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Chart Listings: Billboard Hot 100 Singles (January 29-February 5, 2014)
Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by ARTPØP
Predictions.
01. Dark Horse (=)
02. Let Her Go (+5)
03. Timber (-1)
04. Counting Stars (-1)
05. Talk Dirty (+1)
06. Team (+2)
07. Drunk In Love (+6)
08. Royals (+1)
09. Say Something (-5)
10. Happy (+1)
11. Pompeii (-1)
12. The Monster (-7)
13. Radioactive (+20)
14. Story of My Life (-2)
15. Burn (-1)
16. Can't Remember To Forget You (+45)
17. All of Me (+10)
18. The Man (-2)
19. Brave (+7)
20. Demons (-5)
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I can't see The Man decreasing. It's been exploding on radio, especially Pop, and it's been in the top 10 of iTunes the whole tracking week.
Brave doesn't have enough radio and streaming support to enter the top 20. It's #29 on Pop radio and not even in the top 50 on Spotify. I'd be surprised if it increases more than one or two positions.
Talk Dirty and Counting Stars should be close. TD has been the top 3 of iTunes the whole week and like The Man absolutely exploding on radio and streaming. However, CS is still #6 on Spotify and #2 on Pop radio.
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Member Since: 3/21/2012
Posts: 55,134
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I don't see TM falling that far down
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by NewRihannaStan
I don't see TM falling that far down
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That too. I forgot about that. It's still #8 on Spotify and on top of Rhythmic radio. It's at #4 on Pop radio.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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Quote:
Originally posted by NewRihannaStan
I don't see TM falling that far down
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It has decreased pretty fast tbh
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Member Since: 8/28/2012
Posts: 34,863
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^^
Aloe Blacc - The Man 175k 121k -30%
Eminem - The Monster 106k 86k -18%
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ATRL Administrator
Member Since: 6/29/2002
Posts: 77,601
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Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
No videos should count. Nobody watched the Van Damme video for Only Time, and nobody is watching the Budweiser ad for Let Her Go. Actually, not many people actually want to watch commercials. That's why they shouldn't count.
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Oh yeah I agree music videos should count, those are also videos with "the full audio track". But I'm not here for counting snippets. That's the same as counting iTunes preview streams.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by Almighty Gaga
^^
Aloe Blacc - The Man 175k 121k -30%
Eminem - The Monster 106k 86k -18%
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The Monster has a gigantic advantage on radio.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by Kworb
Oh yeah I agree music videos should count, those are also videos with "the full audio track". But I'm not here for counting snippets. That's the same as counting iTunes preview streams.
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Okay, but counting any other type video besides a music video (which people usually stream to listen to the song or see an accompaniment to it) does not represent what people want to listen to accurately.
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Member Since: 4/23/2012
Posts: 2,432
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Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
I can't see The Man decreasing. It's been exploding on radio, especially Pop, and it's been in the top 10 of iTunes the whole tracking week.
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No it hasn't. It only recently got back into the iTunes top 10 after the Grammys kicked it out.
Look at it's history here. http://kworb.net/cc/
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by Xiivi
No it hasn't. It only recently got back into the iTunes top 10 after the Grammys kicked it out.
Look at it's history here. http://kworb.net/cc/ |
Its huge radio gains should offset the Grammys sales.
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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Quote:
Originally posted by 400Lux
I understand you 
EDIT: Didn't you use to stan for Gaga and Madonna?  |
Retro, Queen of Re-invention.
I think 30 seconds is too small a window for being counted as streams. A minute is far imo, but this whole streaming trend kinda sounds a bit ridiculous, but I know it will be absolutely commonplace from this point on. 
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
I think 30 seconds is too small a window for being counted as streams. A minute is far imo, but this whole streaming trend kinda sounds a bit ridiculous, but I know it will be absolutely commonplace from this point on. |
My thinking exactly.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 1,481
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Wrecking Ball went to #1 with 36.5 million streams, monster sales of about 450k and minimal airplay. It led Roar 2:1 in points.
Based on my math, LHG is pulling around 150k, has decent airplay, so let's say airplay and sales even out and it's a wash. It would still need to pull around 18-20 million US streams to hit #1. And this is just based on the old formula.
It is unlikely considering it has stalled out now at 30 million global streams with a day left. Yes, tomorrow it will get a boost, but it would have to pick up around 20 million global views tomorrow alone to hit #1 on the Hot 100. And even if it does, it's still iffy that it would hit #1.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by Emcee
Wrecking Ball went to #1 with 36.5 million streams, monster sales of about 450k and minimal airplay. It led Roar 2:1 in points.
Based on my math, LHG is pulling around 150k, has decent airplay, so let's say airplay and sales even out and it's a wash. It would still need to pull around 18-20 million US streams to hit #1. And this is just based on the old formula.
It is unlikely considering it has stalled out now at 30 million global streams with a day left. Yes, tomorrow it will get a boost, but it would have to pick up around 20 million global views tomorrow alone to hit #1 on the Hot 100. And even if it does, it's still iffy that it would hit #1.
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Also, Dark Horse now is stronger than Roar was then. #1 on iTunes, #1 on Spotify, #5 on Pop radio (as of 30/1).
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 1,481
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Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
Also, Dark Horse now is stronger than Roar was then. #1 on iTunes, #1 on Spotify, #5 on Pop radio (as of 30/1).
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Cute puppies are powerful but not as powerful as twerkalicious beat drops and horses.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
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Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
Also, Dark Horse now is stronger than Roar was then. #1 on iTunes, #1 on Spotify, #5 on Pop radio (as of 30/1).
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I think it's #4 in overall radio AI. 
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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I also expect Dark Horse to have over 6 million streams (an increase from 5.6M last week) due to the Grammy hype.
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
I also expect Dark Horse to have over 6 million streams (an increase from 5.6M last week) due to the Grammy hype.
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Then it is fair to expect that Royals, Drunk In Love, Radioactive, Get Lucky, Brave, and Follow Your Arrow will all experience streaming boosts, if the "Grammy hype" extends to streaming.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
I also expect Dark Horse to have over 6 million streams (an increase from 5.6M last week) due to the Grammy hype.
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This is an important factor - it might be way behind in streaming, but it still has streaming points to help it and a likely gain week-on-week.
Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
Then it is fair to expect that Royals, Drunk In Love, Radioactive, Get Lucky, Brave, and Follow Your Arrow will all experience streaming boosts, if the "Grammy hype" extends to streaming.
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Yep.
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Member Since: 1/4/2014
Posts: 22,877
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Like Prism has some good songs but Dark Horse just isn't one of them.
HOW DOES SHE ALWAYS GET #1?! 
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