I really want her to go to No. 1 with this album. Her best chance of getting there is by debuting there, but it seems as if they might be going for a fourth quarter / holiday release, which means there will be a lot of competition. I don't know if she'd be able to come out on top.
I still think a January release could be good for her. People act like January is a bad month to release in, but didn't Animal manage to do 150k+ on its first week in January 2010? She might miss out on a few holiday sales, sure, but it's not like Cannibal really benefited from its Black Friday release date anyway. And I'm fairly sure a lot of young people who still buy music are actually given money over the holidays. Besides, a January release would give her plenty of time to put a second single out before the album drops.