Quote:
Originally posted by Beautiful Liar
Primary Popular Vote:
Hillary: 12.1 million (Wtih 2 on the ballot since the 2nd primary in NH)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D
Trump: 10.1 million (with 3 currently on the ballot, originally 14)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R
Sanders: 9.1 million (with 2 currently on the ballot since the 2nd Primary in NH)
Ironic that Trump with the strength of mainly ONE demographic (white man) and numerous of people on the ballot taking up more votes is up there with Hillary on Popular Vote and keep in mind Hillary has only shared the ballot with ONE other person (Sanders) and has the votes of VARIOUS demographics and ya still wanna downplay Trump's strong voting base which surpasses Sanders popular vote Trump will be a threat but it depends on who he chooses for his VP if it's a a "Hispanic" preferably a woman or even a man than Hillary girl your in danger because that VP can carter to the minority vote which he doesn't need a lot of considering he has a very strong white vote..
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Let's put this into bigger context before we spew the wrong information.
1) Democrats do not vote in big numbers outside of the presidential GE. (this includes Senate, local, state, primary elections) It's why we have a Dem president with majority Republican Congress and Governors.
2) Yes there are TWO people running on the Dem side. Polls show that either would be okay for the Democratic Party. They share similar views and both would be seen as a positive. So the turnout and enthusiasm is not as strong as the Republicans because they aren't going through a crisis. The Republicans have a major turnout right now mainly to stop Trump.
3) Speaking of that, yes the Republicans had 14 people and then that narrowed fast. To say that if it had always been Trump/Cruz/Kasich that it would've been higher numbers for Trump cannot be predicted. For all we know, the people who voted for other candidates might be anti Trump so we can't know if let's say Rubio's supporters would've voted for him. Less people initially could've helped Cruz more. It might still be 10M to 12M for Trump and Hillary. Actually, most polls throughout this whole election show that majority of the Republican AND Independent voters (which will be very important in the GE) do not like him. Yes he has a strong base which has helped him, but the stuff you say and do in primaries are not the same in GE. This goes for Hillary/Bernie too. Independents did not have a say in a lot of these states because of closed primaries, and if they break for Hillary then Trump is done.
4) It doesn't matter who Trump picks as VP. People HATE him, and Hillary has already secured the Hispanic, AA, and women vote.
5) Like I've said in the last few posts. Overall popular vote is not as relevant in both primaries and GE. It's about delegates and electoral votes. He has to win key swing states+pull a few blue states red which is going to be hard. Nearly impossible.