[Ger-55]

Weeks in Top 10:

21 The Hills
17 What Do You Mean?
15 Hotline Bling
13 Stitches
9 Hello & Sorry
7 Like I'm Gonna Lose You
6 Love Yourself & Here
4 Same Old Love

[umich]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Weeks in Top 10:

21 The Hills
17 What Do You Mean?
15 Hotline Bling
13 Stitches
9 Hello & Sorry
7 Like I'm Gonna Lose You
6 Love Yourself & Here
4 Same Old Love

[alexanderao]

The Hills & Hotline Bling

[Ger-55]

About "Here" this week...

"Here" hits a new high on the Billboard Hot 100, lifting 8-7. It holds at No. 3 on Radio Songs (116 million audience impressions, down 2 percent, according to Nielsen Music) and No. 19 on Streaming Songs (7.4 million U.S. streams, down 4 percent) and bounds 20-13 on Digital Songs (52,000 sold, up 35 percent).

http://www.billboard.com/articles/co...c-songs-charts

[roman19911]

Chances of SOL going top 5 this week?

SOL will probably sell 5-10 K more than WDYM?
SOL will have big advantage on Radio

And Spotify numbers + Youtube views are were quite lower this week, during Christmas, so it should have less impact on charts than usual

So maybe?

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by roman19911

Chances of SOL going top 5 this week?

SOL will probably sell 5-10 K more than WDYM?
SOL will have big advantage on Radio

And Spotify numbers + Youtube views are were quite lower this week, during Christmas, so it should have less impact on charts than usual

So maybe?

Had the streaming gap between WDYM and SOL at 6.4 million last week. It will probably get a bit smaller, but not enough. SOL is not going top 5 this week.

[fridayteenage]

go wdym

[roman19911]

Originally posted by simmnfierzig

Had the streaming gap between WDYM and SOL at 6.4 million last week. It will probably get a bit smaller, but not enough. SOL is not going top 5 this week.

But Selena is doing better than predictions here a few times

But, seriously, i really hope it will be able to increase in airplay for 1-2 more weeks after freeze. She should easily overcome WDYM by then

Any other threats for Top 5 except for Stressed Out?

[Ger-55]

SOL is kinda stalling on Streaming, that's not good if you're against Bieber who is completely demolishing everything related to Streaming

[Ger-55]

Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:

1. Hello = 28% Sales + 28% Airplay + 44% Streaming
2. Sorry = 22% Sales + 25% Airplay + 53% Streaming
3. Love Yourself = 36% Sales + 12% Airplay + 52% Streaming
4. Hotline Bling = 19% Sales + 28% Airplay + 53% Streaming
5. What Do You Mean? = 16% Sales + 21% Airplay + 63% Streaming
6. Same Old Love = 24% Sales + 40% Airplay + 36% Streaming
7. Here = 19% Sales + 46% Airplay + 35% Streaming
8. Stitches = 19% Sales + 36% Airplay + 45% Streaming
9. The Hills = 18% Sales + 24% Airplay + 58% Streaming
10. Like I'm Gonna Lose You = 22% Sales + 45% Airplay + 33% Streaming

11. All I Want For Christmas Is You = 17% Sales + 19% Airplay + 64% Streaming
12. Jumpman = 18% Sales + 22% Airplay + 60% Streaming
13. Stressed Out = 35% Sales + 27% Airplay + 38% Streaming
14. 679 = 23% Sales + 17% Airplay + 60% Streaming
15. In The Night = 29% Sales + 38% Airplay + 33% Streaming
16. Antidote = 18% Sales + 28% Airplay + 54% Streaming
17. On My Mind = 18% Sales + 50% Airplay + 32% Streaming
18. Don't = 12% Sales + 19% Airplay + 69% Streaming
19. Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) = 12% Sales + 2% Airplay + 86% Streaming
20. Roses = 33% Sales + 25% Airplay + 42% Streaming

So for the Top 20 this week = 22% Sales + 28% Airplay + 50% Streaming

Streaming > Airplay > Sales

[fridayteenage]

What's the approximate proportion of On-Demand vs. video streaming?

[J Rick]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Weeks in Top 10:

21 The Hills
17 What Do You Mean?
15 Hotline Bling
13 Stitches
9 Hello & Sorry
7 Like I'm Gonna Lose You
6 Love Yourself & Here
4 Same Old Love

Top 10 has been so stable this days!!!!! I don't like it too much, but at least i like 8/10 songs

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by roman19911

But Selena is doing better than predictions here a few times

But, seriously, i really hope it will be able to increase in airplay for 1-2 more weeks after freeze. She should easily overcome WDYM by then

Any other threats for Top 5 except for Stressed Out?

Don't see any other threats right now.
Stitches will compete for top 5 this week again because it got 1 of the biggest gift card boosts, but obviously not after that.

From behind it's really only Stressed Out at the moment. Maybe Jumpman if it crosses over to pop, but that's unlikely.

[Jeiboy]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Weeks in Top 10:

21 The Hills
17 What Do You Mean?
15 Hotline Bling
13 Stitches
9 Hello & Sorry
7 Like I'm Gonna Lose You
6 Love Yourself & Here
4 Same Old Love

Originally posted by umich

[LanaDReyOnline]

Where do you think Taylor will get?

Premiering her video tomorrow?

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by fridayteenage

What's the approximate proportion of On-Demand vs. video streaming?

Pretty hard question to answer. I just tried to look at it and I think it's roughly 40% on-demand and 60% video.

Obviously varies a lot from song to song.

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by LanaDReyOnline

Where do you think Taylor will get?

Premiering her video tomorrow?

Don't expect Out Of The Woods to get onto the Hot 100 this week.

If she's smart she will put up the video on midnight tomorrow on Vevo which is exactly the start of the tracking week for next week.
Impossible to estimate sales and streams now, but should re-enter the Hot 100 in 2 weeks in the top 40 at least. Top 20 perhaps?

[blackbeatxx]

so there'll probably be no predictions or building charts from HDD this week at all then?
strange... i guess we'll have to wait til friday, or even sunday for Billboard, if HDD doesn't even report...

[umich]

Stressed Out:

The song rules Hot Rock Songs as the top gainer in all three chart metrics: airplay (55 million all-format impressions, up 10 percent, according to Nielsen Music); U.S. streams (6.6 million, up 13 percent); and digital sales (82,000 downloads sold, up 77 percent). It also holds atop Rock Streaming Songs and Rock Digital Songs. (Click here for the song's Billboard Hot 100 gains.)

[Retro]

I could see OOTW jumping into T20 during the first full week for the video. Maybe she could sneak into the lower part of the top ten that week if she's lucky and the sales reaction is good a la Katy's TGIF, for example.

Is OOTW her last single this era? I think it could reach top 10, but it'll probably be her last to do so unless HYGTG or something is released and somehow gets great pop radio support.