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TV Show: TV Ratings (US Broadcast & Cable Networks) | Thursday 1/5
Member Since: 11/3/2006
Posts: 11,500
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Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony Kerty
Unfortunately, it won't reach 700 million outside the US. TDK is amazing, and I hope it changes what I'm about to say, but Batman movies have always done a lot better in the US than worldwide.
As of right now I'd say 420 million in the US + 300 million worlwide.
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well if I go along with what you are saying, then I'd anticipate more of a 400 million worldwide gross, I mean word has to get around to all those countries right? And if the other Batman movies did farily well I hope *fingers crossed* that 400 is the bar minimum
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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I hope you're right, JerseyBoy,
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Member Since: 12/16/2007
Posts: 7,191
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E! Online:
"Can anything stop the Batman?
With The Dark Knight having blown past $200 million on Tuesday, just five days into its release, the answer apparently is no.
Steve Mason, lead box-office analyst for FantasyMoguls.com, said he thinks the movie will pick up another $70 million-$80 million this coming weekend, helping it blow past $300 million in less than 10 days."
I'm guessing now the total will end up nearing $450 million
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Member Since: 8/2/2006
Posts: 31,102
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I'm thinking that it's going to fall down to $50 million - $60 million. I'm thinking that the buzz will fade by this weekend, like it did for Spider-Man 3.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 9/26/2001
Posts: 22,475
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Quote:
Originally posted by mariah_4life
I'm thinking that it's going to fall down to $50 million - $60 million. I'm thinking that the buzz will fade by this weekend, like it did for Spider-Man 3.
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I'm predicting 70m, a bigger than 50% drop, but EVERY big opening film has dropped more than 50% this year.
The difference between TDK and Spidey 3 is that TDK is getting rave reviews and great word-of-mouth, whereas Spidey 3...uh...didn't. I can't see it making "only" 50m this weekend. 60m, maybe, but nothing below that.
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Quote:
Originally posted by Red
The difference between TDK and Spidey 3 is that TDK is getting rave reviews and great word-of-mouth, whereas Spidey 3...uh...didn't. I
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LMAO, IKR??
I predict another 70 million for this weekend.
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Member Since: 8/2/2006
Posts: 31,102
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The Dark Knight took in $16.4 million on its Thursday gross taking it over $238 million in 1 week.
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ATRL Moderator
Member Since: 11/16/2004
Posts: 28,450
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The buzz for Spiderman 3 was **** cause the movie sucked
This Buzz is still going on and people continue to see it so it'll be a big money maker that is for sure
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Member Since: 5/13/2007
Posts: 3,866
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Fantasy Moguls predicts a second-weekend greater tan Shrek 2's. Around 75 million.
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Member Since: 11/3/2006
Posts: 11,500
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Quote:
Originally posted by Darth KcTotal
Fantasy Moguls predicts a second-weekend greater tan Shrek 2's. Around 75 million.
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haha same here, eventhough I haven't heard of that site, they are talking some sense, and with BOM Friday estimates at 23 million, it is a possiblity, but it would be hard to hard a second weekend as big as Sherk 2, but we will have to see
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Member Since: 11/3/2006
Posts: 11,500
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oh and 450 million...hallelujah!
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Member Since: 5/13/2007
Posts: 3,866
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Early Estimates
DARK KNIGHT with $23M Friday & headed for a $77M weekend! Nolan's masterpiece will overtake 'Iron Man' in just 10 days!; Ferrell's 'Step Brothers' strong with $11.75M Friday and $32M O.W.; 'X-Files' manages only $4M Friday & targets just $11M by Monday.
by Steve Mason
By Monday morning, The Dark Knight (Warner Bros) will likely be the no. 1 movie of 2008. Even the rosiest of forecasts could not have anticipated that the Christopher Nolan-directed Batman Begins sequel would surpass Marvel’s Iron Man (Paramount) and Lucasfilm’s Indiana Jones & The Kingdom of The Crystal Skull (Paramount) in only ten days, but it appears that the dark superhero/crime thriller hybrid will do just that.
After grabbing a remarkable $238.61M in its first seven days, easily besting the previous mark set by Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (Disney) by $42.6M, The Dark Knight seized an estimated $23M on its second Friday. That makes for a new 8-day cume of $261.61M, about $50M more than Pirates 2 generated in eight days. That is almost 20% better than Johnny Depp’s Jack Sparrow sequel at the same point in its release.
