Crunched the numbers one last time - according to my numbers, she will win the pledged delegate race with 45% in California and 0% in every remaining state.
I still don't think GE polls mean anything this far out, but at least the whole GE counter-argument by Bernie supporters is no longer valid.
In the last two races, Obama led by now - though the others made comebacks in September or so - and he won. I haven't looked at other years but there's some evidence that polls may actually be predictive once June hits.
I still don't think GE polls mean anything this far out, but at least the whole GE counter-argument by Bernie supporters is no longer valid.
Oh you're right until it becomes two obvious nominees they don't mean squat but that "Clinton is the nominee" thread had people saying she was losing to Trump left and right in polls. That simply isn't true