Quote:
Originally posted by Benzene
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Yep! Look at this math (without super delegates)
Quote:
Originally posted by jpow
Hillary is at 776
Bernie is at 551
so after Tuesday going on current polls
Hillary would be at 1146
Bernie would be at 823
Hillary would be 48% there and Bernie would be 34% there.
fivethirtyeight says there is 4051 delegates to be won total, with 2383 needed for the nomination.
1969. After Tuesday, there would be 2,082 delegates left to be won. Bernie would need 1,560 of those delegates to get the nomination, or roughly 74% of the delegates left. Hillary would need 936 delegates to get the nomination, or roughly 44% of the delegates left.
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There would be almost no possible way Bernie could get 74% of the remaining vote, even if he wins everything left it wouldn't be by that margin.