None of the usual rules seem to apply to this comic-book adaptation, but I am targeting $77M for this 3-day weekend. If the number holds, The Dark Knight will have $315.61M banked by Monday morning, which should be just enough to push past Iron Man. Warner Bros. has also taken firm hold of the no. 2 spot in studio market share with $883M or so. They are within $225M of Paramount, which will have sold $1.1 billion in tickets.
It once appeared that Paramount, with back-to-back-to-back $200M grossing movies, would easily be the no. 1 studio in 2008, but The Dark Knight’s outrageous success has made it a real horse-race. Paramount has sure-fire hits Tropic Thunder (Aug. 15) and Madagascar 2 (Nov. 7) still to come, while Warner Bros. counters with Star Wars: The Clone Wars (Aug. 15) and Harry Potter & The Half Blood Prince (Nov. 21).
The race could come down to which studio can come up with another breakout hit. Maybe DJ Caruso’s re-teaming with Shia LeBeouf on Eagle Eye (Dreamworks/Paramount) performs like Disturbia? Or Ridley Scott’s House of Lies, starring Leonardo DiCaprio and Russell Crowe, can breakout like last year’s American Gangster (Universal)?
Will Ferrell and writer/director Adam McKay, who previously joined forces for Anchorman and Talladega Knights, have scored again. Step Brothers (Sony), the generally well-reviewed R-rated comedy, has scored a very strong $11.75M on Friday. That should translate to an estimated $32.2M for its opening weekend and a solid no. 2 finish. It also marks the all-time third-best opening for the former Saturday Night Live star Ferrell, trailing only Talladega Nights ($47M) and Blades of Glory ($33M).
Mamma Mia! (Universal) is proving to be sturdy in its second weekend. The ABBA-inspired Broadway adaptation has females 25+ singing in the aisles with an estimated $5.5M on Friday. Meryl Streep’s first movie musical should finish with $17.6M in the frame for a 10-day cume of $62.44M. This picture will have no trouble pushing past $100M.
The re-boot of Chris Carter’s The X-Files has stumbled out of the gate with an estimated $4M on opening day. The hit TV series wrapped up its television run in 2002, but the show enjoyed its best ratings in 1998. There have long been questions about how relevant Mulder (David Duchovny) and Scully (Gillian Anderson) would be among Under 25 moviegoers, and the Fox marketing folks have done everything they could to lure a new generation of fans. In the final analysis, The X-Files: I Want To Believe will manage only $11M or so for its opening three days.
Journey To the Center of The Earth (Warner Bros) is proving to be a durable family-friendly summer movie with another $2.7M on Friday and a likely $9.25M for the weekend. That will give the Brendan Fraser 3D adventure a new domestic cume of just over $60M. Meanwhile, Will Smith’s Hancock (Sony) is holding very strong with no. 6, picking up $2.6M on Friday for a new cume of $200.67M. The 3-day should be an estimated $7.7M, and the Peter Berg-directed superhero flick should finish as one of the top 5 grossing movies of the summer.
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. The Dark Knight (Warner Bros) - $23M, $5,268PTA, $261.61M cume
2. Step Brothers (Sony) - $11.75M, $3,798 PTA, $11.75M cume
3. Mamma Mia! (Universal) - $5.5M, $1,851 PTA, $50.38M
4. The X-Files: I Want To Believe (Fox) - $4M, $1,570 PTA, $4M cume
5. Journey To the Center of the Earth (Warner Bros) - $2.72M, $1,014 PTA, $53.49M cume
6. Hancock (Sony) - $2.6M, $786 PTA, $200.77M cume
7. WALL-E (Disney) - $1.9M, $624 PTA, $190.78M cume
8. Hellboy II: The Golden Army (Universal) - $1.49M, $496 PTA, $62.45M cume
9. Space Chimps (Fox) - $1.42M, $561 PTA, $13.05M cume
10. Wanted (Universal) - $824,000, $469 PTA, $126.71M cume
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. The Dark Knight (Warner Bros) - $77.4M, $17,728 PTA, $316M cume
2. Step Brothers (Sony) - $32.2M, $10,407 PTA, $32.2M cume
3. Mamma Mia (Universal) - $17.6M, $5,888 PTA, $62.4M
4. The X-Files: I Want To Believe (Fox) - $11M, $3,454 PTA, $11M cume
5. Journey To the Center of the Earth (Warner Bros) - $9.25M, $3,441 PTA, $60.02M cume
