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Chart Listings: Billboard Charts (September 24-October 1, 2014)
Member Since: 8/15/2012
Posts: 2,344
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Rather Be. I can't believe it's already peaked on airplay.
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
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HabitsTop 10??
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Member Since: 9/1/2012
Posts: 2,640
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My usual early Top 20 predictions with iTunes, Kworb Radio, & Spotify....just bare with me.
This time, I'll be giving a more in depth analysis below.
(01) All About That Bass || iTunes: #1 || Radio: #1 || Spotify: #2 (=)
(02) Shake It Off || iTunes: #2 || Radio: #2 || Spotify: #1 (=)
(03) Bang Bang || iTunes: #3 || Radio: #11 || Spotify: #3 (=)
(04) Black Widow || iTunes: #5* || Radio: #6 || Spotify: #4 (+1)
(05) Anaconda || iTunes: #8* || Radio: #29 || Spotify: #14 (-1)
(06) Stay With Me || iTunes: #17 || Radio: #3 || Spotify: #8 (=)
(07) Habits (Stay High) || iTunes: #4* || Radio: #24 || Spotify: #28 (+6)
(08) Break Free || iTunes: #21 || Radio: #10 || Spotify: #5 (-1)
(09) Don't Tell 'Em || iTunes: #18 || Radio: #5 || Spotify: #19 (+1)
(10) Rather Be || iTunes: #6 || Radio: #12 || Spotify: #12 (+1)
(11) Boom Clap || iTunes: #24 || Radio: #4 || Spotify: #25 (-3)
(12) Chandelier || iTunes: #14 || Radio: #28 || Spotify: #7 (-3)
(13) Rude || iTunes: #42 || Radio: #9 || Spotify: #11 (-1)
(14) Maps || iTunes: #23 || Radio: #7 || Spotify: #13 (=)
(15) Hot N*gga || iTunes: #32 || Radio: #80 || Spotify: #33 (+1)
(16) Cool Kids || iTunes: #12 || Radio: #18 || Spotify: #6 (+3)
(17) Don't || iTunes: #13 || Radio: #23 || Spotify: #15 (+5)
(18) Bailando || iTunes: #34 || Radio: #14* || Spotify: #48 (-3)
(19) Burnin' It Down || iTunes: #8 || Radio: #25 || Spotify: #38 (+2)
(20) Am I Wrong || iTunes: #44 || Radio: #8 || Spotify: #20 (-3)
As for the top 10, I'm pretty firm with my predictions. I strongly believe that "Bang Bang" will squeeze in another week at #3, will I be surprised if "Black Widow" gets it? No. But, Jessie is higher on iTunes and has stronger streaming, so that's what I'm basing my prediction off of.
As for the new top 10 entries... I strongly believe that Tove Lo will be gusting in 13-7. She's blowing up on iTunes, and radio is following quickly behind. Possibly a future #1? The second top 10 entry, will *hopefully* be "Rather Be." It's still doing great digitally, and in the streaming-department, despite slowing down on radio. It could swap spots with "Break Free," but I'll just keep it at #10 for now. However, if "Rather Be," unfortunately, doesn't enter next week I say "Boom Clap" falls to that #10 spot, and Clean Bandit remain at #11, but let's hope that doesn't happen.
As for the rest of the top 20, "Hot N*gga" will fly into the top 15, due to its immense streaming gains. "Cool Kids" will rise a bit as it continues its journey to the top 10. Also, Ed Sheeran will fly into the top 20 with "Don't," which seems to be taking off quite nicely.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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^ We actually have almost the same predictions That's cool
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I'm confident with the Top 2 (of course ) Anaconda will for sure drop to #5. Streaming is just a horrible thing to make estimates, it almost never matches, because of many factors. BUT I'm having BW higher on Streaming. 'Cause now for Streaming I'm tracking myself the numbers (since we don't have VEVO numbers anymore and that meant a help for me) and so far Bang Bang seems to decrease 12% of its views this week, and BW just 2%. And I'm assuming Worldwide's behaviour the same way that just the US
For Ariana I think she is going to decrease on Streaming next week a very important amount of streams + peaking on Airplay + and nothing but decreasing on sales
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Member Since: 9/1/2012
Posts: 2,640
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
^ We actually have almost the same predictions That's cool
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I'm confident with the Top 2 (of course ) Anaconda will for sure drop to #5. Streaming is just a horrible thing to make estimates, it almost never matches, because of many factors. BUT I'm having BW higher on Streaming. 'Cause now for Streaming I'm tracking myself the numbers (since we don't have VEVO numbers anymore and that meant a help for me) and so far Bang Bang seems to decrease 12% of its views this week, and BW just 2%. And I'm assuming Worldwide's behaviour the same way that just the US
For Ariana I think she is going to decrease on Streaming next week a very important amount of streams + peaking on Airplay + and nothing but decreasing on sales
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Yay I'm glad that our predictions our similar! Your predictions are typically, if not, always spot-on!
