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Chart Listings: iTunes Music Downloads (October 26-November 2, 2010)
Member Since: 9/29/2010
Posts: 461
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Quote:
Originally posted by Celestial
You said you thought that Like A G6 would sell 180k this week, if that's the case then Ke$ha won't need to sell 270K. The airplay gap is shortening everyday. She needs to sell 80k more than them.
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It just depends. Just an estimate.
Lag6 also has video points that count to the billboard score while kesh doesn't. Right now kesh is at 14M AI and g6 at 98. 84 point difference plus video points
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Member Since: 9/24/2008
Posts: 14,256
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Quote:
Originally posted by Nicky22
It just depends. Just an estimate.
Lag6 also has video points that count to the billboard score while kesh doesn't. Right now kesh is at 14M AI and g6 at 98. 84 point difference plus video points
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Ke$ha is @ 16 million, FEM is @ 97 million AI.
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Member Since: 9/29/2010
Posts: 461
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Quote:
Originally posted by Celestial
Ke$ha is @ 16 million, FEM is @ 97 million AI.
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Sorry 14 was a typo. 98M is rounded up.
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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I think Ke$ha is going to debut at #1.
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Member Since: 1/10/2010
Posts: 14,706
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I really dont think that Kesha is going to sell more than 280K.... And just because of one silly thing... it didnt have the whole week (7 days to sell....)
Even if her popbar is pretty big, lets say its selling 40K a day......40x6= 240K
While FEM may have an smaller popbar, lets say its selling 27K a day..... 27x7= 189K
as much as the gap may be huge the fact of having one day less fr sales does affect.... You just have to see at Back to december... it had a HUGE popbar that was almost 4 times the #2... but still sold 250K, just because it had one less day to sell. If not, it would probably have sold around 280-290K
Anyway, popbars are messed up. And if she really can sell 300K the #1 is on lock for her. I just dont feel like she is going to
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Member Since: 8/24/2008
Posts: 40,932
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We will just have to wait and see, I'm sure Top 3 is on lock 
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Member Since: 1/27/2006
Posts: 51,546
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Plenty of songs have sold big without having a full week, though. Popbars won't 100% show how much a song is selling b/c sometimes a huge bar will result in moderate sales, sometimes huge. Many examples of that throughout the last year or so.
IDK if it will sell enough, I feel that it will just based on how quickly it rose to the top and how well it has established it's lead. I'd say 250k at the lowest, 300k at the highest. Like Rihannafan said, Top 3 is a definite at least!
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Member Since: 8/24/2008
Posts: 40,932
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And remember "Mine" was released on a Thursday and debuted with over 300k.
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Member Since: 2/6/2010
Posts: 27,892
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Quote:
Originally posted by Rihannafan
And remember "Mine" was released on a Thursday and debuted with over 300k.
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? Are you sure? I am pretty sure it was less than that.
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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Quote:
Originally posted by GaGaFan
? Are you sure? I am pretty sure it was less than that.
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297K
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Member Since: 8/24/2008
Posts: 40,932
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Sorry I was thinking about TIAFT lol . I think Mine did 290k
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Member Since: 9/29/2010
Posts: 461
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Quote:
Originally posted by zzmyth
I really dont think that Kesha is going to sell more than 280K.... And just because of one silly thing... it didnt have the whole week (7 days to sell....)
Even if her popbar is pretty big, lets say its selling 40K a day......40x6= 240K
While FEM may have an smaller popbar, lets say its selling 27K a day..... 27x7= 189K
as much as the gap may be huge the fact of having one day less fr sales does affect.... You just have to see at Back to december... it had a HUGE popbar that was almost 4 times the #2... but still sold 250K, just because it had one less day to sell. If not, it would probably have sold around 280-290K
Anyway, popbars are messed up. And if she really can sell 300K the #1 is on lock for her. I just dont feel like she is going to
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That makes sense Zzmyth.......Anywho........WMN is released this Monday , so it will be invading the itunes charts. And if that sells anywhere from 260-300K , #1 is on lock for the following week because Rihanna is already at 27M AI and will be around 40M+ AI by the time that chart is released
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Member Since: 2/6/2010
Posts: 27,892
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And people have to realize that pop bars are completely dependent on the situation of the time. This week, there was a TON of digital sales going on due to the release of Taylor swift's new album. As such, the number of people who were going to iTunes to purchase digital singles was much greater as well. So Kesha actually might have benefited a TON from Taylors album release, because a lot of the people who listen to her music also like keshas.
