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Chart Listings: Billboard Charts (April 22-29, 2015)
Member Since: 9/1/2012
Posts: 2,640
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Better predictions for this upcoming week:
(01) See You Again || iTunes: #1 || Radio: #15 || Spotify: #1 (=)
(02) Earned It || iTunes: #7 || Radio: #1 || Spotify: #3 (+1)
(03) Uptown Funk! || iTunes: #6 || Radio: #4 || Spotify: #5 (-1)
(04) Trap Queen || iTunes: #3 || Radio: #13 || Spotify: #2 (+1)
(05) Sugar || iTunes: #9* || Radio: #3 || Spotify: #10 (-1)
(06) Shut Up And Dance || iTunes: #2 || Radio: #8 || Spotify: #13 (+2)
(07) Love Me Like You Do || iTunes: #12 || Radio: #2 || Spotify: #7 (-1)
(08) Want To Want Me || iTunes: #4 || Radio: #10 || Spotify: #4 (+3)
(09) Thinking Out Loud || iTunes: #16 || Radio: #7 || Spotify: #11 (-2)
(10) Somebody || iTunes: #14 || Radio: #6 || Spotify: #12 (=)
(11) GDFR || iTunes: #11 || Radio: #11 || Spotify: #9 (-2)
(12) Style || iTunes: #22 || Radio: #5 || Spotify: N/A (=)
(13) Post To Be || iTunes: #37 || Radio: #32 || Spotify: #27 (+2)
(14) One Last Time || iTunes: #39 || Radio: #9 || Spotify: #30 (-1)
(15) Girl Crush || iTunes: #5 || Radio: #67 || Spotify: N/A (+10)
(16) Talking Body || iTunes: #19 || Radio: #30 || Spotify: #21 (+2)
(17) Chains || iTunes: #15 || Radio: #22 || Spotify: N/A (-3)
(18) B*tch Better Have My Money || iTunes: #23 || Radio: #59 || Spotify: #6 (-1)
(19) Take Your Time || iTunes: #18 || Radio: #18 || Spotify: N/A (+2)
(20) FourFiveSeconds || iTunes: #25 || Radio: #40 || Spotify: #14 (-4)
Other Songs.
(21) Hey Mama || iTunes: #8 || Radio: #51 || Spotify: #34 (+6)
(22) Dear Future Husband || iTunes: #17 || Radio: #56 || Spotify: #39 (+2)
(26) Honey, I'm Good. || iTunes: #9 || Radio: #60 || Spotify: #42 (+5)
(29) Worth It || iTunes: #21 || Radio: #91 || Spotify: #19 (+5)
(34) Where Are Ü Now || iTunes: #26 || Radio: #193 || Spotify: #8 (+6)
(41) You Know You Like It || iTunes: #20 || Radio: #55 || Spotify: N/A (+14)
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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I can't really see Post To Be increasing. 
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Member Since: 9/1/2012
Posts: 2,640
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Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
I can't really see Post To Be increasing. |
Based on the song's iTunes, Radio and Spotify positions you'd think that. But its total streaming is out of control.
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Member Since: 3/14/2013
Posts: 19,449
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Post To Be dropped a bit in sales this past week and it still climbed one spot this week to #15... Right now it's #33 combined (back to its peak).. It's also getting 1M+ daily updates on radios (currently at 50M on Mediabase) and as already mentioned it's streaming is crazy 
If they actually promoted this song it would be a top 10 hit, but for now I can see a #12 or #11 peak.
