[Retro]

Originally posted by WaffleCakes

I see.

I guess SOML doesn't have much chance on the Hot 100 next week. Hopefully it makes top 10 this week at least.

(If it gets blocked by one of their promo releases )

Assuming that the three new tracks do as well as or better than Kworb projects them to, and "Timber" and "Hold On, We're Going Home" doing do exceptionally better than I think they will, the three new tracks will be in the lower half of the top ten at least. "Strong" will be in close competition with those previously mentioned tracks for #10, unless my projections are off in some direction. SOML will be top 20, but from the numbers I have now, it would take 6.5 million streams for it to be a contender for the top 10.

[Mikeltfrozen]

Originally posted by umichgrad07

As always around this time of the year.

4 years ago:
Chart Date - Dec 5, 2009

1. 209.385 BAD ROMANCE - Lady Gaga
2. 154.208 TIK TOK - Ke$ha
3. 146.661 FIREFLIES - Owl City
4. 143.939 EMPIRE STATE OF MIND - Jay-Z ft. Alicia Keys
5. 129.761 REPLAY - Iyaz
6. 108.756 NEED YOU NOW - Lady Antebellum
7. 107.185 WHATCHA SAY - Jason DeRulo
8. 95.522 SEXY CHICK - David Guetta ft. Akon
9. 93.939 MEET ME HALFWAY - Black Eyed Peas
10. 93.447 PARTY IN THE USA - Miley Cyrus


3 years ago:
Chart Date - Dec 4, 2010

1. 192.458 FORGET YOU - Glee Cast ft. Gwyneth Paltrow
2. 190.703 F**K/ FORGET YOU - Cee Lo Green
3. 189.049 WE R WHO WE R - Ke$ha
4. 175.482 FIREWORK - Katy Perry
5. 171.471 RAISE YOUR GLASS - P!nk
6. 146.884 WHAT'S MY NAME - Rihanna ft. Drake
7. 140.147 SINGING IN THE RAIN/ UMBRELLA - Glee Cast
8. 139.916 THE TIME (DIRTY BIT) - Black Eyed Peas
9. 131.082 ONLY GIRL (IN THE WORLD) - Rihanna
10. 130.132 LIKE A G6 - Far East Movement ft. Cataracs & Dev


2 years ago:
Chart Date - Dec 3, 2011

1. 211.000 WE FOUND LOVE - Rihanna ft. Calvin Harris
2. 181.000 SEXY AND I KNOW IT - LMFAO
3. 171.000 IT WILL RAIN - Bruno Mars
4. 162.000 TAKE CARE - Drake ft. Rihanna
5. 160.000 RUMOR HAS IT/ SOMEONE LIKE YOU - Glee Cast
6. 140.000 WITHOUT YOU - David Guetta ft. Usher
7. 139.000 GOOD FEELING - Flo Rida
8. 137.000 SOMEONE LIKE YOU - Adele
9. 124.000 YOU DA ONE - Rihanna
10. 124.000 THE MOTTO - Drake ft. Lil Wayne


1 year ago:
Chart Date - Dec 1, 2012

1. 171.000 DIAMONDS - Rihanna (1)
2. 161.000 GANGNAM STYLE - Psy (7)
3. 148.000 LOCKED OUT OF HEAVEN - Bruno Mars (4)
4. 133.000 DIE YOUNG - Ke$ha (3)
5. 121.000 HO HEY - Lumineers (8)
6. 120.000 SKYFALL - Adele (21)
7. 119.000 ONE MORE NIGHT - Maroon 5 (2)
8. 105.000 I CRY - Flo Rida (10)
9. 103.000 HOME - Phillip Phillips (12)
10. 91.000 LITTLE THINGS - One Direction (41)

--

Some of you all really need to stop with this "low sales" thing. It's been a trend for years, and 2013 isn't any different.

Those lists bring memories back.

[Wafflecakes]

Originally posted by Retro

Assuming that the three new tracks do as well as or better than Kworb projects them to, and "Timber" and "Hold On, We're Going Home" doing do exceptionally better than I think they will, the three new tracks will be in the lower half of the top ten at least. "Strong" will be in close competition with those previously mentioned tracks for #10, unless my projections are off in some direction. SOML will be top 20, but from the numbers I have now, it would take 6.5 million streams for it to be a contender for the top 10.

I still have hope for SOML. Maybe it will pick up steam as Avicii falls.

It seems like at least one song with that vibe is always doing fairly well.

[Retro]

Originally posted by WaffleCakes

I still have hope for SOML. Maybe it will pick up steam as Avicii falls.

