[Marvin]

Originally posted by Ramcoro

His poll numbers only rise amongst republican voters.

Trump will probably get more Independent support as well.

[hooky]

Originally posted by Marvin

Trump will probably get more Independent support as well.

This as well. Bernie supporters who don't sit out will be more likely to vote for Trump or Stein over Hillary.

[Cheetos]

Hillary can win every state Obama won. I have hope that we can flip AZ blue.

[HeyMr.DJ]

i have no doubt that hillary will win.

[Retro]

Originally posted by Marvin

Things have changed though, the world is more liberal/socially progressive/etc than ever. Having just two-parties doesn't represent everyone now. There's far-left, center-left, center-right, far-right, etc. There are a lot more issues to talk about than there was back then.

We've already discussed this in here as well, and I advocated for a four-or-more party system. I'm just saying that it's unrealistic to expect a third party to actually gain traction and do anything but steal votes from one side.

Originally posted by @michael

Louisiana and North Carolina will go blue. Yes to Florida and Ohio.

Originally posted by Ramcoro

The best chances are North Carolina and Arizona tbh, just due to demographics. Plus, Trump made fun of McCain who is super popular there. I think she can win Florida and Ohio, better chances with Florida.

So basically, if she can convert a couple states and otherwise retain the Obama 2012 map, then this looks like a pretty solid electoral victory for her.

I just wish she could somehow turn Texas and their 38 electoral college votes.

[Marvin]

Originally posted by hooky

This as well. Bernie supporters who don't sit out will be more likely to vote for Trump or Stein over Hillary.

Yeah especially since a lot of Independents hate the establishments. Trump is perfect in that regard.

It's been mentioned a few times but I don't see Republicans voting Clinton over Trump, ever.

[Delilah.]

Originally posted by hooky

This as well. Bernie supporters who don't sit out will be more likely to vote for Trump or Stein over Hillary.

Eh. I mean the hardcore Bernie Reddit fans yes, but the vast majority of them will vote Hillary imo.

[alexanderao]

RECAP

REP

Florida:
Trump 46
Rubio 27
Cruz 17
Kasich 7

Illinois:
Trump 39
Cruz 31
Kasich 20
Rubio 9

Missouri:
Trump 41
Cruz 41
Kasich 10
Rubio 6

North Carolina:
Trump 40
Cruz 37
Kasich 13
Rubio 8

Ohio:
Kasich 47
Trump 36
Cruz 13
Rubio 3

DEM

Florida:
Clinton 65
Sanders 33

Illinois:
Clinton 50
Sanders 49

Missouri:
Clinton 50
Sanders 49

North Carolina:
Clinton 55
Sanders 41

Ohio:
Clinton 57
Sanders 43

[Retro]

Originally posted by Marvin

Trump will probably get more Independent support as well.

Originally posted by hooky

This as well. Bernie supporters who don't sit out will be more likely to vote for Trump or Stein over Hillary.

If they vote Trump, they don't know what they support IMO.

If they vote Stein, I just hope they're aware that it only detracts from the Democratic vote.

[Retro]

Originally posted by Marvin

Yeah especially since a lot of Independents hate the establishments. Trump is perfect in that regard.

It's been mentioned a few times but I don't see Republicans voting Clinton over Trump, ever.

Tons say they would... There's even an actual #NeverTrump movement...

[alexanderao]

Originally posted by hooky

Which might be enough. Independent and Democrat turnout could end up being terrible. Hasn't Republican turnout been record-breaking so far?

Yeah, GOP turnout has been up pretty much across the board.

[Cheetos]

I wonder how Arkansas will treat her in the general.

[StephenNYMonster]

I think the Democrats will turn turn in large numbers when the General election happens. The buildup by the media to paint Donald Trump as the huge Villain will amp up during the general and I'm sure Donald will make mistakes during his debate with Hilary. If Hilary can keep it boss during the debates with Donald, I feel people will swing her way.

[hooky]

Originally posted by Cheetos

Hillary can win every state Obama won. I have hope that we can flip AZ blue.

Not sure about Indiana. We have the thing about Carrier moving to Mexico. That might hurt Hillary because her opinion has changed on trade deals. Indy may carry her though.

As for our primary, I think Hillary will win by at least 50 points. Not because people don't like Sanders, but because people won't care about the primary.

[Pavement Princess]

I mean if Hillary wins, I'm sure Bernie will support her, no? He has to be a smart man and realize it's either her or Trump (if he wins). And his followers will surely follow suit.

[Bloo]

Originally posted by hooky

This as well. Bernie supporters who don't sit out will be more likely to vote for Trump or Stein over Hillary.

I wouldn't say that, honestly. Bernie will be campaigning for Hillary to help transition his supporters to Hillary, just like 2008.

[BlueTimberwolf]

Originally posted by StephenNYMonster

I think the Democrats will turn turn in large numbers when the General election happens. The buildup by the media to paint Donald Trump as the huge Villain will amp up during the general and I'm sure Donald will make mistakes during his debate with Hilary. If Hilary can keep it boss during the debates with Donald, I feel people will swing her way.

Trump is to this day still fighting with people on Twitter. I think it is a done deal.

[Blade]

Originally posted by Pavement Princess

I mean if Hillary wins, I'm sure Bernie will support her, no? He has to be a smart man and realize it's either her or Trump (if he wins). And his followers will surely follow suit.

Bernie will 100% support Hillary. His followers will be harder to sway.

[Marvin]

Originally posted by Retro

Tons say they would... There's even an actual #NeverTrump movement...

Just looked into it, seems like a pretty small number at the moment, but it could grow. I think most of them are probably Rubio/Kasich voters. Cruz voters will most likely flock to Trump if he's the nominee, and Cruz currently has the most votes after Trump.

Who knows though, November is looking like it will be a mess

[Dessy Fenix]

Originally posted by hooky

Not sure about Indiana. We have the thing about Carrier moving to Mexico. That might hurt Hillary because her opinion has changed on trade deals. Indy may carry her though.

As for our primary, I think Hillary will win by at least 50 points. Not because people don't like Sanders, but because people won't care about the primary.

Wait you're from Indiana too?