[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by EDNEY

What about billboard hot 100?

Billboard has never told us the Hot 100 formula.
In the one I use it is 1 single sale = 120 streams

[DRjuss06]

Kinda impressed at Work's top 20 stay

[J Rick]

I tried to do mine predictions, with a formula i've made, incorporating iTunes, spotify, youtube and radio, but i'm gessing somerthing went wrong! But here's mine top 20

1º One Dance - 440
2º Can't Stop The Feeling - 403
3º This Is What You Came For - 370
4º Cheap Thrills - 361
5º Dont Let Me Down - 348
6º Needed Me - 304
7º Panda - 289
8º Ride - 284
9º Don't Mind - 272
10º Send My Love (To Your New Lover) - 236
11º Work From Home - 228
12º Just Like Fire - 213
13º I Took A Pill In Ibiza - 211
14º Me Too - 198
15º Controlla - 177
16º Let It Go - 159
17º HOLY 157
18º 7 years - 153
19º For Free - 147
20° Too Good - 146

[Ger-55]

Weeks in Top 10

15: Work From Home
14: Panda
12: One Dance
10: Don't Let Me Down
9: CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! & Needed Me
7: This Is What You Came For
4: Cheap Thrills & Don't Mind
2: Ride

[family.guy123]

Is work really 110 on iTunes?

[PhreshDiamond]

Originally posted by family.guy123

Is work really 110 on iTunes?

really

a 6 month old song only just out of the top 100 is not shocking. Its still got fantastic streams, everyone who was going to buy it, did so already.

[Ger-55]

Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:

1. One Dance = 17% Sales + 41% Airplay + 42% Streaming
2. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! = 29% Sales + 46% Airplay + 25% Streaming
3. Don't Let Me Down = 21% Sales + 41% Airplay + 38% Streaming
4. This Is What You Came For = 20% Sales + 35% Airplay + 45% Streaming
5. Cheap Thrills = 29% Sales + 39% Airplay + 32% Streaming
6. Panda = 14% Sales + 16% Airplay + 70% Streaming
7. Needed Me = 16% Sales + 27% Airplay + 57% Streaming
8. Ride = 24% Sales + 39% Airplay + 37% Streaming
9. Don't Mind = 19% Sales + 38% Airplay + 43% Streaming
10. Work From Home = 17% Sales + 31% Airplay + 52% Streaming

11. Just Like Fire = 27% Sales + 53% Airplay + 20% Streaming
12. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) = 26% Sales + 38% Airplay + 36% Streaming
13. I Took A Pill In Ibiza = 16% Sales + 41% Airplay + 43% Streaming
14. H.O.L.Y. = 41% Sales + 28% Airplay + 31% Streaming
15. Me Too = 41% Sales + 21% Airplay + 38% Streaming
16. Let It Go = 32% Sales + 47% Airplay + 21% Streaming
17. 7 Years = 18% Sales + 34% Airplay + 48% Streaming
18. Controlla = 16% Sales + 29% Airplay + 55% Streaming
19. Work = 9% Sales + 19% Airplay + 72% Streaming
20. For Free = 21% Sales + 29% Airplay + 50% Streaming

So for the Top 20 this week = 22% Sales + 35% Airplay + 43% Streaming

Streaming > Airplay > Sales

[EDNEY]

19. Work = 9% Sales + 19% Airplay + 72% Streaming


9% of sales

A mess

[Ger-55]

2016 Building Year-End Chart
Week #34/52
(65% so far)

Rank	Change	Artist	Song	Total Points / Gain TW
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20	= = = = = = +1 +5 -2 = = -3 -1 +1 -1 = = = NEW -1	Justin Bieber Justin Bieber Adele twenty one pilots Rihanna Flo Rida Desiigner Drake G-Eazy x Bebe Rexha Lukas Graham ZAYN Drake Shawn Mendes Mike Posner DNCE Fifth Harmony Justin Bieber The Weeknd The Chainsmokers Alessia Cara	"Sorry" "Love Yourself" "Hello" "Stressed Out" "Work (feat. Drake)" "My House" "Panda" "One Dance (feat. Wizkid & Kyla)" "Me, Myself & I" "7 Years" "PILLOWTALK" "Hotline Bling" "Stitches" "I Took A Pill In Ibiza" "Cake By The Ocean" "Work From Home" "What Do You Mean?" "The Hills" "Don't Let Me Down (feat. Daya)" "Here"	10,459 (+97) 10,039 (+120) 9,740 7,570 (+127) 7,490 (+144) 5,983 (+115) 5,866 (+281) 5,673 (+372) 5,505 5,486 (+146) 5,278 (+98) 5,219 5,024 4,918 (+177) 4,810 (+110) 4,629 (+187) 4,199 4,126 3,891 (+302) 3,790

[kwek_kwek]

Is Once Dance has a chance for the number one on BB YEC?

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by kwek_kwek

Is Once Dance has a chance for the number one on BB YEC?

