Borrowed from another forum:
Quote:
A Correction To My Formula Estimate
On-Demand Songs is included with Streaming for H100 calculation purposes, therefore:
Harlem Shake:
103m Streaming ÷ 450 = 228,889
2m Radio ÷ 7500 = 267
262k Digital ÷ 12 = 21,833
Total = 250,989
Thrift Shop:
10.1m Streaming ÷ 450 = 23,764
111m Radio ÷ 7500 = 14,800
412k Digital ÷ 12 = 34,333
Total = 71,577
Stay:
3.9m Streaming ÷ 450 = 8,667
24m Radio ÷ 7500 = 3,200
306k Digital ÷ 12 = 25,500
Total = 37,367
Scream & Shout:
4.8m Streaming ÷ 450 = 10,667
98m Radio ÷ 7500 = 13,067
158k Digital ÷ 12 = 13,167
Total = 36,901
I Knew You Were Trouble:
2.8m Streaming ÷ 450 = 6,222
135m Radio ÷ 7500 = 18,000
149k Digital ÷ 12 = 12,417
Total = 36,639
1 sale = 38 streams = 625 audience impressions
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Going by this. If we estimate 1D gets 8 million streams and 150k sales (conservative estimates) then a top 10 looks likely. Its point total would be around 30,000 on the above chart.
Its hard to tell with streaming...... its youtube video is already at 7 million, but youtube is usually many millions behind on totals. If you guess 40% of that is from the US + other videos using the song + other streaming sources it COULD be much higher. I never paid attention to this in the past so making a real estimate is VERY hard.
If its higher. Lets say it does 175k downloads (depends on how much it sold on Monday when it was still #1) and got 15 million streams (not outside the realm of possibility for a launch) it's total would be around 47900 which COULD get it up to #3.
I am perched.
