[alexanderao]

Originally posted by CaliClass24

Anyone think No Role Modelz will go top 40?

Isn't it in the 50s? Urban radio increases alone definitely won't take it to the top 40 (it's steady in sales and streaming, I think, and it has stalled on rhythmic radio).

[4seldemari]

Originally posted by simmnfierzig

679 is bigger on streams outside of Spotify. It will be so close.

But doesn't SOL have more streams on YouTube considering she has an audio video, music video and several performances on her VEVO?

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by 4seldemari

But doesn't SOL have more streams on YouTube considering she has an audio video, music video and several performances on her VEVO?

Doesn't matter, Fetty has at least 2 music videos (2 videos but it's the same one) getting the same amount as Selena. Plus, artists like Fetty get benefited by random user videos which just put the original audio on there

[simmnfierzig]

Position	Song	Downloads	Airplay	Streams	Points
#10.	Same Old Love	70.000	82.000.000	7.600.000	262
#11.	679	42.000	61.000.000	11.200.000	259

That's how I have it looking right now with 2 more days of airplay updates to go

Streaming estimates are of course pretty uncertain...

[CaliClass24]

Originally posted by alexanderao

Isn't it in the 50s? Urban radio increases alone definitely won't take it to the top 40 (it's steady in sales and streaming, I think, and it has stalled on rhythmic radio).

It was at 44 this week.

[alexanderao]

Originally posted by CaliClass24

It was at 44 this week.

In that case, it has a slim chance. I think it probably goes up only 1-3 positions though.

Because it will stay nearly the same in chart points this week (with a gain of a few million AI being the only factor that'll help it out), it will be mostly relying on songs just above it to decrease.

Both Good For You and Renegades (though the latter is slightly less likely) could drop below it this week, and if UF! goes recurrent this week it could move up 3 spots.

I'm Comin' Over dropping below it as well would give it #40.

[Fizzy]

Originally posted by simmnfierzig

That's how I have it looking right now with 2 more days of airplay updates to go

Streaming estimates are of course pretty uncertain...

Is radio points only pop? Cuz SOL is 100M in radio

[alexanderao]

Originally posted by Fizzy

Is radio points only pop? Cuz SOL is 100M in radio

He's estimating Nielsen numbers, I believe, which are the figures used for the Hot 100. Nielsen AI numbers are significantly lower than Mediabase AI numbers.

[Fizzy]

Originally posted by alexanderao

He's estimating Nielsen numbers, I believe, which are the figures used for the Hot 100. Nielsen AI numbers are significantly lower than Mediabase AI numbers.

Oh okie. Thank you for answering

[Ger-55]

Predictions:

1. Hello = (49-53% of lead)
2. Sorry =
3. Hotline Bling =
4. What Do You Mean? =
5. The Hills =
6. Stitches =
7. Love Yourself =
8. Like I'm Gonna Lose You =
9. Here +1
10. Same Old Love +1

11. 679 -2
12. Ex's & Oh's =
13. Wildest Dreams =
14. Jumpman +4
15. On My Mind =
16. Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) -2
17. Can't Feel My Face =
18. Focus -2
19. Confident +9
20. Antidote =

22. White Iverson +3
23. Die A Happy Man +6
25. Don't +8
29. Where Ya At +5
31. Say It +6
32. Break Up In A Small Town +7

** "Uptown Funk" is probably going recurrent this week

-------------------------------

1. Hello = 358k + 166M + 31.5M = 965
2. Sorry = 153k + 107M + 27.4M = 639
3. Hotline Bling = 73k + 129M + 20.2M = 487
4. What Do You Mean? = 59k + 74M + 15.4M = 347
5. The Hills = 49k + 83M + 15.1M = 344
6. Stitches = 58k + 102M + 10.8M = 317
7. Love Yourself = 95k + 2M + 15.1M = 299
8. Like I'm Gonna Lose You = 67k + 93M + 7.5M = 271
9. Here = 48k + 104M + 7.6M = 266
10. Same Old Love = 71k + 83M + 6.7M = 254
11. 679 = 43k + 58M + 10.9M = 254

[Cap10Planet]

Adele still has a 50% lead over Justin? Could "Hello" be a 10-week number one?

[Fizzy]

Originally posted by Ger-55

Predictions:

1. Hello = (49-53% of lead)
2. Sorry =
3. Hotline Bling =
4. What Do You Mean? =
5. The Hills =
6. Stitches =
7. Love Yourself =
8. Like I'm Gonna Lose You =
9. Here +1
10. Same Old Love +1

11. 679 -2
12. Ex's & Oh's =
13. Wildest Dreams =
14. Jumpman +4
15. On My Mind =
16. Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) -2
17. Can't Feel My Face =
18. Focus -2
19. Confident +9
20. Antidote =

22. White Iverson +3
23. Die A Happy Man +6
25. Don't +8
30. Where Ya At +4
32. Say It +5
33. Break Up In A Small Town +6

-------------------------------

1. Hello = 358k + 166M + 31.5M = 965
2. Sorry = 153k + 107M + 27.4M = 639
3. Hotline Bling = 73k + 129M + 20.2M = 487
4. What Do You Mean? = 59k + 74M + 15.4M = 347
5. The Hills = 49k + 83M + 15.1M = 344
6. Stitches = 58k + 102M + 10.8M = 317
7. Love Yourself = 95k + 2M + 15.1M = 299
8. Like I'm Gonna Lose You = 67k + 93M + 7.5M = 271
9. Here = 48k + 104M + 7.6M = 266
10. Same Old Love = 71k + 83M + 6.7M = 254
11. 679 = 43k + 58M + 10.9M = 254

Omg so close but you, simer, and ARTPOP all predict SOL to be Top 10 praying

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by CaliClass24

Anyone think No Role Modelz will go top 40?

Yeah, it has a very good chance, plus I think UF! is going recurrent this week

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by Cap10Planet

Adele still has a 50% lead over Justin? Could "Hello" be a 10-week number one?

It had a very good chance for 10 weeks since day 1 and it still has a very good chance for 10 weeks.

Altough Sorry is getting closer across the board.

[alexanderao]

Originally posted by Cap10Planet

Adele still has a 50% lead over Justin? Could "Hello" be a 10-week number one?

Absolutely. In fact, I'd be somewhat surprised if it loses the #1 spot before the end of January.

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by alexanderao

Absolutely. In fact, I'd be somewhat surprised if it loses the #1 spot before the end of January.

I'd like Hello to stay at #1 until early March, but that is a long time away, and would put the song close to 20 weeks. I'm not sure if that's possible, even with Hello as massive as it is.

[brianc33616]

Originally posted by Cap10Planet

Adele still has a 50% lead over Justin? Could "Hello" be a 10-week number one?

I think Hello will stay at #1 for 14-18 weeks. Unless Love Yourself begins drawing away from Sorry, I think Sorry could break the #2 longevity record for songs peaking in that position. Sorry is much bigger than every song except for Hello, but Hello is even more massive lead wise at #1.

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Cap10Planet

Adele still has a 50% lead over Justin? Could "Hello" be a 10-week number one?

For sure

[Rico Shameless v2]

WI and Don't coming to join Jumpman in the urban zone peaks.

[IBeMe]

Originally posted by brianc33616

I'd like Hello to stay at #1 until early March, but that is a long time away, and would put the song close to 20 weeks. I'm not sure if that's possible, even with Hello as massive as it is.

I'd LOVE for that to happen. But I feel like Justin will eventually dethrone her. maybe be the last week of January :S