I don't feel it, but it's going to be a big contender for Top 3 for sure with music video coming.

[Adonis]

Sales are so low these days.

[Costea]

Originally posted by kwek_kwek

Is Once Dance has a chance for the number one on BB YEC?

i doubt it

[simmnfierzig]

Final Predictions

Top 4 next week will be so close

1. One Dance 359 (=)
2. Can't Stop The Feeling 327 (=)
3. This Is What You Came For 318 (+1)
4. Cheap Thrills 311 (+1)
5. Don't Let Me Down 294 (-2)
6. Panda 256 (=)
7. Needed Me 254 (=)
8. Ride 248 (=)
9. Don't Mind 218 (=)
10. Send My Love 193 (+2)
11. Just Like Fire 182 (=)
12. Work From Home 179 (-2)
13. H.O.L.Y. 170 (+1)
14. Me Too 169 (+1)
15. I Took A Pill In Ibiza 167 (-2)
16. Controlla 155 (+2)
17. For Free 153 (+3)
18. Let It Go 145 (-2)
19. 7 Years 135 (-2)
20. Treat You Better 132 (+15)

21-100

21. Heathens 132 (+5)
22. Too Good 131 (=)
23. Work 131 (-4)
24. Dangerous Woman 119 (-3)
25. Stressed Out 119 (-2)
26. Sorry 117 (+1)
27. Never Be Like You 116 (+5)
28. Lost Boy 115 (-3)
29. All In My Head 113 (+8)
30. Love Yourself 111 (-2)
31. Low Life 109 (-2)
32. Close 107 (-8)
33. Cake By The Ocean 107 (-2)
34. Into You 106 (+7)
35. We Don't Talk Anymore 104 (+13)
36. Broccoli 102 (+7)
37. My House 99 (-7)
38. All The Way Up 97 (-5)
39. Toothbrush 94 (+13)
40. Unsteady 92 (+4)
41. I Got The Keys 92 (+15)
42. Church Bells 90 (+3)
43. Never Forget You 90 (-7)
44. Sorry 90 (-5)
45. Wicked 86 (+1)
46. Gold 85 (-6)
47. Me, Myself & I 85 (-5)
48. Pillowtalk 84 (-8)
49. That Part 82 (+15)
50. Cut It 80 (-10)
51. Hymn For The Weekend 80 (+10)
52. Kill'Em With Kindness 79 (-1)
53. Record Year 79 (=)
54. Lights Come On 77 (-7)
55. I Hate U I Love U 76 (+5)
56. Head Over Boots 73 (-1)
57. Wherever I Go 73 (+10)
58. Peter Pan 70 (+5)
59. Uber Everywhere 69 (-2)
60. From The Ground Up 67 (+5)
61. Wake Up 66 (-11)
62. Make You Miss Me 65 (+8)
63. Wasted Time 64 (-4)
64. My PYT 63 (+10)
65. Sit Still, Look Pretty 62 (+4)
66. Fix 61 (+6)
67. American Country Love Song 60 (+4)
68. Love Makes The World Go Round 56 (debut)
69. Pop Style 56 (-3)
70. T-Shirt 56 (-2)
71. Different For Girls 54 (+11)
72. Huntin', Fishin' & Lovin' 54 (-10)
73. Money Longer 54 (+17)
74. No Limit 52 (+2)
75. Luv 52 (+9)
76. She's Got A Way With Words 51 (+5)
77. Hasta El Amanecer 49 (+6)
78. You & Me 45 (debut)
79. You Don't Own Me 45 (-21)
80. No 44 (-2)
81. Lockjaw 43 (+17)
82. Nights On Fire 42 (+8)
83. Famous 42 (-8)
84. Brand New 42 (+10)
85. Sucker For Pain 42 (-5)
86. Why You Always Hatin? 41 (+5)
87. Noise 39 (-14)
88. Light It Up 39 (-1)
89. Childs Play 38 (+3)
90. Came Here To Forget 38 (-4)
91. Lush Life 38 (debut)
92. Duele El Corazon 37 (debut)
93. No Problem 37 (+6)
94. Ophelia 37 (+2)
95. Body 36 (-2)
96. Father Stretch My Hands Pt.1 36 (re-entry)
97. No Money 35 (debut)
98. MILF $ 34 (-64)
99. Still Here 34 (-4)
100. Pity Party 34 (debut)

Below

Say It 34
Champions 32
Hype 32
Without A Fight 30
Capsize 29
Vacation 29
Sex 29

[istan4badgalriri]

Originally posted by family.guy123

Is work really 110 on iTunes?

It's #80 combined

[iHype.]

@Simm, Rise got 685K views first day on YouTube US.

So I'll stick by 5M for the week with Apple Music, and 15M audience. Kworb lowered her sales projection to 130K.

That should be an #11-12 debut, since that's around 186 points.

Make Me got 745K views first day. I'll go on a limb and say it'll get 7M streams this week.

7M streams + 90K sales (per Kworb) + 20M audience = 168 points. A debut around #15?

