[Damien M]

Originally posted by heckinglovato

1) This is sad. Muslims are nice ppl

2) Trump is a master politician; he's able to tell so clearly what the Repub base is thinking so well. Scary

[Damien M]

Originally posted by BlueTimberwolf

Blacks turned out in higher numbers than usual in 08, can Hilary count on that level turn out?Especially with the white enthusiasm on Bernie's side. Plus 2008 had more candidates running splitting the white vote. Obama only caught her near the end b/c John Edwards dropped out.

She needs a black VEEP choice (not that Castro mess)
If only Cory Booker had a wife... *sadface*

[Benzene]

Originally posted by BlueTimberwolf

Blacks turned out in higher numbers than usual in 08, can Hilary count on that level turn out?Especially with the white enthusiasm on Bernie's side. Plus 2008 had more candidates running splitting the white vote. Obama only caught her near the end b/c John Edwards dropped out.

Even without that high turnout (and it won't be as high, no doubt), the black voters in those states exist in high enough numbers that if Bernie can't at least narrow that gap to 15 or less, he has no chance.

[Marvin]

Originally posted by heckinglovato

Wtf?

It's a joke

[Retro]

Originally posted by Mike91

There's still a few states Bernie can win. Even Nate Silver thinks Bernie can win all of the other caucus states because of the demographic makeup. Hillary would have to steamroll over him on Super Tuesday for it to be over and I'm not sure if she'll do that.

Bernie still has a chance but it's going to be hard. But it was always going to be hard. No one really knew how NV was going to go and SC was always going to be a win for Clinton. I'd wait until ST to say Bernie is over or whatever.

Current polling has her up by 24 or more in 7 states on ST, +2 in Oklahoma (he could win), and losing only a couple states. At most he'll win Vermont, Colorado, and Massachusetts, and faces potential +20 losses everywhere else. He's also likely to lose non-state territories.

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by Mike91

There's still a few states Bernie can win. Even Nate Silver thinks Bernie can win all of the other caucus states because of the demographic makeup. Hillary would have to steamroll over him on Super Tuesday for it to be over and I'm not sure if she'll do that.

Bernie still has a chance but it's going to be hard. But it was always going to be hard. No one really knew how NV was going to go and SC was always going to be a win for Clinton. I'd wait until ST to say Bernie is over or whatever.

Oh it's far from over. As you said he can win many states. The problem is not actually winning in general but stringing together consecutive wins. She can do it. He needs to do it because he needs momentum. That'll propel him.

If he stays in the race he can drag this until May. It's far from over

[PoisonPill]

Originally posted by Toxicity.

Let's go Jeb Bush. #Bush2016

[BlueTimberwolf]

Bernie needs to add some stuff to his message. Or stop giving Hilary a pass on her scandals.

[Mike91]

Originally posted by Retro

Current polling has her up by 24 or more in 7 states on ST, +2 in Oklahoma (he could win), and losing only a couple states. At most he'll win Vermont, Colorado, and Massachusetts, and faces potential +20 losses everywhere else. He's also likely to lose non-state territories.

Oh trust me, I know her of leads. But it's way too early to go off primary polls. They change daily.

[Benzene]

Sanders is a slam dunk for VT. Probably ME too. I also think Sanders can win MA and CO. OK and NE are tossups. MN is said to be favorable to him but there has been zero recent polling there.

If the race goes on that long, I have no doubt Sanders will also win OR and WA.

But he needs to win a BIG state.

[PoisonPill]

Originally posted by RatedG²

Oh it's far from over. As you said he can win many states. The problem is not actually winning in general but stringing together consecutive wins. She can do it. He needs to do it because he needs momentum. That'll propel him.

If he stays in the race he can drag this until May. It's far from over

This is going until May at the EARLIEST. I still think Hillary will be the nominee but it will be "winning ugly"

[heckinglovato]

Originally posted by Damien M

She needs a black VEEP choice (not that Castro mess)
If only Cory Booker had a wife*sadface*

Loretta Lynch tbh. A ticket of two amazing & strong women, I think the Democratic and Independent bases are ready for two women on the presidential ticket (no one's expecting conservatives to be voting for her anyway)

[BlueTimberwolf]

Can Bernie take New York? California?

[BoyOnBoy Wonder]

It's going to be a glorious next few weeks for Hillary. Today was a true test of her viability and she's passed with flying colors.

[Retro]

Originally posted by Mike91

Oh trust me, I know her of leads. But it's way too early to go off primary polls. They change daily.

Is it though? Nevada, for example, is notoriously bad for polling... and ended up being basically right on the money. SC has been very consistent so far and she could even win bigger there than polls project. Super Tuesday is only two weeks away now - I don't think it's too early at all.

[Reza]

Originally posted by BlueTimberwolf

Can Bernie take New York? California?

Bernie will not take California

[Benzene]

Originally posted by BlueTimberwolf

Can Bernie take New York? California?

New York is basically a home state for Hillary. She took it in 2008 big, and I'd expect the same this time around.

CA...I don't know, but at that point it will be too late in the race for it to matter.

If Bernie wants to make a splash he needs to put some resources into PA and TX.

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by BlueTimberwolf

Can Bernie take New York? California?

No to New York. Very possible in California. They're known as super liberals over tjere (but they are very much mixed in terms of demographics) so we don't know.

[PoisonPill]

Originally posted by BlueTimberwolf

Can Bernie take New York? California?

Very very unlikely (remember that NY is Hillary's home state as senator)

[LuLuDrops]

Hillary will take California, plus California will vote so late in the game. In June