6. Hancock (Sony) - $7.7M, $2,327 PTA, $205.87M cume
7. WALL-E (Disney) - $6.46M, $1,834 PTA, $195.34M cume
8. Hellboy II: The Golden Army (Universal) - $4.7M, $1,561 PTA, $65.66M cume
9. Space Chimps (Fox) - $4.27M, $1,684 PTA, $15.9M cume
10. Wanted (Universal) - $2.72M, $1,547 PTA, $128.6M cume
Source: http://news.fantasymoguls.com/origin...night-wit.html
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Member Since: 1/21/2008
Posts: 3,607
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4. The X-Files: I Want To Believe (Fox) - $4M, $1,570 PTA, $12M cume
4. The X-Files: I Want To Believe (Fox) - $11M, $3,454 PTA, $11M cume
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Member Since: 5/13/2007
Posts: 3,866
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3-DAY STUDIO ESTIMATES
1. The Dark Knight (Warner Bros) - $75.63M, $17,322 PTA, $314.24M cume
2. Step Brothers (Sony) - $30M, $9,696 PTA, $30M cume
3. Mamma Mia (Universal) - $17.86M, $5,974 PTA, $62.71M
4. The X-Files: I Want To Believe (Fox) - $10.2M, $3,202 PTA, $10.2M cume
5. Journey To the Center of the Earth (Warner Bros) - $9.41M, $3,502 PTA, $60.18M cume
6. Hancock (Sony) - $8.2M, $2,478 PTA, $206.37M cume
7. WALL-E (Disney) - $6.34M, $2,085 PTA, $195.23M cume
8. Hellboy II: The Golden Army (Universal) - $4.93M, $1,634 PTA, $65.89M cume
9. Space Chimps (Fox) - $4.37M, $1,723 PTA, $16M cume
10. Wanted (Universal) - $2.72M, $1,554 PTA, $128.6M cume
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Member Since: 9/17/2006
Posts: 3,506
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'Dark Knight' passes $300 million mark in record time
Yahoo! Buzz Digg Newsvine Reddit FacebookWhat's this?By Scott Bowles, USA TODAY
The Dark Knight's box office records continue to fall faster than Batman's foes.
Knight took in $75.6 million this weekend, according to studio estimates from Nielsen EDI.
The haul gives the Batman sequel $314 million in 10 days, easily making it the fastest film to earn $300 million. The previous record was held by Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest, which did it in 16 days.
Next up: $400 million. Shrek II holds the record as the film to reach that mark fastest, in 43 days; Warner Bros. predicts Knight will do that in 18.
"Four hundred million is yesterday's news," says the studio's Dan Fellman. "I don't know how far beyond that we can go, but certainly $500 million seems within reach."
FIND MORE STORIES IN: London | Earth | Pirates | Warner Bros | Center | Star Wars | George Clooney | Batman | Titanic | Will Ferrell | Nielsen EDI | Meryl Streep | Heath Ledger | Numbers | Chest | Caribbean Dead Man | Dark Knight | Christian Bale | X-Files | Joker | Dan Fellman | Catwoman | John C. Reilly | Talladega Nights | Christopher Nolan | David Duchovny | Val Kilmer | RottenTomatoes.com | Michael Keaton | Gillian Anderson | Los Angeles Daily News | Riddler | Step Brothers | Paul Dergarabedian of Media | Two Face
If it is, Knight would become the second highest-grossing film of all time, surpassing Star Wars' $461 million. Titanic remains the all-time champ with $601 million, and some forecasters are beginning to wonder whether that's in reach.
"I don't think there was ever a time when a movie would be seriously compared to Titanic," says Paul Dergarabedian of Media by Numbers. "But when you're out of the gate this quickly, and keep going this strongly, you have to consider whether the impossible is suddenly possible."
What's probable is a third Batman installment, though Warner Bros. has announced no date.
"We're all still in awe of (director) Christopher Nolan and what he has done," says Fellman. "We're certainly hoping he has a few more ideas up his sleeve, because we're just waiting for him to call."
If he does, one question that will loom over the franchise: How to move forward without Heath Ledger, who plays the Joker and died of a prescription drug overdose in January.
"You have to believe that Heath — and his death — is the engine that's taking the franchise as far as it has gotten," says Glen Whippet, film reviewer and columnist for the Los Angeles Daily News. "And that raises the question of how far it can go without him."