It seems like at least one song with that vibe is always doing fairly well.

It could do very well in the coming weeks and months, it just won't be top ten for this week.

[Wafflecakes]

I will not let you dampen my optimism.

1D stans have had very little to be optimistic about as far as singles go in the last two eras.


My main worry is that they will pull the plug and move on to their second single before this one has a chance to take off.

[BrittRihanna134]

What's the realistic chances of The Monster hitting number 1 this week since they are not performing it tonight?

[Tuxedo]

Originally posted by BrittRihanna134

What's the realistic chances of The Monster hitting number 1 this week since they are not performing it tonight?

They will be #1 this week. They own streaming, iTunes and the gap on radio is so small since Lorde is getting -4M updates...

[slicknickshady]

The AMA's wont effect it. As I said in another thread...Timber may get to #1 on iTunes for a couple days but Combined The Monster will likely still be #1 on iTunes then in a few days the main version of The Monster will be back to #1.

[Retro]

"The Monster" has a marginal chance of hitting #1 for this tracking week, but it will be #1 for the next one starting later tonight.

[Superiore]

Final predictions:

1/2. Royals (=/-1)
1/2. The Monster (+1/=)

Only 4% difference in points

3. Wrecking Ball (=)
4/5. Counting Stars (+2/+1)
4/5. Wake Me Up (=/-1)
6. Roar (=)
7. Demons (=)
8. Hold On, We're Going Home (=)
9. Timber (+1)
10. Diana (NE)


I think only Diana will make it out of the promo singles as my predictions see it selling ~230k and it has virtually no airplay and streaming. All of them should debut in the Top 20.

[Save-Me-Oprah]

Will Royals hold on for a 9th week?

That would match it with Tik Tok and Call Me Maybe

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Save-Me-Oprah

Will Royals hold on for a 9th week?

Yes, unfourtanely

[Save-Me-Oprah]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Yes, unfourtanely

[Tuxedo]

Monster will be #1 this week, poor Lorde, just when Pure Heroine has grown on me.

[umich]

Pop Songs
*** No. 1 (2 weeks)*** "Wrecking Ball" Miley Cyrus
Greatest Gainer No. 7 "The Monster" Eminem Featuring Rihanna
Debut No. 38 "How I Feel" Flo Rida
Debut No. 39 "Right There" Ariana Grande Featuring Big Sean
Debut No. 40 "Say Something" A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera

Adult Contemporary
*** No. 1 (5 weeks)*** "Roar" Katy Perry
Greatest Gainer No. 16 "Underneath The Tree" Kelly Clarkson
Debut No. 23 "Blue Christmas" Kelly Clarkson
Debut No. 28 "Wonderful Christmastime" Straight No Chaser Featuring Paul McCartney
Debut No. 30 "Please Come Home For Christmas (Bells Will Be Ringing)" Kelly Clarkson

Adult Pop Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "Wake Me Up!" Avicii
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 38 "Hold On" Colbie Caillat

Caillat previews her forthcoming studio album, as "Hold On" debuts on Adult Pop Songs following its first week of airplay. "The hardest part is we recorded 30 songs, and I think I've written, I don't know, 50 or 60 songs for the record," Caillat tells Billboard. "I'm making it harder on myself. But, it's better to wait and put out the right product than rush it."

Dance Club Songs
*** No. 1 (1 week)***/Greatest Gainer "Stay The Night" Zedd Featuring Hayley Williams
Debut No. 44 "Insomniak" Jade Starling Featuring Lee Dagger
Debut No. 47 "Timber" Pitbull Featuring Ke$ha
Debut No. 49 "Nightlife" Jody Watley
Debut No. 50 "Thursday" Pet Shop Boys Featuring Example

Rhythmic Songs
*** No. 1 (10 weeks)*** "Hold On, We're Going Home" Drake Featuring Majid Jordan
Greatest Gainer No. 2 "The Monster" Eminem Featuring Rihanna
Debut No. 37 "Real And True" Future Featuring Miley Cyrus & Mr Hudson

R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay
*** No. 1 (7 weeks)*** "Hold On, We're Going Home" Drake Featuring Majid Jordan
Greatest Gainer No. 38 "My Favorite Thing" Ronald Isley Featuring Kem
Debut No. 45 "I Can't Describe (The Way I Feel)" Jennifer Hudson Featuring T.I.
Debut No. 48 "Paranoid" Ty Dolla $ign Featuring B.o.B
Debut No. 49 "She Knows" J. Cole Featuring Amber Coffman

