| |
Single: Fifth Harmony f/ Ty Dolla $ign - "Work from Home"
Member Since: 3/12/2011
Posts: 18,360
|
This is why streaming is RIGHTFULLY counted to Billboard, because you see it with Work from Home, but there were examples like that in a past, for example What the Hell by Avril was inside top 5 iTunes for ages, great yt views (streaming did no count then) and radio just did not play that, it peaked #11 on Hot100 
I love WFH, such a bop, hopefully it goes top 10, everybody I know likes it 
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/17/2012
Posts: 17,268
|
WORK FROM HOME: THE STATS
MUSIC VIDEO DAILY VIEWS
 Weeks 1-3 YouTube
WEEK ONE (FEB 26 - MAR 3)
FRI (Premiere): 3,292,592
SAT: 3,433,561 *New Peak*
SUN: 2,292,759
MON: 2,783,166
TUE: 2,463,514
WED: 1,712,044
THU: 2,370,712
Total Week One Plays: 18,348,348
WEEK TWO (MAR 4 - 10)
FRI: 2,442,206
SAT: 3,067,459
SUN: 2,205,893
MON: 1,918,852
TUE: 1,996,997
WED: 2,272,000
THU: 2,460,693
Total Week Two Plays: 16,364,100 (-10.81%)
WEEK THREE (MAR 11 - 17)
FRI: 2,357,068
SAT: 3,134,563
SUN: 2,517,042
MON: 2,397,625
TUE: 2,648,801
WED: 2,726,374
THU: 3,110,704
Total Week Three Plays: 18,892,177 (+15.45%)
WEEK FOUR (MAR 18 - 24)
FRI: 2,963,657
SAT: 3,231,944
SUN: 3,189,622
MON: 2,207,748
TUE: 2,431,859
WED: 2,699,539
THU: 3,359,845
Total Week Four Plays: 20,084,214 (+6.31%)
WEEK FIVE (MAR 25 - 31)
FRI: 4,459,812 *New Peak*
SAT: 4,595,516 *New Peak*
SUN: 3,467,079
MON:
TUE:
WED:
THU:
Total Week Five Plays: 12,522,407 (so far)
-------------------------------
Total Video Views: 86,211,246
PEAK: 4,595,516 (Sat, March 26)
BEST WEEK: Week Four (Mar 18 - Mar 24) - 20,084,214
SPOTIFY UPDATES
US
Weeks 1-3 Spotify US
WEEK ONE (FEB 26 - MAR 3)
FRI: 297,719 (#42)
SAT: 474,799 (#16) *New Peak*
SUN: 486,398 (#13) *New Peak*
MON: 544,405 (#11) *New Peak*
TUE: 580,152 (#11) *New Peak*
WED: 643,243 (#10) *New Peak*
THU: 673,523 (#9) *New Peak*
(Discrepancy: 323,241)
Total Week One Plays: 4,023,480
WEEK TWO (MAR 4 - 10)
FRI: 679,165 (#16) *New Peak*
SAT: 641,279 (#11)
SUN: 559,107 (#10)
MON: 673,607 (#7)
TUE: 690,439 (#6) *New Peak*
WED: 733,097 (#6) *New Peak*
THU: 727,918 (#6)
(Discrepancy: 189,294)
Total Week Two Plays: 4,893,806 (+21.63%)
WEEK THREE (MAR 11 - 17)
FRI: 786,804 (#6) *New Peak*
SAT: 719,840 (#7)
SUN: 639,375 (#6)
MON: 724,452 (#6)
TUE: 719,934 (#6)
WED: 776,086 (#6)
THU: 768,877 (#6)
(Discrepancy: 154,021)
Total Week Three Plays: 5,289,389 (+8.08%)
WEEK FOUR (MAR 18 - 24)
FRI: 780,947 (#6)
SAT: 721,493 (#6)
SUN: 671,542 (#6)
MON: 743,907 (#6)
TUE: 780,937 (#6)
WED: 830,250 (#6) *New Peak*
THU: 832,247 (#6) *New Peak*
(Discrepancy: 133,703)
Total Week Four Plays: 5,495,026 (+3.89%)
WEEK FIVE (MAR 25 - 31)
FRI: 889,838 (#5) *New Peak*
SAT: 805,692 (#6)
SUN:
MON:
TUE:
WED:
THU:
Total Week Five Plays: 1,695,530 (so far)
----------------------------------------
Total US Spotify Plays: 21,397,231
PEAK: 889,838 | #5 (Fri, March 25)
BEST WEEK: Week Four (Mar 18 - 24) - 5,495,026 | GLOBAL
Weeks 1-2 Spotify Global
WEEK ONE (FEB 26 - MAR 3)
FRI: 636,401 (#54)
SAT: 987,106 (#41) *New Peak*
SUN: 1,063,764 (#33) *New Peak*
MON: 1,205,473 (#25) *New Peak*
TUE: 1,377,646 (#22) *New Peak*
WED: 1,539,573 (#19) *New Peak*
THU: 1,633,909 (#17) *New Peak*
(Discrepancy: 704,550)
Total Week One Plays: 9,148,422
WEEK TWO (MAR 4 - 10)
FRI: 1,742,151 (#16) *New Peak*
SAT: 1,811,049 (#16) *New Peak*
SUN: 1,631,970 (#14)
MON: 1,869,444 (#12) *New Peak*
TUE: 2,026,916 (#11) *New Peak*
WED: 2,122,560 (#11) *New Peak*