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
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Yes Earned It
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Early Predictions:
1. See You Again = (41-45% of lead)
2. Uptown Funk =
3. Trap Queen +2
4. Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) -1
5. Sugar -1
6. Love Me Like You Do =
7. Shut Up And Dance +1
8. Thinking Out Loud -1
9. GDFR =
10. Want To Want Me +1
11. Somebody -1
12. Style =
13. Girl Crush +12
14. Post To Be +1
15. Chains -1
16. Talking Body +2
17. One Last Time -4
18. Take Your Time +3
19. Dear Future Husband +5
20. Bitch Better Have My Money -3
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Member Since: 8/27/2011
Posts: 36,557
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Early Predictions:
1. See You Again = (41-45% of lead)
2. Uptown Funk =
3. Trap Queen +2
4. Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) -1
5. Sugar -1
6. Love Me Like You Do =
7. Shut Up And Dance +1
8. Thinking Out Loud -1
9. GDFR =
10. Want To Want Me +1
11. Somebody -1
12. Style =
13. Girl Crush +12
14. Post To Be +1
15. Chains -1
16. Talking Body +2
17. One Last Time -4
18. Take Your Time +3
19. Dear Future Husband +5
20. Bitch Better Have My Money -3
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Oo I like 
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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This week's Top 20 without Streaming:
1. See You Again = 375k + 48M = 423
2. Uptown Funk = 128k + 143M = 271
3. Sugar = 112k + 144M = 256
4. Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) = 107k + 142M = 249
5. Shut Up And Dance = 146k + 82M = 228
6. Love Me Like You Do = 83k + 145M = 228
7. Thinking Out Loud = 76k + 99M = 175
8. Trap Queen = 113k + 56M = 169
9. Style = 47k + 120M = 167
10. GDFR = 97k + 67M = 164
11. Want To Want Me = 93k + 71M = 164
12. Somebody = 59k + 100M = 159
13. Chains = 82k + 49M = 131
14. One Last Time = 42k + 81M = 123
15. Girl Crush = 98k + 18M = 116
16. Take Your Time = 58k + 51M = 109
17. Hey Mama = 75k + 25M = 100
18. Talking Body = 63k + 36M = 99
19. Time Of Our Lives = 37k + 59 = 96
20. FourFiveSeconds = 56k + 35M = 91
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Member Since: 3/14/2013
Posts: 19,449
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^ The "Post To Be" shade 
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Early Predictions:
1. See You Again = (41-45% of lead)
2. Uptown Funk =
3. Trap Queen +2
4. Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) -1
5. Sugar -1
6. Love Me Like You Do =
7. Shut Up And Dance +1
8. Thinking Out Loud -1
9. GDFR =
10. Want To Want Me +1
11. Somebody -1
12. Style =
13. Girl Crush +12
14. Post To Be +1
15. Chains -1
16. Talking Body +2
17. One Last Time -4
18. Take Your Time +3
19. Dear Future Husband +5
20. Bitch Better Have My Money -3
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And I thought others were going to think I was exaggerating "Girl Crush's" ranking by projecting #16 lol. My only issue is "Play It Again" had stronger airplay (huge at Country and a little crossover at Hot AC), sales (several weeks over 100,000), and streaming (Top 25 on main chart, 4.5 million or so) when that song reached #14. That's why I have my doubts about GC hitting the Top 15 until it gets its streaming and Country airplay up. I would like to be wrong and see non-Country formats begin to give GC well-deserved airplay, because it's still barely in the Top 20 at Country.
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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Quote:
Originally posted by Jei-boy
Yes Earned It |
I am in the middle regarding Earned It, keeping it at #3.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
And I thought others were going to think I was exaggerating "Girl Crush's" ranking by projecting #16 lol. My only issue is "Play It Again" had stronger airplay (huge at Country and a little crossover at Hot AC), sales (several weeks over 100,000), and streaming (Top 25 on main chart, 4.5 million or so) when that song reached #14. That's why I have my doubts about GC hitting the Top 15 until it gets its streaming and Country airplay up. I would like to be wrong and see non-Country formats begin to give GC well-deserved airplay, because it's still barely in the Top 20 at Country.
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Uhm, points are different each week. Streaming was very significant when PIA was smashing, it got about 2.5M btw, it's just how much streams have increased in the US in the past year. "Girl Crush" is one of the best selling singles of the week, it's gonna end up either Top 3 or Top 5 and even if sales are poor right now, it weights enough to be very well positioned
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Uhm, points are different each week. Streaming was very significant when PIA was smashing, it got about 2.5M btw, it's just how much streams have increased in the US in the past year. "Girl Crush" is one of the best selling singles of the week, it's gonna end up either Top 3 or Top 5 and even if sales are poor right now, it weights enough to be very well positioned
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How much streaming do you have GC getting right now? And is it more or less than TYT? I know TYT is doing better on Spotify, but GC could still be ahead overall. I don't think they've done an official video yet either, but I may be wrong.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
I am in the middle regarding Earned It, keeping it at #3.
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This one is tough. UF! is still pulling in huge amounts of streams from the official video, so its overall streaming total should still eclipse EI's (even though EI is ahead on Spotify). The songs' sales should be about equal, and EI has a narrow radio lead.
It's a question of whether UF!'s advantage in total streaming will be more significant than EI's advantage in overall radio airplay, assuming that the difference in sales between the two songs is negligibly small.
I think UF!'s streaming advantage will be more significant, and thus EI will stay at #3 and UF! at #2. But that is a low-confidence prediction.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
How much streaming do you have GC getting right now? And is it more or less than TYT? I know TYT is doing better on Spotify, but GC could still be ahead overall. I don't think they've done an official video yet either, but I may be wrong.
