Kworb has boosted his Uptown Funk prediction from 39k to 45k for this week (which should rise again). Airplay is flat, after 187 (27 Dec 14-1 Jul 15) days in Kworb's AI. With Earned It falling faster UF might sneak back into the Top 10 for a day or two, so I'm waiting a few more days before I give my final airplay report for UF. I think UF will get 60-65k this week, maybe more if we're lucky.
UF didn't get that 26th week in the Top 5
, which disappointed me, even though the song had a gain in sales (I'm not sure if BB counted the viral video toward streaming or not, because I don't remember that chart being bulleted that week. That probably cost UF that 26th week). The extended holiday weekend effect is still growing, with Ronson/Mars mostly in dark green. so UF should perform better in downloads and streaming this week than last week, and that should help UF tie the Top 10 longevity record. Right around Memorial Day UF had several days of very small decreases and even small increases. That happened Wednesday and Thursday, though Friday the loss was a little over -0.500. We'll see what happens with airplay through Tuesday.
Unfortunately, after this weekend, I don't see another reason for a boost until Labor Day and the VMAs. However, if Bruno Mars lined up a performance this weekend, that could extend his gains into next week, and might help him break instead of tie the record. Remember, the sales and streaming tracking period for the chart period after this is only 4 days, and airplay is only 5, so a televised UF performance due to the holiday could make the difference between tying and breaking the record with a shortened week.
I still expect a slow fall for UF between #s 11-20, probably 8-9 weeks. UF spent only one week at #18 on its way up the chart, so that would give the song over 40 weeks in the Top 20, and might keep it from breaking the record. I'm not sure what song holds the T15 or T20 record, but its surprisingly not How Do I Live, which only spent five extra weeks combined rising and falling between 11-20 (37 weeks total). That record could belong to Smooth, You Were Meant For Me/Foolish Games, Party Rock Anthem, Truly Madly Deeply, or Radioactive (or another song since streaming started). I'll look this up this weekend.
TMD holds the T30 record (52 wks/1 yr exactly) Radio 2nd 50 wks, and PRA 3rd 47 wks, and Radioactive holds the T40 record at 63 weeks, I'm Yours 2nd 62 wks, HDIL 3rd 61 wks.. UF's rapid rise until it reached the T5 was a good thing, as it helped with a long stay at #1, T2/3/5/10, but that may inhibit its chances of tying or setting longevity records further down the H100. I'm hoping UF can stay above 50k as long as possible, but with Grammy nominations, the Christmas shopping season, gift card redemptions, and end of year countdowns UF should dominate, UF should pass 7 million before 2015 ends anyway. I would just like it to pass that mark around Thanksgiving so UF is at 7.15 mil as 2015 ends so it can approach 8 mil through 2016 (it should clean up at the Grammy's and get a boost from the BBMA's again in 2016, because the eligibility period began in March, and UF is still in the Top 10).
I'm not sure about T50, but Radio, I'm Yours, or HDIL seem most likely. There's no chance UF can break the H100 record set by Radio of 87 weeks because UF didn't need 20+ weeks to reach the T40, so that's one record UF won't beat, and there's no reason to worry about. Maybe 65-70 weeks if he cleans up at the Grammy's next February, bur that's about it. I'll look over this as the weekend progresses, since I can't really get out for the holiday.