THU: 2,161,777 (#11) *New Peak*
(Discrepancy: 461,151)
Total Week Two Plays: 13,827,018 (+51.14%)
WEEK THREE (MAR 11 - 17)
FRI: 2,361,061 (#11) *New Peak*
SAT: 2,320,907 (#12)
SUN: 2,064,207 (#10)
MON: 2,289,085 (#8)
TUE: 2,359,864 (#7)
WED: 2,487,933 (#7) *New Peak*
THU: 2,507,162 (#6) *New Peak*
(Discrepancy: 422,370)
Total Week Three Plays: 16,812,589 (+21.59%)
WEEK FOUR (MAR 18 - 24)
FRI: 2,653,509 (#6) *New Peak*
SAT: 2,594,215 (#7)
SUN: 2,312,919 (#7)
MON: 2,528,678 (#6)
TUE: 2,632,022 (#5)
WED: 2,825,790 (#4) *New Peak*
THU: 2,865,094 (#4) *New Peak*
(Discrepancy: 386,092)
Total Week Four Plays: 18,798,319 (+11.81%)
WEEK FIVE (MAR 25 - 31)
FRI: 2,871,584 (#5) *New Peak*
SAT: 2,771,094 (#5)
SUN:
MON:
TUE:
WED:
THU:
Total Week Five Plays: 5,642,678 (so far)
----------------------------------------
Total Global Spotify Plays: 64,229,026
PEAK: 2,871,584 (Fri, March 25) | #4 (Wed, March 23)
BEST WEEK: Week Four (Mar 18 - 24) - 18,798,319 |
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/29/2011
Posts: 15,167
|
I'm just gonna pray. That's all I can do at this point.
I know this is already a "hit" guys. I'm just really hoping for a higher chart peak. 
The girls deserve it.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/3/2012
Posts: 8,030
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Bentley
I'm just gonna pray. That's all I can do at this point.
I know this is already a "hit" guys. I'm just really hoping for a higher chart peak.
The girls deserve it. |
So dramatic 
I am hollering
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/17/2012
Posts: 17,268
|
So I don't have much experience in doing full-fledged chart predictions, but I gave it a try with WFH vs. ITAPII, and it's going to be an extremely close battle If you want to read the full analysis where I explain all the numbers I used, it's in the collapse tag; if you don't, just read the paragraph right below the tag.
Explanation
Ok, so to start off, the formula that one of the most accurate chart predictors in the Charts section uses is: sales / 1000 + airplay / 1.050.000 + streams / 120.000.
WORK FROM HOME
SALES: I'm predicting it to stay even from last week, so that's 64K
AIRPLAY: I was conservative because of recent updates and predicted that it'd only gain 5M audience this week. That would put it at 55M in Mediabase numbers. Billboard uses Neilsen for airplay, and their numbers are about 75% of Mediabase's, so that's 41.25M
STREAMS: Spotify streams will be stable with 5.7M. Total YouTube views will probably be 23M this week, and using a 17% US percentage, that's 3.91M. Add those together and you get 9.61M. Those two platforms are typically 70% of WFH's total streams, so that would make total streams for the week 13.72M.
CHART POINTS: (64,000 / 1000) + (41,250,000 / 1,050,000) + (13,720,000 / 120,000) = 64 + 39.3 + 114.3 = 217.6
I TOOK A PILL IN IBIZA
SALES: With its two versions combined, it's pretty close to Cake By The Ocean right now. That sold 52K last week, so I'm using that number as my current sales estimate (since Kworb hasn't posted one for this week yet).
AIRPLAY: I'm estimating it'll gain 10M audience this week, putting it at about 96M. Multiply that by 75% for the Neilsen conversion, and that's 72M.
STREAMS: It'll do the same as us on Spotify, so that's 5.7M. Its YouTube views today were about 74% of ours, so that's 2.89M from YouTube. Add those together to get 8.59M, and including the 30% from other streaming services, that's 12.2M.
