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Chart Listings: iTunes Music Downloads (April 12-19, 2011)
Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 15,137
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Quote:
Originally posted by Cap10Planet
I'd laugh if Katy gets enough points to stay at #1.  |
So would I, not even going to lie. 
And I agree about how seemingly small things can make a difference when the race is this close. Remember just a few weeks ago Gaga stayed at #1 because of streaming points.
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Member Since: 1/27/2006
Posts: 51,546
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
We'll see if Rihanna/Britney can sell that quantity
Remember that E.T. was #1 on Hot Digital Songs when everyone expected that "On The Floor" was #1 that week.. And "On The Floor" was #1 untill Saturday!
I can't predict the sales because always they are inpredictable
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Quote:
Originally posted by Cap10Planet
That's because people do not take into consideration other digital sites. They think it's too small to consider, but those sites do make a difference. I wouldn't be surprised if "E.T." squeaked out a win here. It's smashing on Rhapsody, Amazon and iTunes.
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Both are you are forgetting "S&M" being in the Top 10 with the remix most of the week, while the original "E.T." has been falling. Not saying anything's for sure, but just these particular quotes.
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ATRL Administrator
Member Since: 6/29/2002
Posts: 77,601
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Judas was only ever about 25% above E.T., which has been selling about 40-45k a day on average. So in 2.5 days Judas can't have sold more than 150k. In fact it will probably be only about 120-130k, depending on how it holds up tomorrow. This makes even a top 10 debut on the Hot 100 unlikely.
From Monday to Friday S&M sold about 25k more than E.T., and I think Saturday's totals will be about 40k for E.T. and 35k for S&M, so the gap would still be 20k. This could decrease further to about 10k on Sunday. I expect both to be just under 300k for the week.
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Member Since: 5/3/2010
Posts: 26,013
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Doesn't E.T. have like a whole day of sales extra anyways? I don't think S&M will make it.
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Member Since: 6/1/2010
Posts: 65,177
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Quote:
Originally posted by Rico Shameless v2
Both are you are forgetting "S&M" being in the Top 10 with the remix most of the week, while the original "E.T." has been falling. Not saying anything's for sure, but just these particular quotes.
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I'm not forgetting any of that. My prediction for #1 is "S&M." My point is, how small things can make a difference in a close race. I do think this is a close race. But I'm still going with "S&M" for #1. Just wouldn't be totally surprised if "E.T." beat the odds.
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Member Since: 10/9/2009
Posts: 6,108
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Quote:
Originally posted by ririgagalover
Doesn't E.T. have like a whole day of sales extra anyways? I don't think S&M will make it.
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S&M Remix was released on Monday Afternoon
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Member Since: 3/4/2011
Posts: 3,981
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Quote:
Originally posted by Kworb
Judas was only ever about 25% above E.T., which has been selling about 40-45k a day on average. So in 2.5 days Judas can't have sold more than 150k. In fact it will probably be only about 120-130k, depending on how it holds up tomorrow. This makes even a top 10 debut on the Hot 100 unlikely.
From Monday to Friday S&M sold about 25k more than E.T., and I think Saturday's totals will be about 40k for E.T. and 35k for S&M, so the gap would still be 20k. This could decrease further to about 10k on Sunday. I expect both to be just under 300k for the week.
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People were saying that since Judas hit #1 in 6 hours yesterday and iTunes popbars refresh every 48 hours, it meant she had sold as many copies as S&M remix did in the last 2 days in about 6 hours. Is that true?
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Member Since: 10/9/2009
Posts: 6,108
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We will have wait until tomorrow to see where S&M stands on iTunes.
Right now:
* S&M has higher sales, but not by much (around + 50k ahead of ET)
* ET will probably eclipse S&M on Radio Audience by Tue. (Remember, Downloads end on Sunday 12am, radio still counts until Tuesday)
* ET has higher streaming points
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ATRL Moderator
Member Since: 12/21/2002
Posts: 20,569
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Does anybody know if "Get Up" by Korn & Skrillex is being released to iTunes next week?
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Member Since: 1/16/2010
Posts: 17,698
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Quote:
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Originally posted by a1016neo
We will have wait until tomorrow to see where S&M stands on iTunes.
