Some absentee ballot numbers from Iowa and Team Hillary's response to the statistics:
With that caution, IA absentee requests
Rep
2012 18,542
2014 31,099
2016 19,300
Dem
2012 105,669
2014 57,867
2016 51,633
Quote:
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Compare to 2012, things look bad for Dems. Compare to 2014, things look bad for Reps. My guess is parties just starting mobilization
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Team Hillary explaining their strategy in IA:
As early voting numbers lag, Iowa Democrats preach patience
Despite early data that suggests Democrats in Iowa are lagging far behind early voting efforts in previous presidential elections, top campaign staff for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton insist their program is working.
Campaigns encourage early voting in their attempt to maximize voter turnout. Campaign staff identify their political party’s voters and encourage them to vote early, either in person or by requesting and mailing an absentee ballot.
Democrats in recent presidential elections have emphasized the strategy in attempts to overcome Republicans’ traditionally stronger Election Day turnout. But early data shows Democrats’ 2016 early voting in Iowa is off to a comparatively slow start.
As of Thursday, Democrats in Iowa had requested 51,663 absentee ballots; that’s half the number of requests — 103,200 — made by Democrats at the same point in the 2012 presidential election.
In a conference call with Iowa reporters Thursday, Clinton’s state director and national campaign manager said they are employing a comprehensive early-voting program that stresses not just absentee ballots but also early in-person voting, as well as targeting potential supporters who in the past have not voted regularly.
“Every cycle is different, so you have to be very careful about trying to make one cycle and another apples-to-apples,” said Robby Mook, Clinton’s national campaign manager. “Our volunteers are our most precious resource, and we are trying to target their time in the most efficient way possible. So we are focused on voters who have a propensity that is lower than average to turn out.”
Mook and Kane Miller, Clinton’s state director in Iowa, said they are identifying those low-propensity voters and encouraging them to vote early in whatever method is easiest for them, whether via absentee ballot or in person.
The staff leaders said because of that strategy, their early voting numbers will improve once in-person voting starts in Iowa on Sept. 29.
“Internally, what we are tracking is how many of those low-propensity voters are turning out and what proportion of the overall turnout they constitute. We have a really good feeling on that measurement,” Mook said. “We’re trying to be very targeted in our activities here.”
http://qctimes.com/news/local/govern...ce68a29c7.html

Let's hope they're right.