[RatedG²]

Originally posted by Retro

I still don't agree with that; we shouldn't be so comfortable with New York, and we should especially not grow complacent with it and allow him to sneak past. She should keep working hard to secure it.

Not saying she wins by double digits (she should) but there's no way she should lose it. Absolutely no way. Almost everything favors her there

[Retro]

Originally posted by RatedG²

Not saying she wins by double digits (she should) but there's no way she should lose it. Absolutely no way. Almost everything favors her there

Besides demographics, though. It wouldn't be the whitest state she's won but it's 66% white.

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by LuLuDrops

My neighbors

Wait, is Oregon going to be for Bernie?

If I had to guess I'd say yes. Only because it's a caucus and it's a liberal home ground.

[LuLuDrops]

Originally posted by RatedG²

If I had to guess I'd say yes. Only because it's a caucus and it's a liberal home ground.

Let me guess, Portland's impact?

[Skywalker]

I picked up some books in the meanwhile since I don't have much to do for the next few months aside from work until school starts back up again. Anyone read any of these before? They seem to have good reviews according to Amazon.

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by Retro

Besides demographics, though. It wouldn't be the whitest state she's won but it's 66% white.

True that's one thing that's his saving grace there (the other being its one of the most liberal states). But she is a former senator from there so she has a "home state" advantage there (as she had in AK) and she is still very popular there. On Bernie's best day I say he comes within 2-3 points of a win but just...whew a loss there would end her (well a loss there meant something else ended her) . It may not be as safe as I'm thinking, which is a 15 point win, but she doesn't lose it

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by LuLuDrops

Let me guess, Portland's impact?

Yep! It's the biggest city in the state right? I know it's the capital (well I think lol)

If Bernie takes that by a healthy margin she'd have to route him everywhere else and she doesn't have those powers like in 2008.

[LuLuDrops]

Oh my god, Governor Snyder got GRILLED today

"You weren't in a medically induced coma for a year" when he said he didn't know



Think this will help Michigan Dems make some gains?

[Icarus]

Even if he won New York, it would be an almost 50/50 delegate split, so at this stage it wouldn't really matter

[LuLuDrops]

Originally posted by RatedG²

Yep! It's the biggest city in the state right? I know it's the capital (well I think lol)

If Bernie takes that by a healthy margin she'd have to route him everywhere else and she doesn't have those powers like in 2008.

Salem, Oregon

Thanks for the answers.

[wesleywalrus]

Originally posted by fridayteenage

I feel a bit bad for Rubio; he says he plans to leave political office forever in January.

I mean if his own state doesn't even like him....

[-Derek]

Hillary wont lose NY

She will take AZ, NY, PA, IN, KY, MD, CA for sure in the upcoming contests.

[Temporal]

Okay, someone please comfort me by saying Donald Trump won't win I know math and other means of logic are saying he won't and can't, but he's already defied so many predictions and expectations, I'm terrified

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by ClarksonSlays

Okay, someone please comfort me by saying Donald Trump won't win I know math and other means of logic are saying he won't and can't, but he's already defied so many predictions and expectations, I'm terrified

There's a good chance he won't win the nomination outright. He has to reach 1237 delegates and while it's possible mathematically, it's a 50/50 shot. He has to start sweeping some of the proportional states and win nearly all of the winner take all states

There's a 50% chance he doesn't get 1237 so if it gets to the convention he will more likely than not be the delegates' first choice. So he may not get the nomination at all if he doesn't win outright.

But then he'd run third party and doom the republicans lol

[RatedG²]

Obama Privately Urges Democratic Donors To Back Clinton

The president is so messy I can't

[Jan]

Originally posted by LuLuDrops

The responses. Mess

[Bey Admired]

Originally posted by The Countess

I picked up some books in the meanwhile since I don't have much to do for the next few months aside from work until school starts back up again. Anyone read any of these before? They seem to have good reviews according to Amazon.

I've read a few of those. Hillary's Hard Choices is good. It's a bit slow for the first few chapters, but when it gets to the Benghazi parts and such, you start to get a real insight into her thoughts during those moments. You get to hear how she found out, how she reacted, and the actions she took. At moments, it seems a bit one-dimensional; almost as if it's been prepared as part of her application for the Presidency, with the book being her Resume. But it's still good

[Citrus]

Originally posted by The Countess

New York is her state and they voted for her twice.. she isn't going to lose there. Maybe a little bit closer than expected.

!!!!!
She'll carry upstate NY especially

[@michael]

Originally posted by Retro

Besides demographics, though. It wouldn't be the whitest state she's won but it's 66% white.

I doubt the Democratic electorate is 66% white.

[Bey Admired]

It's interesting how there seems to be a concensus with Bernie fans that Hillary's going to lose New York. I just don't understand how they can be so sure. She served that State, and they voted her in twice. Not only that, but didn't she win the New York vote against Obama? Surely, that has to count for something? New York is also very diverse, which also has to help Hillary.