When people mention Brexit, I don't think they're referring to demographics or anything because obviously America is very different, but pretty much everyone thought Remain would win by the end, the conventional wisdom was that people would be too risk averse to actually go for it. Farage even conceded the moment the polls closed. It was a huge shock.
And where on earth is this narrative of "violence in the black community" coming from. A couple of precincts in Chicago does not = the black community.
I swear this year people have been acting like every damn black person lives in Chicago. I've never even lived in an inner city.
And where on earth is this narrative of "violence in the black community" coming from. A couple of precincts in Chicago does not = the black community.
Yes, the Trump narrative completely erased the white poor communities and the black middle class; both of which are super yuuge.
In fact, if you want to give Michelle and me a good sendoff — and that was a beautiful video — but don’t just watch us walk off into the sunset, now. Get people registered to vote. If you care about our legacy, realize everything we stand for is at stake. All the progress we’ve made is at stake in this election. My name may not be on the ballot, but our progress is on the ballot. Tolerance is on the ballot. Democracy is on the ballot. Justice is on the ballot. Good schools are on the ballot. Ending mass incarceration — that’s on the ballot right now!
And there is one candidate who will advance those things. And there’s another candidate whose defining principle, the central theme of his candidacy is opposition to all that we’ve done.
There’s no such thing as a vote that doesn’t matter. It all matters. And after we have achieved historic turnout in 2008 and 2012, especially in the African-American community, I will consider it a personal insult, an insult to my legacy, if this community lets down its guard and fails to activate itself in this election. You want to give me a good sendoff? Go vote.
I should make some time to watch his recent speeches.
This is why I wasn't worried about her latest poll numbers. Every month and half it has been tightening (late May, mid July, Early September). I just hope she can keep that streak until November.
Independent Evan McMullin Turns Racist Voicemail From Trump Supporter Into Campaign Ad
Evan McMullin’s presidential campaign has taken a racist tirade recently left in a staffer’s voicemail inbox and turned it into a political ad highlighting the dangers of “Donald Trump’s America.” The ad, which will air online in select markets, features a recording of a personal cell phone message campaign spokeswoman Rina Shah received after appearing on Fox News last Friday.
“You frothing, libtard piece of **** Islamic dog,” the caller, identified only as “Alan,” is heard saying in the ad, while a transcript of his rant runs along the bottom of the screen. “Vote for the pathological lying criminal you ****ing piece of **** … and get out of our country … while you’re at it, got back and get ****ed by your dirtbag Islamic terror scum friends. ****.”
As the ad notes, Shah was born in West Virginia. She is also not a Muslim. But in an interview with BuzzFeed News, she said Alan’s voicemail was just a small sample of the abuse she has endured from Trump supporters since she publicized her opposition to Trump and then joined McMullin’s campaign.
But the facts are right there? Brexit.
All the polls said Remain would win with a huge majority. Remain voter turnout was double what the polls had suggested. Yet they ended up getting demolished.
So clearly people did lie to the polls. And the silent white conservatives came out in force with 70-90% turnout.
I was in your position a few months ago, laughing at anyone who said Brexit would happen. And reality clocked me hard. I'm not saying Trump is going to win, but I think it's silly to underestimate him and the potential silent voters he may have.
And some of what you're saying re: diversity is pure ignorant.
No one will know if you said yes or no in a poll.
Again, there is no such thing as a silent majority.
That Fox NC poll screams outlier (though we'll see what NYT/Siena says tomorrow), and NV polling ALWAYS underestimates Dems, but it's quite clear that Hillary is losing Ohio now.
What I don't understand. Right now it looks like she'll win the popular vote by around as much as Obama in 2012, maybe even more. Yet she's running behind in Ohio, Iowa, possibly Nevada and Maine's 2nd district too. So where is she making up the numbers? The most logical guess would be in the south, where we already know she is running ahead of Obama in Georgia. But North Carolina is just as close as it was in 2008 and 2012, which doesn't make much sense.
What I don't understand. Right now it looks like she'll win the popular vote by around as much as Obama in 2012, maybe even more. Yet she's running behind in Ohio, Iowa, possibly Nevada and Maine's 2nd district too. So where is she making up the numbers? The most logical guess would be in the south, where we already know she is running ahead of Obama in Georgia. But North Carolina is just as close as it was in 2008 and 2012, which doesn't make much sense.
She's on track to become the first Dem in the modern era to win college educated white voters. Big deal in the Atlanta/Phoenix/Research Triangle suburbs.
What I don't understand. Right now it looks like she'll win the popular vote by around as much as Obama in 2012, maybe even more. Yet she's running behind in Ohio, Iowa, possibly Nevada and Maine's 2nd district too. So where is she making up the numbers? The most logical guess would be in the south, where we already know she is running ahead of Obama in Georgia. But North Carolina is just as close as it was in 2008 and 2012, which doesn't make much sense.
Either polling is ****ed right now. Or she's losing in states like Ohio and Iowa but making up for it in big numbers in blue states like CA and NY. Or she's doing better in red states, which we know is the case in Arizona, Georgia, Utah???, Missouri, etc. Even Kansas and Texas have had closer than usual poll numbers.
I really think if she can activate minorities and win college whites, it's going to be bad for Republicans, especially in down ballot seats. Hope she crushes the debates.
Polling is a bit ****ed right now that everyone has switched to LV screens. Pollsters are all guessing at what the turnout will be because nobody really knows.
And where on earth is this narrative of "violence in the black community" coming from. A couple of precincts in Chicago does not = the black community.
yep! I live in a safe neighbourhood, and my mum makes over 100k a year, post-taxes. he really has got us wrong
She's on track to become the first Dem in the modern era to win college educated white voters. Big deal in the Atlanta/Phoenix/Research Triangle suburbs.
Quote:
Originally posted by King Maxx
Either polling is ****ed right now. Or she's losing in states like Ohio and Iowa but making up for it in big numbers in blue states like CA and NY. Or she's doing better in red states, which we know is the case in Arizona, Georgia, Utah???, Missouri, etc. Even Kansas and Texas have had closer than usual poll numbers.
It's just a shame that she'll probably have nothing to show for it in the electoral college. Trump is pushing those states blue and that'll be a big deal in like a decade but they're not ready to flip right now. Maybe she could have a huge push for Arizona and Georgia but only if she's already won handily anyway.
And that's what I don't understand about North Carolina. What makes it different from other states in the south that have had those huge swings? It's still very tight there.
