[fabian_phipps]

Originally posted by MusicTalker

No. I think digital markets are more influential on airplay than airplay is on digital markets

It makes sense: naturally people would want to hear songs on the radio they are willing to pay for. Of course, there's never a 100% garauntee. The Time is a relatively big digital hit but the airplay doesn't reflect that. There are many other examples but that song is a perfect one.

Thats what I meant when i said 'itunes follow radio'.

[Tra.cëë]

Originally posted by Celestial

OMG. Britney's lead is evaporating.

I know

[Britneyfan09]

Originally posted by Celestial

OMG. Britney's lead is evaporating.

My heart skipped a beat when I saw the picture posted but thank god when I looked in the full window it wasn't that bad.

[Chemist]

Originally posted by Celestial

OMG. Britney's lead is evaporating.

I think it's that HAM is increasing. She still have more than the double than grenade, the real competition

[Celestial]

Originally posted by Britneyfan09

What kind of sales do you predict for Britney and Adele next week in the UK? Adele is performing on Alan Carr while Britney has her Glee episode on Monday.

I think Adele will open with over 100k, I'm not sure about Britney. It's too hard to predict. She didn't do great with her last few singles, but then again HIAM went to #1 in 19(?) countries so that changes things. We'll have to wait and see. Her hype is going to be limited to her own fanbase and the internet. Adele has received considerable airplay so her song has more exposure. Bruno has a huge lead on iTunes so its possible that he will remain there.

Originally posted by fabian_phipps

Even in the UK? Even when you are a new artist releasing your debut track? You hardly see them release their track on iTunes first then wait for airplay [excluding the amazing Jessie J] to build up. They usually have a considerable amount of airplay before then release their track.

They release the song to radio, yes, but it rarely build substantially until it becomes a hit. As long as a song has a video it can become a big hit without radio airplay. From what I've observed, TV airplay is more important in the UK.

[fabian_phipps]

I have to admit that I'm quite disappointed with how Only Girl and What's My Name is doing

[supaspaz]

Originally posted by GaGaFan

Radio in the US is pretty slow when it comes to new music. Like, Britney is doing extraordinarily well on radio.

Except Avril is an established artist and this is her comeback single after 4 years away. It really should be smashing. I knew this era wasn't going to go well for her...

[UnusualBoy]

Originally posted by Celestial

OMG. Britney's lead is evaporating.

Hopefully, she'll keep her lead till next week , I don't want her to lose #1 so soon!

[jeeriz]

Originally posted by Britneyfan09

My heart skipped a beat when I saw the picture posted but thank god when I looked in the full window it wasn't that bad.

Thx God!

[UnusualBoy]

Originally posted by Chemist

I think it's that HAM is increasing. She still have more than the double than grenade, the real competition

I know, even if HAM get #1, there's no chances for it to get #1 in BB, the only one that matters at this time is Bruno/Grenade

[GaGaFan]

Originally posted by fabian_phipps

Compared to how a song usually does on radio?

Ohhh yes. Britney is increasing and having HUGE updates. She hasn't had an update that was less than 5 million yet.

[MusicTalker]

Originally posted by fabian_phipps

Thats what I meant when i said 'itunes follow radio'.

That's true, especially for album tracks becoming singles & singles getting airplay after already being out for a long time.

But in WTH's case, I think radio is going to notice the relatively strong first week digital response. In the future airplay is what will give WTH longetivity (along with a video & promo), but for now I think this kind of initial response has given that much more potential to be a big hit.

Digital response is important, & I believe radio takes notice of it.

[fabian_phipps]

Originally posted by Celestial

I think Adele will open with over 100k, I'm not sure about Britney. It's too hard to predict. She didn't do great with her last few singles, but then again HIAM went to #1 in 19(?) countries so that changes things. We'll have to wait and see. Her hype is going to be limited to her own fanbase and the internet. Adele has received considerable airplay so her song has more exposure. Bruno has a huge lead on iTunes so its possible that he will remain there.


They release the song to radio, yes, but it rarely build substantially until it becomes a hit. As long as a song has a video it can become a big hit without radio airplay. From what I've observed, TV airplay is more important in the UK.

I have a feeling that Bruno will stay at #1 for another week. But I really want adele to get a #1 single. Do you think '21' is going to slay 'Doo-Wop & Hooligans' or do you think it could be a close competition.

Hmmm, yeh. I've never really considered TV airplay that big of a factor when it comes down to the song sales.

[Celestial]

Originally posted by Britneyfan09

My heart skipped a beat when I saw the picture posted but thank god when I looked in the full window it wasn't that bad.

I hate when the image gets cut off. Her lead is still the same then.

Originally posted by supaspaz

Except Avril is an established artist and this is her comeback single after 4 years away. It really should be smashing. I knew this era wasn't going to go well for her...

She's always been hit and miss. This may be her comeback single, but it's not like she left on a high. Girlfriend was a huge hit but nearly all of her subsequent singles have flopped.

[Ger-55]

Exactly.. people in the car can listen whatever song and then if they like .. They can buy it! And listen, listen and listen

[fabian_phipps]

Originally posted by MusicTalker

That's true, especially for album tracks becoming singles & singles getting airplay after already being out for a long time.

But in WTH's case, I think radio is going to notice the relatively strong first week digital response. In the future airplay is what will give WTH longetivity (along with a video & promo), but for now I think this kind of initial response has given that much more potential to be a big hit.

Digital response is important, & I believe radio takes notice of it.

Yeh, I believe that WTH's airplay will contribute a lot to its longevity, but I was quite suprised with the initial reaction it got from Radio.
What do you think WTH's first week sales will be (roughly)?

[Celestial]

Originally posted by fabian_phipps

I have a feeling that Bruno will stay at #1 for another week. But I really want adele to get a #1 single. Do you think '21' is going to slay 'Doo-Wop & Hooligans' or do you think it could be a close competition.

Hmmm, yeh. I've never really considered TV airplay that big of a factor when it comes down to the song sales.

I think Adele will edge him out. It's Bruno's first album so I'm not sure what to expect from him. He's really popular, and he's definitely going to open with big numbers, I just don't think he'll match Adele. Strong single sales don't necessarily translate into album sales, take Katy Perry for example.

[Jennifer]

Britney is still selling more than double "Grenade", which is the real competition. Her sales are going to be freaking monsterous. I'm thinking 450-500k.

And unless something new comes out, Brit will be #1 digitally for a while. "Born This Way" is the only competition I see right now, and that's still a month away.

Kanye/Jay-Z will begin to fall tomorrow. Avril is gonna sink to the bottom of the Top 10 real soon.

Am I the only one who finds it hilarious that "The Time" is going to sell almost the same as "What's My Name?" despite having 1/4 of the airplay and hype. Rihanna's digital performance is so weak in correlation to her airplay.

[Ger-55]

Kanye is not a competion for Britney!

Bruno is the real competion! And she is the double of Grenade's pop bar

[D/X]

Grenade gaining again? How disgusting. It should be dead now.