Adult R&B Songs
*** No. 1 (17 weeks)*** "Blurred Lines" Robin Thicke Featuring T.I. + Pharrell
Greatest Gainer No. 12 "My Favorite Thing" Ronald Isley Featuring Kem
Debut No. 30 "Side Effects Of You" Fantasia

Rap Airplay
*** No. 1 (14 weeks)*** "Holy Grail" Jay Z Featuring Justin Timberlake
Greatest Gainer No. 3 "The Monster" Eminem Featuring Rihanna
Debut No. 25 "Ready" B.o.B Featuring Future

Rock Airplay
*** No. 1 (3 weeks)*** "Come A Little Closer" Cage The Elephant
Greatest Gainer No. 8 "Team" Lorde
Debut No. 40 "Heavy Bells" J Roddy Walston & The Business
Debut No. 43 "Shepherd Of Fire" Avenged Sevenfold
Debut No. 44 "Thiskidsnotalright" AWOLNATION
Debut No. 48 "Hey Brother" Avicii

Alternative Songs
*** No. 1 (3 weeks)*** "Come A Little Closer" Cage The Elephant
Greatest Gainer No. 4 "Do I Wanna Know?" Arctic Monkeys

Country Airplay
*** No. 1 (1 week)*** "We Were Us" Keith Urban And Miranda Lambert
Greatest Gainer No. 24 "When She Says Baby" Jason Aldean
Debut No. 51 "Young Love" Kip Moore
Debut No. 53 "We Are Tonight" Billy Currington
Debut No. 59 "The Mona Lisa" Brad Paisley
Debut No. 60 "Makin' This Boy Go Crazy" Dylan Scott

Latin Airplay
*** No. 1 (6 weeks)*** "Loco" Enrique Iglesias Featuring Romeo Santos
Greatest Gainer No. 7 "Come With Me" Ricky Martin
Debut No. 35 "Te La Pasas" Tito Torbellino XIII Featuring EP
Debut No. 48 "Stay The Night" Zedd Featuring Hayley Williams
Debut No. 50 "Chica Ideal" Chino & Nacho

Regional Mexican Songs
*** No. 1 (3 weeks)*** "Vas A Llorar Por Mi" Banda El Recodo de Cruz Lizarraga
Greatest Gainer No. 20 "Te La Pasas" Tito Torbellino XIII Featuring EP
Debut No. 33 "Dos Botellas de Mezcal" Jenni Rivera
Debut No. 38 "Hermosa Experiencia" Banda Sinaloense MS de Sergio Lizarraga
Debut No. 40 "Por Ser Bonita" El Dasa

Latin Pop Songs
*** No. 1 (11 weeks)*** "Loco" Enrique Iglesias Featuring Romeo Santos
Debut/Greatest Gainer No. 29 "Prometo Olvidarte" Tony Dize
Debut No. 39 "Otra Noche" Kent & Tony

Tropical Songs
*** No. 1 (9 weeks)*** "Propuesta Indecente" Romeo Santos
Debut No. 40 "La Botella" Zion & Lennox
Greatest Gainer "Y Es Que La Quiero" Rigu

Christian Airplay
*** No. 1 (11 weeks)*** "Overcomer" Mandisa
Greatest Gainer No. 21 "Holding Nothing Back" Ryan Stevenson
Debut No. 33 "I Am" Crowder
Debut No. 44 "We Walk On Water" Shonlock

Gospel Airplay
*** No. 1 (17 weeks)*** "Every Praise" Hezekiah Walker
Debut No. 30 "They Said, But God Said" Jekalyn Carr
Greatest Gainer "Best For Last" Donald Lawrence Featuring Yolanda Adams & The Tri-City Singers

[Retro]

Originally posted by superiore-93

Final predictions:

10. Diana (NE)

I think only Diana will make it out of the promo singles as my predictions see it selling ~230k and it has virtually no airplay and streaming. All of them should debut in the Top 20.

If only one makes it, I'm sure it will be MM (ironically the worst of the three).

I would't be surprised if Kworb's predictions are right, though, given the preorder sales likely being massive.

[iHype.]

The new rule they've been adding to genre charts makes them SO inaccurate.


-is pressed-

[Ger-55]

Slay the Night #1 on Dance Club

[Gabe²]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Slay the Night #1 on Dance Club

Yasss!!! Slay The Night!!!!

[42Osuxx]

I REALLY hope Lorde can snatch 1 last week at #1 so she can match Queen Ke$ha. And that other bitch