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I put it with 2.3M, I think that's maybe low but at the end Country always get these type of low streams. "Take Your Time" should be ahead with maybe 3.2M
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Uhm.. I see some persons talking about Earned It going #2. It's gonna be an interesting battle for the 3 songs challenging actually. "Uptown Funk" is still really stable on Streaming, losing but still putting around 13M overall.
Then, you have "Trap Queen", which really went up this week. I thought it would peak last week because I saw it slowing down, but nevermind the song increase more this week. Not surprised if it pulls 17M+, huge number btw
My problem with The Weeknd is that I just see him going down on Streaming. I'm very shocked it was the Streaming Gainer this week because the official video is doing around 6.1M views ww weekly and it's nothing but going down every week. BB said the momentum was helped by Coachella's performance, which I know it got a lot of buzz, but still don't see that video it helped its overall streaming that much
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
I put it with 2.3M, I think that's maybe low but at the end Country always get these type of low streams. "Take Your Time" should be ahead with maybe 3.2M
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Uhm.. I see some persons talking about Earned It going #2. It's gonna be an interesting battle for the 3 songs challenging actually. "Uptown Funk" is still really stable on Streaming, losing but still putting around 13M overall.
Then, you have "Trap Queen", which really went up this week. I thought it would peak last week because I saw it slowing down, but nevermind the song increase more this week. Not surprised if it pulls 17M+, huge number btw
My problem with The Weeknd is that I just see him going down on Streaming. I'm very shocked it was the Streaming Gainer this week because the official video is doing around 6.1M views ww weekly and it's nothing but going down every week. BB said the momentum was helped by Coachella's performance, which I know it got a lot of buzz, but still don't see that video it helped its overall streaming that much
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Yeah, there's a lot of overlooking of Trap Queen going on here.
Take a look at its gains on radio:
Overall AI
3 weeks ago 52.4M
2 weeks ago 62.0M
1 week ago 68.2M
Today 76.8M
Pretty consistent gains of 6-10M AI per week. Pop radio picking it up will counteract its declines on rhythmic and urban, when they come (it's still climbing well on rhythmic, and is peaking right now on urban).
Additionally, it's well ahead of both EI and UF! on Spotify, and its YouTube views are growing:
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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"Trap Queen" could be easily the #2 song in America next week, and that's tremendous
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Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
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Tremendous as in impressive, or as in delight-causing?
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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I think UF can hold onto #2 one more week with a combo of sales, airplay, and streaming, Then hopefully EI move to #2 with airplay gains and steady streaming, and UF will drop only to #3 since its numbers in all three metrics are falling slowly. By then, hopefully SUAD can jump to #3. SUAD already has the lead over TQ in Airplay and Sales, and SUAD surging at streaming now (finally, the metric it was lagging in). Then maybe UF will drop to and hold at #4 with its continued slow descent at all three metrics and force TQ back down to #5 until the latter song peaks and descends on its own. The BBMAs will play a role here too as to who stays high or moves up. Ronson/Mars really ought to perform there, since they haven't performed one of the biggest songs of all time in a long time (notice I did not try to say THE BIGGEST SONG OF ALL TIME)..
For me, #4 is plenty high for TQ to peak. I am not putting down fans of TQ, nor the artist who created TQ (my grandmother was blinded in one eye by glaucoma), but there is just nothing good I can say about TQ, and I am being as nice as I can be about that. I know I am going to get hate replies from the TQ fans, and I really do not care. At least I know SYA is there to take away any chance of TQ possibly reaching #1. And today I will be working on a paper most of the time, so none you will not have to deal with me very much.
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
I put it with 2.3M, I think that's maybe low but at the end Country always get these type of low streams. "Take Your Time" should be ahead with maybe 3.2M
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Uhm.. I see some persons talking about Earned It going #2. It's gonna be an interesting battle for the 3 songs challenging actually. "Uptown Funk" is still really stable on Streaming, losing but still putting around 13M overall.
Then, you have "Trap Queen", which really went up this week. I thought it would peak last week because I saw it slowing down, but nevermind the song increase more this week. Not surprised if it pulls 17M+, huge number btw
My problem with The Weeknd is that I just see him going down on Streaming. I'm very shocked it was the Streaming Gainer this week because the official video is doing around 6.1M views ww weekly and it's nothing but going down every week. BB said the momentum was helped by Coachella's performance, which I know it got a lot of buzz, but still don't see that video it helped its overall streaming that much
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Thank you for the streaming numbers!
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