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Chart Listings: Billboard Hot 100 Singles (December 26-January 2, 2013)
Member Since: 5/14/2007
Posts: 25,912
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C'mon Pink 
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 11/5/2011
Posts: 100,491
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Taylor Swift's "I Knew You Were Trouble" is shaping up to be the biggest beneficiary of gift card downloads, as it could sell somewhere in the range of 525,000 to 575,000. Sources have suggested that around 200,000 of that figure was registered on Christmas Day alone. Last week (ending Dec. 23), "Trouble" sold 221,000 according to Nielsen SoundScan and ranked at No. 2 on Billboard's Digital Songs chart.
"Trouble" should easily jump back to No. 1 on the Digital Songs chart next week with the largest sales frame for a song since August. That month, Swift's own "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" bowed with 623,000 sold.
"Trouble's" forecasted figure -- like all others projected in this story -- could change drastically by the end of the week. As many songs saw huge bursts of gains on Christmas Day, we'll have to wait and see if many of them sustain their popularity through the week.
That said, another title in the hunt for a 300,000-plus week is Bruno Mars' current Billboard Hot 100 No. 1 single "Locked Out of Heaven." The cut could sell maybe 425,000 to 450,000. (Up from 226,000 last week.) At the present, "Locked" seems like it will hold at No. 1 on the Hot 100 next week, even if Swift's "Trouble" sells as well as we're hearing. "Locked's" Hot 100 airplay lead over "Trouble" is still quite wide and "Trouble" has yet to become available to streaming services. (The Hot 100 blends sales, airplay and streaming data to determine its rankings.)
Also expected to move major units this week: the Lumineers' "Ho Hey" (350,000 to 375,000), Justin Bieber's "Beauty and a Beat" (featuring Nicki Minaj) (340,000 to 380,000), Rihanna's "Diamonds" (300,000 to 350,000) and PSY's resurgent "Gangnam Style" (325,000 to 375,000). Last week, the titles sold a respective 149,000; 119,000; 141,000 and 116,000.
Unlike this year, where all of the gift card impact will be housed in a single SoundScan tracking week, last year's holiday haul was dispersed over two weeks. As Christmas fell on a Sunday in 2011 (the final day in SoundScan's tracking week), we saw sales bumps in both the week ending Dec. 25, 2011 and Jan. 1, 2012.
In the week ending Dec. 25, 2011, there was just one song that sold more than 300,000: LMFAO's "Sexy and I Know It" (395,000; up 159% compared to the previous week). The next-biggest sellers were Katy Perry's "The One That Got Away" (297,000; up 157%), Rihanna's "We Found Love" (276,000; up 86%) and Bruno Mars' "It Will Rain" (266,000; up 112%). Overall digital song volume that week stood at 38.25 million (up 70%).
The next week, the major impact of downloads cards were felt, as many consumers seemed to redeem their gifts on Dec. 26 (the first day of the tracking week that ended Jan. 1, 2012).
Three songs surpassed 300,000 in sales that week while another four moved more than 250,000. "Sexy and I Know It" yet again was the biggest title (417,000; up 6%), followed by "We Found Love" (319,000; up 16%), "The One That Got Away" (308,000; up 4%), LMFAO's "Party Rock Anthem" (296,000; up 38%), "It Will Rain" (280,000; up 5%), Adele's "Set Fire to the Rain" (267,000; up 23%) and Flo Rida's "Good Feeling" (257,000; up 18%).
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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Those sales are kind of disappointing.
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Member Since: 6/3/2011
Posts: 14,194
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Quote:
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"Locked" seems like it will hold at No. 1 on the Hot 100 next week, even if Swift's "Trouble" sells as well as we're hearing.
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What kind of vendetta? 
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Member Since: 9/27/2011
Posts: 10,071
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Ke$ha's C'mon deduted at 99  it's coming!!!
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Member Since: 6/16/2006
Posts: 9,960
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ulrihs
Billboard Hot 100
49 48 51 Gotye featuring Kimbra, Somebody That I Used To Know
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I hope AC gives the song 2 more weeks
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Member Since: 2/15/2012
Posts: 15,569
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Quote:
Originally posted by Cz!
