong contender in 2 weeks. Although, in the week after next week, she can be closing there. What it matters for Lorde now is streaming, it can be THE factor which can decide

I predict her album will be a hit on Spotify See Jay-Z and Kanye recent releases

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Ulrihs

Thrift Shop 2012 sales are (from Soundscan 2012 year end chart):
MACK 98 MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS FEAT. THRIFT SHOP 1,117,752

So difference is really small for #1 YTD of 2013, less than 300K.

Thanks Yes, difference between them is just 236k

[Tekken_Guy]

I have a few more questions.
-Does "Dark Horse" have a shot at going top 10?
-Where will "Lolly" enter?
-Where will "TKO" enter?
-Where will "The Fox" be this week?
-Can "Royals" go top 2 this week?

[umich]

Originally posted by Tekken_Guy

I have a few more questions.
-Does "Dark Horse" have a shot at going top 10?
-Where will "Lolly" enter?
-Where will "TKO" enter?
-Where will "The Fox" be this week?
-Can "Royals" go top 2 this week?

-No
-Probably top 20-30
-Somewhere in the top 60, maybe lower depending on how it holds during the next two days
-Should jump into the top 15
-Not this week

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Tekken_Guy

I have a few more questions.
-Does "Dark Horse" have a shot at going top 10?
-Where will "Lolly" enter?
-Where will "TKO" enter?
-Where will "The Fox" be this week?
-Can "Royals" go top 2 this week?

- No. More like a Top 20 debut
- It has chances to be Top 10, it's all on its streaming right now
- As best it can enter Top 50 imo. We have to wait radio updates if they can push it more
- It could be the surprise of the week and jump straight to Top 10, although I see it more like 11-15 region
- Hardly, the top 2 is just too strong right now. The other week yes

[ARTPØP]

My almost official predictions for the Top 20 this upcoming week:

01. "Roar" (+1)
02. "Wrecking Ball" (-1)
03. "Royals" (=)
04. "Wake Me Up!" (+1)
05. "Blurred Lines" (-1)
06. "Holy Grail" (=)
07. "Hold On, We're Going Home" (+2)
08. "Applause" (-1)
09. "Berzerk" (-1)
10. "Summertime Sadness" (=)

11. "We Can't Stop" (=)
12. "Safe and Sound" (=)
13. "Radioactive" (=)
14. "The Fox" (+11)
15. "That's My Kind of Night" (=)
16. "Dark Horse" (DEBUT)
17. "Clarity" (-3)
18. "Work Bitch" (DEBUT)
19. "Get Lucky" (-3)
20. "Sail" (+2)

[umich]

Originally posted by ARTPØP

My almost official predictions for the Top 20 this upcoming week:


16. "Dark Horse" (DEBUT)
18. "Work Bitch" (DEBUT)

[Blues]

I'm pretty sure Britney will be higher than Dark horse this week.

[Ger-55]

Sales final predictions:

Royals 300-320k
Roar 290-310k
Wrecking Ball 285-305k
Dark Horse 200-230k
Wake Me Up 180-200k
Applause 150-170k
Work Bitch 135-155k

That's gonna be an interesting fight tbh

EDIT: I forgot Avicii had 2 versions of WMU on iTunes, then it can sell 200-220k

[umich]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Sales final predictions:

Royals 300-320k
Roar 290-310k
Wrecking Ball 285-305k
Dark Horse 200-230k
Wake Me Up 180-200k
Applause 150-170k
Work Bitch 135-155k

That's gonna be an interesting fight tbh

Really?? I was thinking 180-210K since she had one day less of sales than everyone else.

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by umichgrad07

Really?? I was thinking 180-210K since she had one day less of sales than everyone else.

I think I'm actually going too high, but I was thinking and I can perfectly seeing it putting like 215k, with the day she lost she would be fighting for some near 240k. "Dark Horse" showed such an amazing longevity and even it was ahead of 80% for two days. That's really strong

[Ger-55]

Final Predictions:

Wrecking Ball:

Sales: 285-305k
Airplay: 35-37M
Streaming: 14-16M

Points: 2589-2861

Roar:

Sales: 290-310k
Airplay: 159-161M
Streaming: 6.5-7.5M
Points: 2547-2728

Difference between them: 1-5%

Chances for #1:

Wrecking Ball: 55%
Roar: 45%