Right now:
* S&M has higher sales, but not by much +/- 50k
* ET will probably eclipse S&M on Radio Audience by Tue. (Remember, Downloads end on Sunday 12am, radio still counts until Tuesday)
* ET has higher streaming points
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I wouldn't surprised if ET hangs onto #1 on BBH100 considering so many favorable odds, like selling more in other retailers and airplay ends till Tuesday which ET is increasing and also the streaming points from the video.
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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I'd still bet S&M for #1, but it would be hilarious if E.T. maintained (and it's not like there's less than 50% chance of it happening either.)
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ATRL Administrator
Member Since: 6/29/2002
Posts: 77,601
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Quote:
Originally posted by Fadicuss
People were saying that since Judas hit #1 in 6 hours yesterday and iTunes popbars refresh every 48 hours, it meant she had sold as many copies as S&M remix did in the last 2 days in about 6 hours. Is that true?
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No, it's not true. The 48 hours thing is just a rumor. No one knows exactly how the popbars work. Judas already started decreasing 24 hours after its release. If it were a 48 hour cumulative, that couldn't happen.
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Member Since: 6/1/2010
Posts: 65,177
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I wish we could still get Soundscan AI figures. Those are usually different than Mediabase. We'd probably have a bit more understanding of this E.T./S&M/Judas faceoff.
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Member Since: 10/9/2009
Posts: 6,108
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Quote:
Originally posted by KT&T
I wouldn't surprised if ET hangs onto #1 on BBH100 considering so many favorable odds, like selling more in other retailers and airplay ends till Tuesday which ET is increasing and also the streaming points from the video.
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Yes that right! iTunes is around 70% market share. Amazon has around 15%. Others 15%. And ET is #1 in those places as well.
So S&M digital lead may only be 35 - 45K then.
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Member Since: 3/5/2011
Posts: 472
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Quote:
Originally posted by supaspaz
"Judas" was obviously not going to do as well as "Born This Way" for many reasons: it wasn't the first single, it didn't get the same massive promotional push, it's iTunes release was unexpected, and it's a terrible song.
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Yeah right.. a combination of Paparazzi and Bad Romance plus the verse sounds like Taio Cruz's Higher (the verses)
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Member Since: 3/4/2011
Posts: 3,981
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Quote:
Originally posted by Kworb
No, it's not true. The 48 hours thing is just a rumor. No one knows exactly how the popbars work. Judas already started decreasing 24 hours after its release. If it were a 48 hour cumulative, that couldn't happen.
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Thanks! Well, I guess it's better for it to have a slow start than a killer start like BTW and fade later. We'll see what happens.
Quote:
Originally posted by a1016neo
Yes that right! iTunes is around 70% market share. Amazon has around 15%. Others 15%. And ET is #1 in those places as well.
So S&M digital lead may only be 35 - 45K then.
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Doesn't ET have physical sales too this week? And streaming points.
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Member Since: 11/17/2010
Posts: 12,926
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Quote:
Originally posted by Green Boy
Yeah right.. a combination of Paparazzi and Bad Romance plus the verse sounds like Taio Cruz's Higher (the verses)
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 Reaaaach.
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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4. S&M (Remix)
I'll be so pissed if this falls out of the Top 10 & does nothing for the song's performance. I honestly think this was totally unnecessary.
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Member Since: 1/16/2010
Posts: 17,698
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Can someone please shed light and post popbar numbers of BTW vs I Do and top3 & 4 in its first weekend?
Right now Judas vs ET & S&M: 100 vs 84-86 & 80-85..
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Member Since: 1/14/2011
Posts: 7,652
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Quote:
Originally posted by Kworb
Judas was only ever about 25% above E.T., which has been selling about 40-45k a day on average. So in 2.5 days Judas can't have sold more than 150k. In fact it will probably be only about 120-130k, depending on how it holds up tomorrow. This makes even a top 10 debut on the Hot 100 unlikely.
From Monday to Friday S&M sold about 25k more than E.T., and I think Saturday's totals will be about 40k for E.T. and 35k for S&M, so the gap would still be 20k. This could decrease further to about 10k on Sunday. I expect both to be just under 300k for the week.
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But
Saturday
12:00 am ~ about 3:00 pm
In this period, S&M combined was still ahead of ET 
So the sales of them on Saturday might be same?
Is it reasonable?
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