In previous Batman installments, villains are one-shot appearances. The Joker, Two Face, the Riddler and Catwoman all made single-film appearances. Whippet says that should be the case for Ledger, as well.
It would be a mistake to have someone fill Ledger's shoes as the demented Joker, he says. Unlike Batman, who has been populated by the likes of Michael Keaton, Val Kilmer, George Clooney and now Christian Bale, Ledger has made an indelible mark with his villainous turn.
"I'm not sure anyone would accept any other actor," Whippett says. "The best plan would probably be to put the Joker to rest for now. You'd need about a 20-year moratorium before you could reboot that character for the franchise."
The franchise appears impervious to bad news. Last week, Bale was taken into London police custody for an alleged assault on his mother and sister. But ticket sales have been unaffected.
"If anything," says Dergarabedian, "it just raised more awareness about the movie. People don't care about that. They care about the movie."
Moviegoers also cared about Step Brothers, the Will Ferrell comedy, which enjoyed a stronger-than-expected debut with $30 million and second place despite tepid reviews. The story of two stepbrothers who begin as mortal enemies earned recommendations from 52% of the nation's critics, according to survey site RottenTomatoes.com.
The debut was the second strong showing for the team of Ferrell and John C. Reilly, who opened Talladega Nights: The Legend of Ricky Bobby to $47 million in 2006.
Don't expect a re-teaming anytime soon for the agents behind the X-Files. X-Files: I Want to Believe. The only other major newcomer this weekend made its debut at No. 4 with an anemic $10.2 million, about $7 million below most analysts' expectations. The reuniting of David Duchovny and Gillian Anderson lost target audience to Dark Knight after not exactly wowing critics, less than a third of whom gave the film a positive review.
Mamma Mia! held well, dropping just 36% from its debut to take third place with $17.8 million. The ABBA-inspired musical with Meryl Streep has done $62.7 million in 10 days.
Journey to the Center of the Earth was fifth with $9.4 million, pushing the movie to $60.2 million.
Ticket sales were virtually even with the same weekend last year.
Final figures are due Monday.
http://www.usatoday.com/life/movies/...x-office_N.htm
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Member Since: 11/3/2006
Posts: 11,500
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Weekend Estimates
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 The Dark Knight WB $75,630,000 -52.3% 4,366 - $17,322 $314,245,000 $185 2
2 N Step Brothers Sony $30,000,000 - 3,094 - $9,696 $30,000,000 $65 1
3 2 Mamma Mia! Uni. $17,865,000 -35.6% 2,990 +14 $5,974 $62,714,000 $52 2
4 N The X-Files: I Want to Believe Fox $10,200,000 - 3,185 - $3,202 $10,200,000 $30 1
5 4 Journey to the Center of the Earth NL $9,415,000 -23.7% 2,688 -142 $3,502 $60,185,000 $60 3
6 3 Hancock Sony $8,200,000 -41.6% 3,309 -467 $2,478 $206,371,000 $150 4
7 6 Wall-E BV $6,349,000 -37.0% 3,044 -266 $2,085 $195,235,000 $180 5
8 5 Hellboy II: The Golden Army Uni. $4,934,000 -51.2% 3,018 -194 $1,634 $65,894,000 $85 3
9 7 Space Chimps Fox $4,375,000 -39.1% 2,538 +27 $1,723 $16,006,000 $40 2
10 8 Wanted Uni. $2,727,000 -46.2% 1,754 -679 $1,554 $128,616,000 $75 5
11 9 Get Smart WB $2,300,000 -44.2% 1,420 -715 $1,619 $124,214,000 $80 6
12 10 Kung Fu Panda P/DW $1,030,000 -44.6% 917 -588 $1,123 $208,972,000 $130 8
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Member Since: 11/3/2006
Posts: 11,500
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surely as anything, The Dark Knight will have become the number one movie of the year by Monday's grosses, or even if the Dark Knight grosses several hundred thousand dollars more than stimated for the weekend (Iron Man is at 314.95 while TDK is at 314.25)
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Member Since: 8/6/2003
Posts: 50,977
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Quote:
"Four hundred million is yesterday's news," says the studio's Dan Fellman. "I don't know how far beyond that we can go, but certainly $500 million seems within reach."
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OH MY F.UCKING GOD, AMAZING.
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Member Since: 5/31/2008
Posts: 11,688
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Wow, I am glad that TDK is still doing great! As for The X Files, well, it's a shame it couldn't have done better.
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