All I'm praying for is that "Rather Be" graces the top 10 for at least one week! It's been one of my favorites for quite a while now, and if it peaks at #11, I'll puke.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Quote:
Originally posted by ARTPØP
Yay I'm glad that our predictions our similar! Your predictions are typically, if not, always spot-on!
All I'm praying for is that "Rather Be" graces the top 10 for at least one week! It's been one of my favorites for quite a while now, and if it peaks at #11, I'll puke.
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I really have a good feeling about next week, it's its best chance tbh. Plus, it's #5 on iTunes so it's a good sign, seems to fight for that spot
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Member Since: 9/6/2012
Posts: 78
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Don't tell em top 10 without video jeremih with a W
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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Could SIO's On-Demand streams take it back to #1?
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 15,836
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Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
Could SIO's On-Demand streams take it back to #1?
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Only if On-Demand streams account for 2x as much as Youtube streams. If On-Demand = Youtube streams, they will be pretty much tied but Meghan will have the slight edge!
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
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I do think Billboard weighs them differently, since the figures are listed separately each week. I do think an On-Demand stream is worth more than a You-Tube stream. (If it was up to me, 5 You-Tube Streams should equal 1 On-Demand Stream lol!) While I think an On-Demand stream is worth more, I do not know how much more.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 27,856
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Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
I do think Billboard weighs them differently, since the figures are listed separately each week. I do think an On-Demand stream is worth more than a You-Tube stream. (If it was up to me, 5 You-Tube Streams should equal 1 On-Demand Stream lol!) While I think an On-Demand stream is worth more, I do not know how much more.
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What we need to do, is start recording On Demand and Youtube figures. Perhaps that could help us find a ballpark area of what it could be?
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Member Since: 12/1/2011
Posts: 24,324
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and people who bought the EP will proably get the album for like $5
epic their power
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Battle for #10:
iTunes - Kworb Predictions
Habits (Stay High) 101,000
Rather Be 81,000
Maps 50,000
Boom Clap 42,000
Overall AI
Boom Clap 141M
Maps 117M
Rather Be 97M
Habits 64M
Spotify:
6. Habits (combined)
13. Rather Be
14. Maps
25. Boom Clap
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Member Since: 4/12/2012
Posts: 7,361
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Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
Could SIO's On-Demand streams take it back to #1?
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probably not until AATB's vevo streaming decreases. It's been 15 million plus the past two weeks.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Quote:
Originally posted by toshibatoshiba
probably not until AATB's vevo streaming decreases. It's been 15 million plus the past two weeks.
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Her VEVO should be less, though. 15M is her total streaming. She should have around 8M from her VEVO Video
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Member Since: 8/17/2012
Posts: 17,268
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Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
Battle for #10:
iTunes - Kworb Predictions
Habits (Stay High) 101,000
Rather Be 81,000
Maps 50,000
Boom Clap 42,000
Overall AI
Boom Clap 141M
Maps 117M
Rather Be 97M
Habits 64M
Spotify:
6. Habits (combined)
13. Rather Be
14. Maps
25. Boom Clap
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I'm hoping Habits can overcome the airplay gap with those big sales and streaming leads and get the spot
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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I think Habits has it, it has the most chances above DTE, RB and BC
Doubtfully Maps is going to come back to Top 10
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Member Since: 9/1/2012
Posts: 2,640
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"Habits" and "Rather Be" have the most chances of going top 10 this upcoming week.
"Habits" around #7-8, and "Rather Be" probably #10.
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Member Since: 8/15/2012
Posts: 2,344
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Not "Summer" dropping out the first week of autumn
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by ARTPØP
"Habits" and "Rather Be" have the most chances of going top 10 this upcoming week.
"Habits" around #7-8, and "Rather Be" probably #10.
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Habits won't make it to #7. SWM and BF are still too strong. #8 is possible but #9 or #10 is much more likely.
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