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Member Since: 9/13/2009
Posts: 22,181
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Quote:
Originally posted by Rihannafan
And remember "Mine" was released on a Thursday and debuted with over 300k.
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Ke$ha is big digitally but Taylor is bigger. So, comparing them both like they're actually on par would be unfair for Ke$ha.
Plus, Mine is her first single while WRWWR is the lead single from Cannibal but it's just a follow up of Take It Off. The hype and anticipation is not the same. In addition, Taylor's album won AOTY at the Grammys. So, her fans would be very eager to buy her materials. Few days late won't mean **** 
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Member Since: 8/24/2008
Posts: 40,932
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Quote:
Originally posted by Nicky22
That makes sense Zzmyth.......Anywho........WMN is released this Monday , so it will be invading the itunes charts. And if that sells anywhere from 260-300K , #1 is on lock for the following week because Rihanna is already at 27M AI and will be around 40M+ AI by the time that chart is released
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How can you possibly say WRWWR is only going to sell around 200k and then go on to say WMN could sell around 300k !? Not even Only Girl could do that ! 
Harry, we were just talking about what Taylor sold . To be honest, digitally Ke$ha is bigger . Compare Right Rounds and Tik Toks one week sales to Taylors songs . And then compare overall sales . Taylors songs to big first week then disapear. Ke$ha has longevity
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Member Since: 9/29/2010
Posts: 461
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Quote:
Originally posted by Rihannafan
How can you possibly say WRWWR is only going to sell around 200k and then go on to say WMN could sell around 300k !? Not even Only Girl could do that !
Harry, we were just talking about what Taylor sold . To be honest, digitally Ke$ha is bigger . Compare Right Rounds and Tik Toks one week sales to Taylors songs . And then compare overall sales . Taylors songs to big first week then disapear. Ke$ha has longevity |
Sweetheart , reading is fundamental. I said i can see kesha selling between 210-240K . Read hun.
OG sold 250k .....Drakes fans can add to the that. And OG is crossover, so urban fans will be also buying it as well as pop fans
And the key word I used was IF Rihanna did that.....IF
So we'll see
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Member Since: 8/24/2008
Posts: 40,932
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Drake isn't a big digital seller .
Urban audience doesn't buy singles .
No shade, but Only Girl is still selling well, so whatever WRWWR sells this week, WMN will do worse . Unless the iTunes server meltdown effected it's sales .
And now iTunes is back and running, is her lead increasing or decreasing ?
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Member Since: 6/1/2010
Posts: 65,177
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I would hate for that terrible Ke$ha song to hit #1.
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Member Since: 9/29/2010
Posts: 461
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Quote:
Originally posted by Rihannafan
Drake isn't a big digital seller .
Urban audience doesn't buy singles .
No shade, but Only Girl is still selling well, so whatever WRWWR sells this week, WMN will do worse . Unless the iTunes server meltdown effected it's sales .
And now iTunes is back and running, is her lead increasing or decreasing ? |
Hence why I said 260-300k...and hypothetically speaking.....If Rihanna's highest 1st week was 300k+ as a collab artist and 280k as a lead artist (Umbrella) , I'm sure that 260-300k with a HOT collab artist is not to far out the question.....It's called "Analysis"
Last time I checked Drake's "Best I Ever Had" was a big digital seller
Urban audiences don't buy singles? That has to be one of the most unsupported comment I've heard. Urban audiences dont buy on the same level as pop audiences, but they still buy.
Why are you keep bringing up WRWWR compared to WMN?? Threatened much? *Giggles*
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Member Since: 1/27/2006
Posts: 51,546
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No one was comparing them literally, so calm down LOL.
Anyways, like GaGaFan said in simpler term, the popbars are based on the current situation. It's not all the same. There's time where a huge popbar resulted in 300k+, then
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