CHART POINTS: (52,000 / 1000) + (72,000,000 / 1,050,000) + (12,200,000 / 120,000) = 52 + 68.6 + 101.6 = 222.2
So right now with the numbers I'm using, ITAPII gets the #10 spot over us by an extremely small margin. However, there's one important caveat that could give us the upper edge. It seems as though the Neilsen numbers that Billboard uses for airplay favour WFH compared to Mediabase numbers, since last week, WFH debuted at #31 on the Radio Songs chart even though it only reached that position on Mediabase a week later. This means that WFH's airplay for Billboard may be better than what I'm predicting, and since the point difference is so small right now between it and ITAPII, the airplay gap would only have to be about 6M smaller than what I'm predicting for us to get the #10 spot. So it's going to be super close, but I think we have a pretty good shot next week 
I'll update this throughout the week as we get closer to the end of the tracking week and the numbers become more accurate.
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/2/2010
Posts: 17,916
|
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/17/2012
Posts: 17,268
|
Quote:
Originally posted by URBAN
#12 on Apple Music!
|
Do you know where I Took A Pill In Ibiza is?
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/19/2013
Posts: 13,205
|
I'm pretty sure once we get airplay on lock, our sales will be the pits.
Fifth Harmony can never win 
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/2/2010
Posts: 17,916
|
Quote:
Originally posted by shelven
Do you know where I Took A Pill In Ibiza is? |
#15, we surpassed it.
We were #15 yesterday and #20 the day before! And we jumped to #12 today. 
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/17/2012
Posts: 17,268
|
Quote:
Originally posted by URBAN
#15, we surpassed it.
We were #15 yesterday and #20 the day before! And we jumped to #12 today. |
Amazing! Let's hope we stay above it for the rest of the tracking week
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/2/2010
Posts: 17,916
|
Quote:
Originally posted by shelven
Amazing! Let's hope we stay above it for the rest of the tracking week |
#9/10 is bound to happen any day now because Young Thugs new releases are decreasing and he has 3 tracks in the top 10. If they all fall out, that's 3 spots up for WFH.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 2/22/2008
Posts: 46,108
|
So, Normani's petty ass just deleted her IG post about Camila's birthday from last year  I'm speechless
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/2/2014
Posts: 18,263
|
Quote:
Originally posted by KarlosVzla
So, Normani's petty ass just deleted her IG post about Camila's birthday from last year I'm speechless |
Pray for Fifth Harmony, sisses.
I bet some of them will really work from home if they lose their jobs.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/19/2013
Posts: 13,205
|
Quote:
Originally posted by KarlosVzla
So, Normani's petty ass just deleted her IG post about Camila's birthday from last year I'm speechless |
omg what
so petty omg
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 18,667
|
Quote:
Originally posted by KarlosVzla
So, Normani's petty ass just deleted her IG post about Camila's birthday from last year I'm speechless |
To be fair, Dinah deleted her birthday messages for all the other girls last year, except the ones for Camila. I don't think it's that serious.
Quote:
Originally posted by Hitori
Pray for Fifth Harmony, sisses.
I bet some of them will really work from home if they lose their jobs.
|
nn
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/17/2012
Posts: 17,268
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ethereal
To be fair, Dinah deleted her birthday messages for all the other girls last year, except the ones for Camila. I don't think it's that serious.
|
Interesting. I wonder why they do that.
Anyways, another mediocre update on pop radio today (although better than yesterday), but a really good update on Rhythmic, so overall audience is pretty decent.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/10/2011
Posts: 2,227
|
Quote:
Originally posted by KarlosVzla
So, Normani's petty ass just deleted her IG post about Camila's birthday from last year I'm speechless |
Maybe because fans are bombarding posts about Normila and asking if they get along or not. It's irritating I'm sure.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 2/22/2008
Posts: 46,108
|
I meditated the **** put of Normani's actions and I'm just gonna keep quiet because I gotta respect everyone's decisions. I just don't think that was cute or a professional move at all. She's a smart ass woman and she knows we watch every single move they make.
Anyways, we just got a light green update
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/6/2015
Posts: 1,629
|
She left pictures of her and Camila on there, it's not like she deleted pics of them two in its entirety. I don't think it's a big issue. I delete pictures on my Instagram sometimes
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/6/2004
Posts: 3,189
|
Everyone please stay on topic.
Anyway we are now Top 5 on itunes in 3 of the 4 Major Music Markets as WFH has moved to #5 in Germany.
Also, on overall radio WFH has moved up to #29
Audience
29 +1 FIFTH HARMONY - Work From Home 50.489 (+0.630)
|
|
|
|
|
|
