Well all polls showed him significantly down in MI that I dismissed him and he won. IL isn't too far away demographically and he's still down by a lot so he could win this
IL had more black voters and is very pro-Obama. He won't win.
Considering Seattle voted for an actual capital-s Socialist on the city council, I see no reason that Bernie would lose Washington.
Quote:
Originally posted by Benzene
WA is the quintessential white liberal Bernie state. No way he loses it.
Chicago's in Hillary's favor and Seattle in Bernie's which I didn't think of, good point. I hadn't included NY because of it being an assumed to be a Hillary lock. PA I've always thought of being tilted in Bernie's favor despite (actually, including) Pittsburgh and Philly because of the Rust Belt factor that propelled him to victory in Michigan.
Screw it, I'm done with predictions on the Democratic side.
Honestly polls haven't even been all that accurate at all so far this cycle. They're all hovering around 60% accurate which isn't that good (and MI is probably like 5% accurate, haven't did the math yet for it). Bernie exceeded expectations in MI, VT, IA, NH, MA, MN, CO and Clinton far exceeded expectations in literally all of the South, NV, and MA.
Good news for Hillary supporters. It is still being billed as "Mathematically Impossible" for Bernie to win. Clinton has far more delegates than president Obama had over her back in 2008 and even then everyone knew it was impossible. Michigan allows the Bernie campaign to gain steam, but still doesn't really help him when it comes down to whats important (delegates).
Or maybe that's just how they feel. I don't see you saying anything when Abel does the same thing with Bernie.
How you "feel" is stupid. Identity politics is not helping the system or advancing Bernie's agenda. If you truly want Bernie's agenda, then Trump is not the go to 2nd choice.
Do we think Rubio will drop out if he doesn't win Florida?
Probably. IMO he should drop out before FL.
I think his political ambitions will be shattered if he doesn't win in FL. I mean Scott Walker dropping out guarantees that he will be able to run again in the future.
Rubio losing in FL? Bye bye GOP's Golden Boy status.
Hillary is the Taylor Swift of politics; conniving and power hungry. However at this point it's indisputable that she will be the DEM nominee.
Bernie should bow out for the good of the party. Let HC save some of her money for the GE.
I agree. He needs to let Hillary take what is rightfully hers. She's earned her nomination this year... Especially after the heartbreak she faced in 2008.
I agree. He needs to let Hillary take what is rightfully hers. She's earned her nomination this year... Especially after the heartbreak she faced in 2008.
Please. If she wants it she's going to have to fight for it.
Please. If she wants it she's going to have to fight for it.
She hasn't "earned" anything.
No offense, but anyone who hasn't seen what Hillary has been through clearly doesn't have a heart. The time and dedication she put into campaigning back in 2008 and now shows that she is the best candidate to win the Dem nominee. I love Bernie, but I don't think it's fair for him to stay in the race even when she's proven to win. It's an unnecessary distraction. He should be supporting her.
And Lord knows Bernie's not going to give any of the money he's raised to the Democrats to help win in November. He's very bad for the party.
