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Originally posted by Lord Blackout
.It's not arrogant. It's all the polling that showed her safe in those states. Polling that every campaign that preceded hers relied on. The same polling showed her dangerously in dead heat in the swing states post-Comey which is why she spent most of her time there. Like, come on, we all thought the blue wall was safe. .
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Quote:
Originally posted by King Maxx
I don't think they were arrogant. Like Wisconsin, Michigan, and PA were suppose to be blue.
All the prominent polls and data suggested so. I don't even think Trump thought he would win.
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Look at Brexit, though. That wasn't meant to happen and was a polling error. Look at the Conservative majority in the UK last year that was horrendously wrong. Look at the 2012 election - okay, not as extreme, but certainly wasn't as close as it should have been.
Polls can be wrong. Data is often wrong. Shocks do happen. Nothing is certain in uncertain times. Bill Clinton knew this when he was warning about that Blue Wall (despite how safe it apparently was), and someone with Clinton's experience and team should have thought it too. I'm not blaming her for thinking it was at stake, I'm blaming for her for thinking it was absolutely secure. To not visit WI once is quite frankly laughable.
And yet, I was absolutely destroyed in here a couple of months back for making a comparison to Brexit and was told that US polls are far more accurate. It was this overconfidence that led to the Clinton campaign not having enthusiasm or fight.
Donald Trump to be fair to him, was making speech after speech and was flying all over the place trying to improve his chances in any state. He was laughed at when he was in MI and the likely path for him was trying to get NV+NH, yet it was ultimately him laughing at the end. Clinton instead, was too busy sending her surrogates all over the place. It didn't work. People don't care about Tim Kaine. People didn't care about Beyonce. People didn't care about Joe Biden saying he wanted to punch Trump. They (the ones who decided this election in that Blue Wall) wanted hope, energy, and someone would fight for them. And that wasn't Clinton.