What kind of vendetta? |
I'm not surprised. Her team is truly lacking in foresight with these matters. They make up for it in other ways.
Still, Borchetta is a moron.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Quote:
Originally posted by MusicTalker
Those sales are kind of disappointing.
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THIS!
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 8/31/2012
Posts: 12,510
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Quote:
Originally posted by MusicTalker
Those sales are kind of disappointing.
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Member Since: 6/6/2011
Posts: 48,509
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Quote:
Originally posted by zzmyth
My predictions:
1. IKYWT - 500-520K
2. LOOH - 420-440K
3. GS - 350-370K
4. D - 320K-340K
4. B&AB - 310K-330K
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REAL PREDICTIONS
I Knew You Were Trouble. 525-575k
Locked Out Of Heaven. 425-450k
Gangnam Style. 325-370k
Beauty And A Beat. 340-380k
Diamonds. 300-350k
zzmyth almost got it everything!  
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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So I have a conclusion, sales for this season have been horrible, really..
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Member Since: 2/15/2012
Posts: 15,569
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Well, one thing you should consider is that all of the previous Christmas number ones have been optimistic party hits (except for Grenade), and all by emerging artists. "I Knew You Were Trouble" is doing fine, considering it's a boy-bashing song by a veteran act, IKYWT is doing well enough.
That being said, LOOH is looking to be number one for a while longer. Nothing will get in its way of dominating all of January, except for streaming giants Ho Hey and Thrift Shop (which is not high enough in airplay, so it won't be a threat until late February).
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Member Since: 4/9/2012
Posts: 499
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Why is AIWFCIY #21 if it's 18 in radio and 23 in sales, while Swimming Pools is #20 being 19 in radio and 31 in sales. 
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 8/31/2012
Posts: 12,510
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Quote:
Originally posted by S.Yair
Why is AIWFCIY #21 if it's 18 in radio and 23 in sales, while Swimming Pools is #20 being 19 in radio and 31 in sales. |
Streaming. Swimming Pools is in the top ten on the On-Demand Songs chart. 
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Member Since: 11/10/2011
Posts: 14,820
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Quote:
Originally posted by theoyella jukebox
Streaming. Swimming Pools is in the top ten on the On-Demand Songs chart. |
Someone asked basically the same question about Scream & Shout and Thrift Shop as well.
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Member Since: 4/9/2012
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I AM pressed 
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 8/31/2012
Posts: 12,510
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Quote:
Originally posted by Tsuko
Someone asked basically the same question about Scream & Shout and Thrift Shop as well.
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And the answer is always streaming 
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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Quote:
Originally posted by ClashAndBurn
Well, one thing you should consider is that all of the previous Christmas number ones have been optimistic party hits (except for Grenade), and all by emerging artists. "I Knew You Were Trouble" is doing fine, considering it's a boy-bashing song by a veteran act, IKYWT is doing well enough.
That being said, LOOH is looking to be number one for a while longer. Nothing will get in its way of dominating all of January, except for streaming giants Ho Hey and Thrift Shop (which is not high enough in airplay, so it won't be a threat until late February).
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You're right, party songs definitely get bigger increases on Christmas. That being said, Grenade still sold 559K Christmas week 2010, & the end date for that week was 12/26, so just 2 days of boosts. This year is until 12/30, 4 additional days. I think that's strange.
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Member Since: 8/15/2012
Posts: 6,964
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Psy's longevity despite the US radio boycott.
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Member Since: 2/15/2012
Posts: 15,569
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Quote:
Originally posted by MusicTalker
You're right, party songs definitely get bigger increases on Christmas. That being said, Grenade still sold 559K Christmas week 2010, & the end date for that week was 12/26, so just 2 days of boosts. This year is until 12/30, 4 additional days. I think that's strange. |
Well, that year, Chrismas coincided with weekend sales, I suppose.
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