[PurrKaty]

Originally posted by simmnfierzig

Final Predictions

Top 4 next week will be so close

1. One Dance 359 (=)
2. Can't Stop The Feeling 327 (=)
3. This Is What You Came For 318 (+1)
4. Cheap Thrills 311 (+1)
5. Don't Let Me Down 294 (-2)
6. Panda 256 (=)
7. Needed Me 254 (=)
8. Ride 248 (=)
9. Don't Mind 218 (=)
10. Send My Love 193 (+2)
11. Just Like Fire 182 (=)
12. Work From Home 179 (-2)
13. H.O.L.Y. 170 (+1)
14. Me Too 169 (+1)
15. I Took A Pill In Ibiza 167 (-2)
16. Controlla 155 (+2)
17. For Free 153 (+3)
18. Let It Go 145 (-2)
19. 7 Years 135 (-2)
20. Treat You Better 132 (+15)

21-100

21. Heathens 132 (+5)
22. Too Good 131 (=)
23. Work 131 (-4)
24. Dangerous Woman 119 (-3)
25. Stressed Out 119 (-2)
26. Sorry 117 (+1)
27. Never Be Like You 116 (+5)
28. Lost Boy 115 (-3)
29. All In My Head 113 (+8)
30. Love Yourself 111 (-2)
31. Low Life 109 (-2)
32. Close 107 (-8)
33. Cake By The Ocean 107 (-2)
34. Into You 106 (+7)
35. We Don't Talk Anymore 104 (+13)
36. Broccoli 102 (+7)
37. My House 99 (-7)
38. All The Way Up 97 (-5)
39. Toothbrush 94 (+13)
40. Unsteady 92 (+4)
41. I Got The Keys 92 (+15)
42. Church Bells 90 (+3)
43. Never Forget You 90 (-7)
44. Sorry 90 (-5)
45. Wicked 86 (+1)
46. Gold 85 (-6)
47. Me, Myself & I 85 (-5)
48. Pillowtalk 84 (-8)
49. That Part 82 (+15)
50. Cut It 80 (-10)
51. Hymn For The Weekend 80 (+10)
52. Kill'Em With Kindness 79 (-1)
53. Record Year 79 (=)
54. Lights Come On 77 (-7)
55. I Hate U I Love U 76 (+5)
56. Head Over Boots 73 (-1)
57. Wherever I Go 73 (+10)
58. Peter Pan 70 (+5)
59. Uber Everywhere 69 (-2)
60. From The Ground Up 67 (+5)
61. Wake Up 66 (-11)
62. Make You Miss Me 65 (+8)
63. Wasted Time 64 (-4)
64. My PYT 63 (+10)
65. Sit Still, Look Pretty 62 (+4)
66. Fix 61 (+6)
67. American Country Love Song 60 (+4)
68. Love Makes The World Go Round 56 (debut)
69. Pop Style 56 (-3)
70. T-Shirt 56 (-2)
71. Different For Girls 54 (+11)
72. Huntin', Fishin' & Lovin' 54 (-10)
73. Money Longer 54 (+17)
74. No Limit 52 (+2)
75. Luv 52 (+9)
76. She's Got A Way With Words 51 (+5)
77. Hasta El Amanecer 49 (+6)
78. You & Me 45 (debut)
79. You Don't Own Me 45 (-21)
80. No 44 (-2)
81. Lockjaw 43 (+17)
82. Nights On Fire 42 (+8)
83. Famous 42 (-8)
84. Brand New 42 (+10)
85. Sucker For Pain 42 (-5)
86. Why You Always Hatin? 41 (+5)
87. Noise 39 (-14)
88. Light It Up 39 (-1)
89. Childs Play 38 (+3)
90. Came Here To Forget 38 (-4)
91. Lush Life 38 (debut)
92. Duele El Corazon 37 (debut)
93. No Problem 37 (+6)
94. Ophelia 37 (+2)
95. Body 36 (-2)
96. Father Stretch My Hands Pt.1 36 (re-entry)
97. No Money 35 (debut)
98. MILF $ 34 (-64)
99. Still Here 34 (-4)
100. Pity Party 34 (debut)

Below

Say It 34
Champions 32
Hype 32
Without A Fight 30
Capsize 29
Vacation 29
Sex 29

That only means the following week Sia has a better shot

Do you think there's a chance Cheap Thrills can go #1 in the following week due to the discount and gap closing in AirPlay?

[Starkboy]

Top4 is so close. TIWYCF has actually a little chance to go #1
Cheap Thrills is jumping at #1 because of discounts, isn't it?

29. All In My Head 113 (+8)
34. Into You 106 (+7)

[roman19911]

Do we have any numbers for US views for TIWYCF - since Friday?

[Ger-55]

Oh wow, I've lost tracking predictions but I'm very surprised top 4 is so freaking close. Drake's team should be following this, they won't let Drake go that easily. They should be premiering the music video in 2 weeks