Quote:
Originally posted by Chris101
EOG is increasing again in the UK.  Does it have a chance of debuting at #1? |
It's hard to say. What we do know is that on Tuesday at midnight it had a 11% lead over #2 which, at the time, was David Guetta. Meaning over for the two day period of Monday and Tuesday, David Guetta sold 89% of what GaGa did. I think Bruno was about 85%. Currently, Bruno is selling about 90% of what GaGa is selling.
I'm not saying this math is in any way correct, but I am just going to have a go at some rough work... Assuming Bruno is on course to sell around 70k (that seems to be the way it is looking after last week's #1 sales...). He is selling 10k per day (
again, no account for weekends, I am being incredibly mathematically crude). So, over the two day period, Bruno sold 85% of what GaGa did.
If Bruno sold 20k on Monday and Tuesday days, GaGa sold 20 / 85 x 100 = 23.5k
If Bruno is currently selling 90% of what GaGa is and it stays that way at midnight tonight, then if on Wednesday and Thursday Bruno sold 20k, GaGa sold 20 / 90 x 100 = 22.2k
Stick on 10k for Sunday's sales, you get the 5 day total to be Bruno 50k and GaGa 45.7k. If GaGa is to hit #1 with, for example, 70.1k this week, she needs to sell 24.4k on Friday and Saturday, assuming Bruno is (as is the case in my
incredibly crude mathematical calculation) constant on 20k. This means she needs to build a popbar lead whereby Bruno's popbar is around 82% of the size of hers.
I reiterate,
incredibly rough figures, but just interesting to have a general look at.
0.7
It's holding on strong and a lot better than "Judas" after all. Plus, it still has a big lead over the #3 and below songs even with Adele increasing.